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  US President - D Primaries
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > U.S. Executive > Popular Vote
OfficePresident
HonorificPresident - Abbr: President
TypeDemocratic Primary Election
Filing Deadline January 01, 2020 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open February 03, 2020 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Close August 11, 2020 - 12:00pm Central
Term Start January 20, 2021 - 12:00pm
Term End January 20, 2025 - 12:00pm
ContributorM@
Last ModifiedE Pluribus Unum July 24, 2022 09:23pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description Candidates who withdrew before the Iowa Caucuses while qualifying for at least one primary ballot:

Joe Sestak (December 1st, on the ballot in NH/AR/MI/CA/FL)
Steve Bullock (December 2nd, on the ballot in NH/AR)
Kamala Harris (December 3rd, on the ballot in NH/AR/TN)
Julian Castro (January 2nd, on the ballot in 19 states)
Marianne Williamson (January 10th, on the ballot in 22 states)
Cory Booker (January 13th, on the ballot in 26 states)
John Delaney (January 31st, on the ballot in 27 states)

Candidates who dropped out after Iowa:
Andrew Yang (February 11th)
Michael Bennet (February 11th)
Deval Patrick (February 12th)
Tom Steyer (February 29th)
Pete Buttigieg (March 1st)
Amy Klobuchar (March 2nd)
Mike Bloomberg (March 4th)
Elizabeth Warren (March 5th)
Tulsi Gabbard (March 19th)
Bernie Sanders (April 8th)
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/08/2016
NameHillary Clinton Votes65,853,514 (48.19%)
Term01/20/2017 - 01/20/2021 Margin2,868,686 (+2.10%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/03/2020
NameJoe Biden Votes81,285,571 (51.31%)
Term01/20/2021 - 01/20/2025 Margin7,060,533 (+4.46%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceUS President - Popular Vote 11/03/2020
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
11/18/2016 08/11/2020
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Bernie Sanders --1 2 1
Joe Biden 7 4 1 1
Tulsi Gabbard 2 ------
Elizabeth Warren 1 2 ----
Leaning Call: Joe Biden (53.66%)
Weighted Call: Joe Biden (95.85%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

10/05/2016 03/13/2020

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Vice President Joe Biden Sen. Bernie Sanders Sen. Elizabeth Warren Mayor Michael R. "Mike" Bloomberg Mayor Pete Buttigieg Sen. Amy Klobuchar Rep. Tulsi Gabbard
PartyDemocratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes 18,419,788 (51.46%) 9,531,092 (26.63%) 2,780,873 (7.77%) 2,479,805 (6.93%) 912,214 (2.55%) 524,400 (1.47%) 270,620 (0.76%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -8,888,696 (-24.83%) -15,638,915 (-43.69%) -15,939,983 (-44.54%) -17,507,574 (-48.92%) -17,895,388 (-50.00%) -18,149,168 (-50.71%)
Predict Avg.13.33% 12.67% 7.78% 0.00% 5.40% 0.00% 2.17%
Cash On Hand $-- $0.00 $0.00 $-- $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 04/25/2019 02/19/2019
Dropped Out
04/08/2020
12/31/2018
Dropped Out
03/05/2020
11/24/2019
Dropped Out
03/04/2020
04/14/2019
Dropped Out
03/01/2020
02/10/2019
Dropped Out
03/02/2020
01/11/2019
Dropped Out
03/19/2020
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (220 from 37 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg32.74%-- 30.20%-- 12.16%-- 13.70%-- 10.07%-- 4.83%-- 0.54%--
Hart Research and Public Opinion Strategies 
03/11/20-03/13/20
61.00% 35.0 32.00% 19.0 0.00% 19.0 0.00% -- 0.00% 7.0 0.00% 1.0 4.00% 4.0
Chism Strategies (D) 
03/09/20-03/09/20
50.00% -- 42.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Reuters/Ipsos 
03/06/20-03/09/20
59.00% 4.0 41.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
03/05/20-03/08/20
54.00% 37.0 35.00% 10.0 0.00% 14.0 0.00% 15.0 0.00% 10.0 0.00% 4.0 2.00% 1.0
Morning Consult 
03/05/20-03/08/20
56.00% 20.0 38.00% 10.0 0.00% 14.0 0.00% 19.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 3.00% --
SSRS 
03/04/20-03/07/20
52.00% 26.0 36.00% 16.0 7.00% 9.0 0.00% 5.0 0.00% 8.0 0.00% 3.0 0.00% 1.0
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Tom Steyer Andrew Yang Uncommitted Sen. Michael Bennet HUD Secretary Julián Castro Sen. Cory Booker No Preference
PartyDemocratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes 258,848 (0.72%) 160,733 (0.45%) 129,884 (0.36%) 62,260 (0.17%) 37,037 (0.10%) 31,575 (0.09%) 31,399 (0.09%)
Margin-18,160,940 (-50.74%) -18,259,055 (-51.02%) -18,289,904 (-51.10%) -18,357,528 (-51.29%) -18,382,751 (-51.36%) -18,388,213 (-51.38%) -18,388,389 (-51.38%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $0.00 $-- $-- $0.00 $0.00 $--
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 07/09/2019
Dropped Out
02/29/2020
11/06/2017
Dropped Out
02/00/2020
01/01/2020 05/02/2019
Dropped Out
02/11/2020
01/12/2019
Dropped Out
01/02/2020
02/01/2019
Dropped Out
01/13/2020
01/01/2020
MATCHUP POLLS (220 from 37 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg2.27%-- 3.44%-- 0.00%-- 0.49%-- 0.13%-- 2.11%-- 0.00%--
Hart Research and Public Opinion Strategies 
03/11/20-03/13/20
0.00% -- 0.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% 1.0 0.00% 1.0 0.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Chism Strategies (D) 
03/09/20-03/09/20
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Reuters/Ipsos 
03/06/20-03/09/20
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
03/05/20-03/08/20
0.00% 1.0 0.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Morning Consult 
03/05/20-03/08/20
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
SSRS 
03/04/20-03/07/20
0.00% 1.0 0.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% 2.0 0.00% 3.0 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
VIEW 32 MORE CANDIDATES

