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  CA US Senate - Open Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > California > Senate Class I
OfficeSenate
Type Primary Election
Filing Deadline March 01, 2018 - 04:00pm Central
Polls Open June 05, 2018 - 09:00am Central
Polls Close June 05, 2018 - 10:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2019 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2025 - 12:00pm
# Winners2
ContributorRBH
Last ModifiedCharlotte Rose March 06, 2020 07:12pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/06/2012
NameDianne Feinstein Votes7,864,624 (62.52%)
Term01/03/2013 - 01/03/2019 Margin3,150,737 (+25.05%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/06/2018
NameDianne Feinstein Votes6,019,422 (54.16%)
Term01/03/2019 - 01/03/2025 Margin925,480 (+8.33%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceCA US Senate 11/06/2018
MAP

Curve
Embed Code Data
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
05/09/2017 06/05/2018
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Dianne Feinstein 1 1 2 8
Leaning Call: Dianne Feinstein (100.00%)
Weighted Call: Dianne Feinstein (100.00%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

10/18/2017 05/24/2018

CANDIDATES (2 Winners)
Photo
Name (I) Sen. Dianne Feinstein President Pro Tempore Kevin de León James P. Bradley Arun K. Bhumitra Paul A. Taylor Erin Cruz Tom Palzer
PartyDemocratic Democratic Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 2,947,039 (44.18%) 805,446 (12.07%) 556,252 (8.34%) 350,815 (5.26%) 323,534 (4.85%) 267,494 (4.01%) 205,183 (3.08%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -2,141,593 (-32.10%) -2,390,787 (-35.84%) -2,596,224 (-38.92%) -2,623,505 (-39.33%) -2,679,545 (-40.17%) -2,741,856 (-41.10%)
Predict Avg.51.00% 10.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand 3/31 $10,350,889.00 $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 10/09/2017 10/15/2017 03/01/2018 03/01/2018 03/01/2018 03/01/2018 03/01/2018
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (13 from 9 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg32.29%-- 7.62%-- 8.84%-- 2.72%-- 1.76%-- 4.20%-- 1.41%--
Emerson College 
05/21/18-05/24/18
38.00% -- 6.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 5.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
05/12/18-05/24/18
36.00% -- 11.00% -- 6.00% -- 1.00% -- 2.00% -- 2.00% -- 1.00% --
Survey USA 
05/21/18-05/21/18
36.00% 3.0 11.00% 3.0 9.00% -- 4.00% -- 1.00% -- 2.00% -- 1.00% --
Public Policy Institute 
05/11/18-05/20/18
41.00% -- 17.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
USC Dornsife/LA Times 
04/18/18-05/18/18
26.00% 32.0 5.00% 26.0 3.00% -- 2.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% --
Gravis Marketing 
05/04/18-05/05/18
32.00% -- 8.00% -- 19.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 13.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Alison Hartson Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente Eugene Patterson "Pat" Harris John "Jack" Crew Patrick Little Kevin Mottus Jerry J. Laws
PartyDemocratic Republican Democratic Republican Republican Republican Republican
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 147,061 (2.21%) 135,279 (2.03%) 126,947 (1.90%) 93,808 (1.41%) 89,867 (1.35%) 87,646 (1.31%) 67,140 (1.01%)
Margin-2,799,978 (-41.97%) -2,811,760 (-42.15%) -2,820,092 (-42.28%) -2,853,231 (-42.77%) -2,857,172 (-42.83%) -2,859,393 (-42.86%) -2,879,899 (-43.17%)
Predict Avg.5.00% 10.00% 0.00% 0.00% 23.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand 3/31 $108,643.54 $-- 5/16 $29,572.64 $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 00/00/2017 03/01/2018 00/00/2018 03/01/2018 03/01/2018 03/01/2018 03/01/2018
MATCHUP POLLS (13 from 9 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg1.29%-- 2.96%-- 1.91%-- 1.76%-- 1.07%-- 1.09%-- 0.41%--
Emerson College 
05/21/18-05/24/18
4.00% -- 4.00% -- 6.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
05/12/18-05/24/18
1.00% -- 4.00% -- 2.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
05/21/18-05/21/18
1.00% 3.0 3.00% 5.0 2.00% -- 3.00% -- 0.00% 18.0 1.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Institute 
05/11/18-05/20/18
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
USC Dornsife/LA Times 
04/18/18-05/18/18
1.00% -- 0.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Gravis Marketing 
05/04/18-05/05/18
6.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
I Lab Shady Morsi
VIEW 21 MORE CANDIDATES

