Home About Chat Users Issues Party Candidates Polling Firms Media News Polls Calendar Key Races United States President Senate House Governors International

New User Account
"A historical political resource." 
Email: Password:

  CA District 39 - Open Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > California > CA - District 39
OfficeHouse of Representatives
Type Primary Election
Filing Deadline March 09, 2018 - 07:00pm Central
Polls Open June 05, 2018 - 09:00am Central
Polls Close June 05, 2018 - 10:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2019 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2021 - 12:00pm
# Winners2
Turnout 19.57% Registered 11.07% Total Population
ContributorRP
Last ModifiedRBH July 13, 2018 10:28pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/08/2016
NameEdward R. Royce Votes150,777 (57.23%)
Term01/03/2017 - 01/03/2019 Margin38,098 (+14.46%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceCA District 39 11/06/2018
MAP

Curve
Embed Code Data
KEY RACE? 0.0000000000 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
06/06/2017 06/05/2018
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Young Kim 3 ------
Gil Cisneros --2 ----
Leaning Call: Gil Cisneros (57.14%)
Weighted Call: 0 (0.00%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

11/12/2017 05/20/2018

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name St. Rep. Young Kim Gil Cisneros Phil Liberatore Andy Thorburn Supervisor Shawn Nelson St. Sen. Robert "Bob" Huff Sam Jammal
PartyRepublican Democratic Republican Democratic Republican Republican Democratic
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes30,019 (21.22%) 27,469 (19.42%) 20,257 (14.32%) 12,990 (9.18%) 9,750 (6.89%) 8,699 (6.15%) 7,613 (5.38%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -2,550 (-1.80%) -9,762 (-6.90%) -17,029 (-12.04%) -20,269 (-14.33%) -21,320 (-15.07%) -22,406 (-15.84%)
Predict Avg.21.00% 18.00% 0.00% 18.00% 16.00% 16.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand 3/31 $466,761.38 5/16 $167,522.02 12/31 $495,466.06 5/16 $191,462.39 5/16 $159,232.02 5/16 $105,726.19 3/31 $233,385.31
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 01/09/2018 07/17/2017 03/00/2018 00/00/2018 01/09/2018 01/09/2018 07/17/2017
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (3 from 2 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg16.33%-- 15.30%-- 0.00%-- 8.28%-- 10.99%-- 15.66%-- 3.62%--
Tulchin Research 
05/16/18-05/20/18
14.00% -- 20.00% 24.0 0.00% -- 11.00% -- 8.00% -- 14.00% -- 7.00% --
Mellman Group (D) 
03/30/18-04/07/18
13.00% -- 11.00% -- 0.00% -- 11.00% -- 10.00% -- 10.00% -- 4.00% --
Tulchin Research 
11/12/17-11/19/17
0.00% -- 44.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Mai-Khanh Tran Herbert H. Lee Steve Vargas Suzi Park Leggett John J. Cullum Karen Lee Schatzle Stephan "Steve" Cox
PartyDemocratic Democratic Republican Democratic Republican No Party Affiliation No Party Affiliation
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes7,430 (5.25%) 5,988 (4.23%) 4,144 (2.93%) 2,058 (1.46%) 1,747 (1.24%) 903 (0.64%) 856 (0.61%)
Margin-22,589 (-15.97%) -24,031 (-16.99%) -25,875 (-18.29%) -27,961 (-19.77%) -28,272 (-19.99%) -29,116 (-20.58%) -29,163 (-20.62%)
Predict Avg.10.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand 12/31 $534,730.62 5/16 $129,277.89 5/16 $103,120.37 5/16 $0.95 5/16 $94,000.31 $-- 5/16 $224.82
Website
Entry Date 05/19/2017 01/08/2018 00/00/2018 01/09/2018 03/00/2018 03/00/2018 00/00/2017
MATCHUP POLLS (3 from 2 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg2.50%-- 0.00%-- 8.28%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 1.00%-- 0.00%--
Tulchin Research 
05/16/18-05/20/18
5.00% -- 0.00% -- 6.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% --
Mellman Group (D) 
03/30/18-04/07/18
6.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Tulchin Research 
11/12/17-11/19/17
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
VIEW 3 MORE CANDIDATES

DROPPED OUT
Phil Janowicz (D)
Apr 25, 2017 - Mar 14, 2018
Jay Chen (D)
Jan 09, 2018 - Mar 13, 2018
Christina Prejean (D)
Mar 02, 2018
Edward R. Royce (R)
Jan 08, 2018
Ling-Ling Chang (R)
 00, 2018

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
05/23/2018 Andy Thorburn TVAd Issue eng Democratic Society  00:00:30 RP 
05/07/2018 vs Shawn Nelson TVAd Attack eng Can't Afford Nelson  00:00:30 RP 
05/07/2018 vs Robert "Bob" Huff TVAd Attack eng Huff Puff  00:00:30 RP 
04/18/2018 Andy Thorburn TVAd Issue eng Guaranteed  00:00:30 RP 
04/04/2018 Andy Thorburn TVAd Feel Good eng My Dad  00:00:30 RP 
03/28/2018 Andy Thorburn TVAd Attack eng Trump's America  00:00:30 RP 
02/28/2018 Andy Thorburn TVAd Biography eng Jailed  00:00:30 RP 

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Jun 03, 2018 01:40pm News This is the weirdest race in the country  Article BrentinCO 
Mar 13, 2018 06:00pm News Fight Back California Polls Show Likelihood of Democratic Shutout in Districts 39 and 49  Article Scott³ 

DISCUSSION