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Wayne M. Messam (D)
Mar 13, 2019 - Nov 20, 2019
Brian P. Moore (D)
Nov 07, 2019 - Nov 13, 2019
Michael E. Arth (D)
Nov 09, 2018 - Nov 04, 2019
Beto O'Rourke (D)
Mar 14, 2019 - Nov 01, 2019
Tim Ryan (D)
Apr 04, 2019 - Oct 24, 2019
Bill de Blasio (D)
May 16, 2019 - Sep 20, 2019
Kirsten Gillibrand (D)
Jan 15, 2019 - Aug 28, 2019
Seth Moulton (D)
Apr 22, 2019 - Aug 23, 2019
Jay Inslee (D)
Jan 02, 2019 - Aug 21, 2019
John Hickenlooper (D)
Mar 04, 2019 - Aug 15, 2019
Stacey Abrams (D)
Aug 13, 2019
Mike Gravel (D)
Mar 19, 2019 - Aug 01, 2019
Ami Horowitz (D)
May 02, 2019 - Jul 31, 2019
Eric M. Swalwell (D)
Apr 08, 2019 - Jul 08, 2019
Joe Sanberg (D)
Jun 01, 2019
Terry McAuliffe (D)
Apr 17, 2019
Ryan Farber (D)
Feb 28, 2018 - Apr 04, 2019
Sherrod Brown (D)
Mar 07, 2019
Jeff Merkley (D)
Mar 05, 2019
Eric Holder (D)
Mar 04, 2019
Mitchell J. "Mitch" Landrieu (D)
Feb 06, 2019
Adam Schiff (D)
Feb 04, 2019
Eric Garcetti (D)
Jan 29, 2019
Richard Ojeda II (D)
Nov 11, 2018 - Jan 25, 2019
Chris Murphy (D)
Jan 23, 2019
Bob Casey Jr. (D)
Jan 18, 2019
Martin J. O'Malley (D)
Jan 03, 2019
Mark Zuckerberg (D)
 00, 2019
John F. Kerry (D)
Dec 07, 2018
Michael Avenatti (D)
Dec 04, 2018
Patrick Little (D)
Aug 08, 2018 - Nov 13, 2018
Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente (D)
Jan 09, 2017 - Oct 01, 2018
Jason Kander (D)
Jun 25, 2018
Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson (D)
Apr 00, 2018
Roy Cooper (D)
Mar 29, 2018
Luis V. Gutierrez (D)
Mar 00, 2018
Oprah Winfrey (D)
Feb 22, 2018
Andrew Cuomo (D)
 00, 2018
William McRaven (D)
 00, 2018
Howard Schultz (D)
 00, 2018
Nina Turner (D)
 00, 2018
Al Franken (D)
Dec 00, 2017
Joseph P. Kennedy, III (D)
Jul 18, 2017
Hillary Clinton (D)
Apr 00, 2017
Tim Kaine (D)
Nov 17, 2016
Gavin Newsom (D)
 00, 2016

