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  FL District 27 - D Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Florida > FL - District 27
OfficeHouse of Representatives
TypeDemocratic Primary Election
Filing Deadline May 04, 2018 - 06:00pm Central
Polls Open August 28, 2018 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close August 28, 2018 - 06:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2019 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2021 - 12:00pm
Turnout 31.07% Registered
ContributorRP
Last ModifiedRBH September 07, 2018 02:00pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/08/2016
NameIleana Ros-Lehtinen Votes157,917 (54.89%)
Term01/03/2017 - 01/03/2019 Margin28,157 (+9.79%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceFL District 27 11/06/2018
MAP

Curve
Embed Code Data
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
05/09/2017 08/28/2018
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Donna Shalala 3 3 --1
David Richardson 2 ------
Leaning Call: Donna Shalala (86.67%)
Weighted Call: David Richardson (74.98%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

06/02/2018 08/16/2018

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name University President Donna Shalala St. Rep. David Richardson Kristen Rosen Gonzalez Matt Haggman Michael A. Hepburn  
PartyDemocratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic  
Campaign Logo  
Uncertified Votes14,158 (31.91%) 12,192 (27.48%) 7,783 (17.54%) 7,511 (16.93%) 2,723 (6.14%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -1,966 (-4.43%) -6,375 (-14.37%) -6,647 (-14.98%) -11,435 (-25.77%)  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand 8/8 $723,319.44 8/8 $566,476.62 8/8 $28,942.74 8/8 $514,913.06 8/8 $434.00  
Website [Campaign Site] [Website] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site]  
Entry Date 03/05/2018 06/06/2017 04/13/2017 07/31/2017 00/00/2017  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (3 from 2 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg28.89%-- 14.04%-- 7.29%-- 10.09%-- 0.29%--  
Bendixen & Associates 
08/10/18-08/16/18
36.00% -- 18.00% -- 9.00% -- 10.00% -- 2.00% --
RABA Research 
08/02/18-08/05/18
26.00% -- 15.00% -- 11.00% -- 16.00% -- 4.00% --
Bendixen & Associates 
06/02/18-06/08/18
43.00% -- 16.00% -- 8.00% -- 5.00% -- 2.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 

DROPPED OUT
Mary Barzee Flores (D)
May 03, 2018
Jose Javier Rodriguez (D)
May 09, 2017 - Apr 11, 2018
Ken Russell (D)
Oct 14, 2017 - Apr 11, 2018
Scott Fuhrman (D)
Apr 03, 2017 - Jun 06, 2017
Daniella Levine Cava (D)
Apr 03, 2017

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
06/18/2018 Matt Haggman vs Donna Shalala TVAd Issue eng Abolish ICE  00:00:15 RP 
05/22/2018 David Richardson vs Donna Shalala TVAd Contrast eng Dollars for Donna  00:00:30 RP 
05/22/2018 David Richardson vs Donna Shalala TVAd Attack eng Shalala on Colbert  00:00:30 RP 
05/18/2018 David Richardson TVAd Biography eng Effective  00:00:30 RP 
01/25/2018 TVAd Issue eng Trump should be impeached  00:00:30 RP 

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor

DISCUSSION
 
D:1989RBH ( 2555.7664 points)
Wed, October 17, 2018 07:18:27 PM UTC0:00
Miami-Dade having "precincts in each state house district" really helped to make this map. Since I was wanting to check into the Miami Beach/Miami split since people think that Shalala is a bad fit for the district. So, district-wise, Shalala was consistent aside from Miami Beach.

Miami-Dade doesn't have their pre-2018 results up in a place where I can find them right now, so I can't do the same for the 16 election with a 55/45 result.

But if the result was 55/45 last time with a long-time incumbent Cuban Rep, it's possible that Shalala could actually win even with all the minuses to her candidacy.