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Tom Steyer (D)
Jan 08, 2018
Jerry L. Carroll (I)
Mar 01, 2018 -  00, 2018
John Melendez (D)
 00, 2018
Stephen Schrader (R)
Mar 01, 2018 -  00, 2018
Eric Swalwell (D)
Oct 13, 2017
Arnold Schwarzenegger (R)
Jul 00, 2017
Caitlyn Jenner (R)
 00, 2017

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
05/21/2018 Kevin de León TVAd Endorsement eng Leading  00:00:30 RP 
05/08/2018 Dianne Feinstein TVAd Issue eng Assault Weapons Ban  00:00:30 RP 
05/08/2018 Dianne Feinstein TVAd Issue eng Universal Health Care  00:00:30 RP 

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
May 18, 2013 03:35pm Blog Entry In other news, Dianne Feinstein runs in 2018  Article Scott³ 

DISCUSSION
[View All
28
Previous Messages]
 
D:9771Tannurr ( 10.1497 points)
Fri, February 16, 2018 04:41:33 AM UTC0:00
Alison Hartson is another Democratic candidate for this office if anybody wants to add it here

 
D:1989RBH ( 4773.6519 points)
Sun, March 18, 2018 08:23:04 AM UTC0:00
nice to see that California Republicans countered the perception that this will be a Feinstein/De Leon runoff by having 10 candidates you've never heard of run for the Senate this year

 
D:1989RBH ( 4773.6519 points)
Wed, March 21, 2018 06:42:35 AM UTC0:00
"highlights" of the candidate statements..

Grundmann's long statement about transgenders and social engineering campaigns

Ling Ling Shi calls on the 2016 election to be nullified and held over

Hanania proposes basing his votes on an evoting service of Californians

Mottus has a long statement about wireless radiation causing cancer

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 5113.6445 points)
Wed, March 21, 2018 08:07:10 PM UTC0:00
RBH: nice to see that California Republicans countered the perception that this will be a Feinstein/De Leon runoff by having 10 candidates you've never heard of run for the Senate this year

Isn’t Feinstein the Republican in this race ;-)

 
D:1RP ( 5455.5576 points)
Thu, March 22, 2018 03:25:37 AM UTC0:00
Unless you talk to a gun nut, and then she's a liberal demon.

 
R:7114Kyle ( 657.9900 points)
Fri, March 23, 2018 03:40:08 AM UTC0:00
Anyone who runs left of Dianne Feinstein should be automatically disqualified. She voted for a couple of Trump's (very qualified) nominees and now has the base mad? This is just as bad as the tea party for the Democrats

 
D:8255My Congressman is a Weiner ( -19.7986 points)
Fri, March 23, 2018 02:57:33 PM UTC0:00
Kyle: Anyone who runs left of Dianne Feinstein should be automatically disqualified.

Kinda harsh there.

 
G:9518Charlotte Rose ( 247.1415 points)
Fri, March 23, 2018 04:55:19 PM UTC0:00
anyone who runs to the right of Feinstein should be automatically disqualified

 
R:7114Kyle ( 657.9900 points)
Fri, March 23, 2018 06:57:15 PM UTC0:00
Haha, yeah I was a little harsh, I have to admit. I just think it is so crazy to think DIANNE FEINSTEIN is now considered too moderate in today's Democratic Party. I have no idea what conservative policies she has ever gotten behind...