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor
Jun 26, 2019 06:00pm Jun 27, 2019 09:00pm Debate First 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Debate  RP 
Jul 30, 2019 07:00pm Jul 31, 2019 10:00pm Debate Second 2020 Democratic Presidental Primary Debate  RP 
Sep 04, 2019 06:00pm Sep 04, 2019 09:00pm Town Hall Democratic Primary Climate Town Hall  RP 
Sep 12, 2019 08:00pm Sep 12, 2019 10:00pm General Election Third 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Debate   RP 
Oct 10, 2019 08:00pm Oct 10, 2019 10:00pm Town Hall Democratic Primary LGBTQ Town Hall  RP 
Oct 15, 2019 07:00pm Oct 15, 2019 10:00pm Debate Fourth 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Debate  RP 
Nov 20, 2019 07:00pm Nov 20, 2019 09:00pm Debate Fifth 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Debate  RP 
Dec 07, 2019 07:00pm Dec 07, 2019 10:00pm Interview Teamsters Presidential Forum  RP 
Dec 19, 2019 07:00pm Dec 19, 2019 09:00pm Debate Sixth 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Debate  RP 
Jan 14, 2020 07:00pm Jan 14, 2020 10:00pm Debate Seventh 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Debate   RP 
Feb 07, 2020 07:00pm Feb 07, 2020 10:00pm Debate Eighth 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Debate   RP 
Feb 19, 2020 07:00pm Feb 19, 2020 10:00pm Debate Ninth 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Debate  RP 
Feb 25, 2020 07:00pm Feb 25, 2020 10:00pm Debate Tenth 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Debate  RP 
Mar 15, 2020 07:00pm Mar 15, 2020 09:00pm Debate Eleventh 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Debate  RP 

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
02/24/2020 Tulsi Gabbard TVAd Issue eng Stop Big Pharma Greed  00:02:10 data 
01/14/2020 Deval L. Patrick Interview Biography eng Coffee with Candidates: Deval Patrick  00:05:05 data 
12/27/2019 Tulsi Gabbard TVAd Feel Good eng I will always respect & listen to you  00:02:17 data 
12/21/2019 Deval L. Patrick TVAd Biography eng 'Later, but not late:’ Deval Patrick on his presidential bid  00:05:13 data 
12/19/2019 Cory Booker TVAd Feel Good eng Together  00:00:30 RP 
12/15/2019 Marianne Williamson TVAd Feel Good eng For Review: Exeter, NH couple reacts to Marianne's speech: "She would be an outstanding candidate."  00:01:47 data 
12/04/2019 Marianne Williamson TVAd Issue eng A Mother in the White House | Democratic Candidate Marianne Williamson  00:02:14 data 
12/04/2019 Joe Biden TVAd Contrast eng Laughed At  00:01:03 EastTexasDem 
11/15/2019 Andrew Yang TVAd Issue eng Paycheck  00:00:30 data 
11/13/2019 Elizabeth Warren TVAd Issue eng Elizabeth Warren Stands Up to Billionaires  00:00:30 RP 
09/17/2019 Michael Bennet TVAd Biography eng Most  00:00:30 RP 
09/17/2019 Michael Bennet TVAd Issue eng Truth  00:00:30 RP 
09/05/2019 Pete Buttigieg TVAd Mixed eng The Only Way  00:00:30 RP 
08/22/2019 Joe Biden TVAd Feel Good eng President Obama's First Decision  00:01:00 RP 
08/08/2019 Kamala Harris TVAd Mixed eng Me, Maya, and Mom  00:01:00 RP 
08/07/2019 Web Only Ad Mixed eng Rock 2.0  00:03:30 RP 
06/17/2019 Andrew Yang TVAd Biography eng Andrew Yang for President | Humanity First  00:02:30 Candidate Information Needed 
04/14/2019 Pete Buttigieg Candidacy Announcement Biography eng Mayor Pete Buttigieg of South Bend announces presidential bid  01:55:39 RP 
01/21/2019 Marianne Williamson TVAd Issue eng Marianne For America - National Security  00:02:35 data 

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Apr 09, 2020 03:00pm Announcement Biden adopts parts of Sanders' policies: lowering Medicare age and forgiving some college debt  Article RP 
Apr 05, 2020 10:00pm Election Guide Sanders’ ’narrow path’ to victory gets even narrower  Article WA Indy 
Mar 25, 2020 12:00pm News Could a ‘Draft Cuomo’ Movement Be in the Democrats’ Future?  Article BrentinCO 
Mar 19, 2020 09:55am News Tulsi Gabbard Drops Out and Endorses Biden  Article RP 
Mar 14, 2020 09:30pm News A 'Never Biden' movement vows not to vote for Joe  Article WA Indy 
Mar 10, 2020 07:00pm Opinion Press: Bernie Sanders has already won  Article WA Indy 

DISCUSSION
[View All
706
Previous Messages]
 
I:1038WA Indy ( 1790.9733 points)
Mon, May 6, 2019 09:53:02 PM UTC0:00
New poll -[Link]

 
D:7CA Pol Junkie ( 4947.9873 points)
Mon, May 6, 2019 11:55:42 PM UTC0:00
I am not a big fan of Joe Biden, but if he gets everyone else to stop talking about polls until next January that will make me happy.

 
R:7206Hikikomori Blitzkrieg! ( 520.1045 points)
Tue, May 7, 2019 12:30:23 AM UTC0:00
Is anyone really taking this Buttigieg boomlet seriously? It feels to me like people who are effectively undecided, giving the trendy answer. Maybe it's real, but I still predict he will win zero primaries. I have noticed some polls seem to have levels of undecided voters that seem strangely small, this far out. I get that people have decided how they feel about Trump, but only politics nerds know for whom they're gonna vote in next year's primary. Oh, and people in mobility scooters, of course. They're all in the bag for Biden.

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
x2
Tue, May 7, 2019 12:59:09 AM UTC0:00
I don't take any candidate seriously until I know how small their average donation size is.

 
R:7114Kyle ( 752.3616 points)
Tue, May 7, 2019 06:40:23 AM UTC0:00
BrentinCO: I don't take any candidate seriously until I know how small their average donation size is.

Lol! Well, Mike Gravel is averaging like 4 bucks, so he's on the right path 😂😂

 
I:9518Charlotte Rose ( 255.7746 points)
Tue, May 7, 2019 03:14:35 PM UTC0:00
Wow @ Ron Paul endorsing Tulsi.

Props to Ron Paul

 
I:9775Natalie ( 108.7084 points)
Wed, May 8, 2019 12:14:54 AM UTC0:00
Where can I find the page for the Missouri primary?

 
D:1RP ( 5506.7227 points)
Wed, May 8, 2019 01:30:22 AM UTC0:00
Natalie: Where can I find the page for the Missouri primary?

Top Menu United States -> Missouri -> President -> Pick the primary you want

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Thu, May 9, 2019 07:04:47 PM UTC0:00
Ami Horowitz is in...

[Link]

 
D:1RP ( 5506.7227 points)
Thu, May 9, 2019 07:08:28 PM UTC0:00
He is just a right wing troll. The DNC rules can keep him out of the debates.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Thu, May 9, 2019 08:23:39 PM UTC0:00
He's filed. And his campaign is considered the same as Robby Wells, running a minor candidacy....

 
D:1RP ( 5506.7227 points)
Fri, May 10, 2019 12:31:19 AM UTC0:00

 
D:1RP ( 5506.7227 points)
Fri, May 10, 2019 12:32:56 AM UTC0:00
I like thunderstorms.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Fri, May 10, 2019 05:20:04 PM UTC0:00
For those Keeping track Here's the debate Breakdown:

Ones who met both qualifications and are guaranteed a spot in the Debates:
Bernie, Buttigieg, Harris, Warren, O'Rourke, Yang, Biden, Booker, Castro, Gabbard, Klobuchar

Ones who only met the Polling Requirements:
Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Ryan, Swallwell

Ones who met the Donor Qualification:
Williamson

Ones who met neither requirement:
Gravel, Bennet, Messam, Moulton

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
Fri, May 10, 2019 07:15:21 PM UTC0:00
Surprised by Gillibrand not meeting the Donor Qualification with her New York base. Honestly, that’s quite an embarrassment. Speaks to a real lack of effort on her part or lack of interest by primary voters.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Fri, May 10, 2019 07:32:07 PM UTC0:00
BrentinCO: Surprised by Gillibrand not meeting the Donor Qualification with her New York base. Honestly, that’s quite an embarrassment. Speaks to a real lack of effort on her part or lack of interest by primary voters.