 
G:9518Charlotte Rose ( 247.1415 points)
Fri, March 23, 2018 07:07:18 PM UTC0:00
she is way too moderate as well as corrupt, but im also a communist, and think Bernie is too moderate

 
D:9583Caprice ( 91.5054 points)
Fri, March 23, 2018 07:16:21 PM UTC0:00
So are we agreeing here that Feinstein should be the only candidate? /s

 
D:1989RBH ( 4773.6519 points)
Thu, March 29, 2018 01:57:33 AM UTC0:00
the SurveyUSA poll polled 4 different Republicans, and Little was the only one they polled who is actually in the race.

The Rs combined for 19%, Feinstein is 31%, other Ds are at 18% combined, others at 4%, and undecided at 29%

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 5113.6445 points)
Thu, March 29, 2018 02:03:08 AM UTC0:00
Patrick Little who’s website lists his official campaign slogan as:

“Liberate the US from the Jewish Oligarchy.”

[Link]

 
D:1989RBH ( 4773.6519 points)
Thu, March 29, 2018 02:07:03 AM UTC0:00
yeah, we could really use some more polls that do more than just ask Feinstein/De Leon. Even if that means trying to figure out which crank candidates to include.

 
D:1989RBH ( 4773.6519 points)
Wed, April 25, 2018 09:20:48 PM UTC0:00
SurveyUSA improved this time, they only polled one candidate who isn't in the race (John Melendez)

 
R:7114Kyle ( 657.9900 points)
Wed, April 25, 2018 10:55:32 PM UTC0:00
An anti Semite is getting 18% in the senate race. Kind of pathetic

 
D:1989RBH ( 4773.6519 points)
Fri, April 27, 2018 08:07:52 PM UTC0:00
having a bunch of random candidates along with Feinstein/De Leon must be a bit of a pain in the ass to poll, since the combined R vote is gonna be larger than the De Leon vote, but they'll likely split their vote so bad that De Leon can get through

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 5113.6445 points)
Sat, April 28, 2018 12:34:41 AM UTC0:00
RBH: having a bunch of random candidates along with Feinstein/De Leon must be a bit of a pain in the ass to poll, since the combined R vote is gonna be larger than the De Leon vote, but they'll likely split their vote so bad that De Leon can get through

Yep. Another poll, another no name Republican leading.

 
I:1038WA Indy ( 1628.7666 points)
Sat, April 28, 2018 01:51:03 AM UTC0:00
Will this race have occupations as well?

 
D:1989RBH ( 4773.6519 points)
Sun, May 13, 2018 07:21:48 AM UTC0:00
really wish that pollsters could stop polling candidates who never filed a month before the election

See: Melendez, John

 
D:1989RBH ( 4773.6519 points)
Fri, May 25, 2018 12:22:55 AM UTC0:00
SurveyUSA polling the entire ballot seems to have been enough to drop Patrick Little from the top row to "View 18 more candidates"

 
D:1RP ( 5455.5576 points)
Fri, May 25, 2018 04:26:01 AM UTC0:00
Their earlier poll with just Little and De La Fuente for the Republicans was polling malpractice.

 
D:1989RBH ( 4773.6519 points)
Fri, May 25, 2018 05:57:03 AM UTC0:00
pretty much all of the polling for this one have been malpractice of some sort, between the Feinstein/De Leon polls, and the ones trying to poll some Rs, to polls a month after filing closed including candidates who aren't running..

The 11 Rs are probably going to carve up enough other's votes enough to put De Leon in second place

 
R:7206Hikikomori Blitzkrieg! ( 459.0091 points)
Fri, January 8, 2021 10:23:33 AM UTC0:00
Bradley and Feinstein actually tied in Modoc County. I guess I would've assumed there'd be a different color scheme for a tie, but I'm not seeing that in effect on this map.

 
D:1RP ( 5455.5576 points)
Fri, January 8, 2021 02:43:51 PM UTC0:00
Ties are completely transparent.