Not really surprised, her hook was being the #MeToo Candidate, that's not enough to drive people to give her money. Even Biden trying to be Obama 3.0 gets older Democrats and Wall Street exicted

 
I:1038WA Indy ( 1790.9733 points)
Tue, May 14, 2019 01:15:38 PM UTC0:00
Insert eyeroll emoji here

 
D:1RP ( 5506.7227 points)
Tue, May 14, 2019 02:25:18 PM UTC0:00
WA Indy: Insert eyeroll emoji here

Bullock, I assume?

 
I:9775Natalie ( 108.7084 points)
Tue, May 14, 2019 03:43:07 PM UTC0:00
It's sad, Andrew Yang's campaign is getting more attention than Tulsi's. Not that Yang is a bad candidate or anything, but we saw the exact same thing in 2016 with the relationship between Bernie's campaign and the mainstream media.

 
R:7114Kyle ( 752.3616 points)
Tue, May 14, 2019 03:51:00 PM UTC0:00
Natalie: It's sad, Andrew Yang's campaign is getting more attention than Tulsi's. Not that Yang is a bad candidate or anything, but we saw the exact same thing in 2016 with the relationship between Bernie's campaign and the mainstream media.

Oh stop. The media was obsessed with Bernie and his coverage was so much more positive than Hillary's.

I'm done with the conspiracy theorizing, pity parties held by Bernie supporters.

 
I:1038WA Indy ( 1790.9733 points)
x2
Tue, May 14, 2019 03:54:51 PM UTC0:00
RP: Bullock, I assume?

I get the desire for public service, but running for President isn't the only option. You don't want to be a senator because the legislative process sucks? Fine, I get it. But jumping into a crowded field where you'll have to drop out in 6 months without having any appreciable impact on the debate is beyond dumb.

And preemptive eyeball to the predictable but inane comment coming from elsewhere about how there are more "centrist/establishment" Dems running that "progressive" ones.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Tue, May 14, 2019 06:16:19 PM UTC0:00
Kyle:
Oh stop. The media was obsessed with Bernie and his coverage was so much more positive than Hillary's.

I'm done with the conspiracy theorizing, pity parties held by Bernie supporters.

OK let's ignore the fact that Bernie had the least amount of coverage of all the Major Candidate as opposed to the $5 Billion in free advertising that Trump got AND THE FACT that when people tried to cover the Sanders Campaign they were EXPLICITLY TOLD NOT TO DO IT.



ALSO: I'll stop saying More Centrist/Establishment Dems running than Progressive Dems when it stops being true

 
D:1RP ( 5506.7227 points)
Tue, May 14, 2019 07:09:15 PM UTC0:00
You know that having more centrist/establishment candidates running can split their vote, decreasing their chance?

 
D:1RP ( 5506.7227 points)
Tue, May 14, 2019 07:41:42 PM UTC0:00
Ah, yes. A vast conspiracy by "they".

 
I:1038WA Indy ( 1790.9733 points)
x2
Tue, May 14, 2019 07:47:44 PM UTC0:00
First, that's some paranoid ****.

Second, if Bernie is so beloved and inevitable on the first ballot, why is he not ahead in the polls? Why is it that the guy who got 43% in 2016 can't get out of the teens today? Why can't the guy who was giving Hilary a run for her money in the fundraising category not dominating now? Why do you seem to think folk who voted a certain way in 2016 will vote the same way in 2020? Why do you think favorite-son candidates (which haven't been a thing since the early 70s) would do anything to hurt Bernie in those states? Why do you think a brokered convention is what "the establishment" has in mind when "the establishment" is all about as little chaos at conventions as possible? Why won't you get your nose out of his ass? Why will ardent Bernie supporters not commit to voting for the Dem nominee but expect "establishment" voters to fall in line behind him? If Bernie loses fair-and-square, according to the actual rules as they are written now, will his supporters just accept it? When will you accept that randomly capitalizing things makes people take you LESS SERIOUSLY?

Don't actually answer these, I'm just annoyed and your "facts" will only annoy me further.

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