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  US President - D Primaries
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > U.S. Executive > Popular Vote
OfficePresident
HonorificPresident - Abbr: President
TypeDemocratic Primary Election
Filing Deadline January 01, 2020 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open February 03, 2020 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Close August 11, 2020 - 12:00pm Central
Term Start January 20, 2021 - 12:00pm
Term End January 20, 2025 - 12:00pm
ContributorM@
Last ModifiedE Pluribus Unum July 24, 2022 09:23pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description Candidates who withdrew before the Iowa Caucuses while qualifying for at least one primary ballot:

Joe Sestak (December 1st, on the ballot in NH/AR/MI/CA/FL)
Steve Bullock (December 2nd, on the ballot in NH/AR)
Kamala Harris (December 3rd, on the ballot in NH/AR/TN)
Julian Castro (January 2nd, on the ballot in 19 states)
Marianne Williamson (January 10th, on the ballot in 22 states)
Cory Booker (January 13th, on the ballot in 26 states)
John Delaney (January 31st, on the ballot in 27 states)

Candidates who dropped out after Iowa:
Andrew Yang (February 11th)
Michael Bennet (February 11th)
Deval Patrick (February 12th)
Tom Steyer (February 29th)
Pete Buttigieg (March 1st)
Amy Klobuchar (March 2nd)
Mike Bloomberg (March 4th)
Elizabeth Warren (March 5th)
Tulsi Gabbard (March 19th)
Bernie Sanders (April 8th)
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/08/2016
NameHillary Clinton Votes65,853,514 (48.19%)
Term01/20/2017 - 01/20/2021 Margin2,868,686 (+2.10%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/03/2020
NameJoe Biden Votes81,285,571 (51.31%)
Term01/20/2021 - 01/20/2025 Margin7,060,533 (+4.46%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceUS President - Popular Vote 11/03/2020
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
11/18/2016 08/11/2020
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Bernie Sanders --1 2 1
Joe Biden 7 4 1 1
Tulsi Gabbard 2 ------
Elizabeth Warren 1 2 ----
Leaning Call: Joe Biden (53.66%)
Weighted Call: Joe Biden (95.85%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

10/05/2016 03/13/2020

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Vice President Joe Biden Sen. Bernie Sanders Sen. Elizabeth Warren Mayor Michael R. "Mike" Bloomberg Mayor Pete Buttigieg Sen. Amy Klobuchar Rep. Tulsi Gabbard
PartyDemocratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes 18,419,788 (51.46%) 9,531,092 (26.63%) 2,780,873 (7.77%) 2,479,805 (6.93%) 912,214 (2.55%) 524,400 (1.47%) 270,620 (0.76%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -8,888,696 (-24.83%) -15,638,915 (-43.69%) -15,939,983 (-44.54%) -17,507,574 (-48.92%) -17,895,388 (-50.00%) -18,149,168 (-50.71%)
Predict Avg.13.33% 12.67% 7.78% 0.00% 5.40% 0.00% 2.17%
Cash On Hand $-- $0.00 $0.00 $-- $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 04/25/2019 02/19/2019
Dropped Out
04/08/2020
12/31/2018
Dropped Out
03/05/2020
11/24/2019
Dropped Out
03/04/2020
04/14/2019
Dropped Out
03/01/2020
02/10/2019
Dropped Out
03/02/2020
01/11/2019
Dropped Out
03/19/2020
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (220 from 37 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg32.74%-- 30.20%-- 12.16%-- 13.70%-- 10.07%-- 4.83%-- 0.54%--
Hart Research and Public Opinion Strategies 
03/11/20-03/13/20
61.00% 35.0 32.00% 19.0 0.00% 19.0 0.00% -- 0.00% 7.0 0.00% 1.0 4.00% 4.0
Chism Strategies (D) 
03/09/20-03/09/20
50.00% -- 42.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Reuters/Ipsos 
03/06/20-03/09/20
59.00% 4.0 41.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
03/05/20-03/08/20
54.00% 37.0 35.00% 10.0 0.00% 14.0 0.00% 15.0 0.00% 10.0 0.00% 4.0 2.00% 1.0
Morning Consult 
03/05/20-03/08/20
56.00% 20.0 38.00% 10.0 0.00% 14.0 0.00% 19.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 3.00% --
SSRS 
03/04/20-03/07/20
52.00% 26.0 36.00% 16.0 7.00% 9.0 0.00% 5.0 0.00% 8.0 0.00% 3.0 0.00% 1.0
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Tom Steyer Andrew Yang Uncommitted Sen. Michael Bennet HUD Secretary Julián Castro Sen. Cory Booker No Preference
PartyDemocratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes 258,848 (0.72%) 160,733 (0.45%) 129,884 (0.36%) 62,260 (0.17%) 37,037 (0.10%) 31,575 (0.09%) 31,399 (0.09%)
Margin-18,160,940 (-50.74%) -18,259,055 (-51.02%) -18,289,904 (-51.10%) -18,357,528 (-51.29%) -18,382,751 (-51.36%) -18,388,213 (-51.38%) -18,388,389 (-51.38%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $0.00 $-- $-- $0.00 $0.00 $--
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 07/09/2019
Dropped Out
02/29/2020
11/06/2017
Dropped Out
02/00/2020
01/01/2020 05/02/2019
Dropped Out
02/11/2020
01/12/2019
Dropped Out
01/02/2020
02/01/2019
Dropped Out
01/13/2020
01/01/2020
MATCHUP POLLS (220 from 37 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg2.27%-- 3.44%-- 0.00%-- 0.49%-- 0.13%-- 2.11%-- 0.00%--
Hart Research and Public Opinion Strategies 
03/11/20-03/13/20
0.00% -- 0.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% 1.0 0.00% 1.0 0.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Chism Strategies (D) 
03/09/20-03/09/20
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Reuters/Ipsos 
03/06/20-03/09/20
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
03/05/20-03/08/20
0.00% 1.0 0.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Morning Consult 
03/05/20-03/08/20
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
SSRS 
03/04/20-03/07/20
0.00% 1.0 0.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% 2.0 0.00% 3.0 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
VIEW 32 MORE CANDIDATES

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Wayne M. Messam (D)
Mar 13, 2019 - Nov 20, 2019
Brian P. Moore (D)
Nov 07, 2019 - Nov 13, 2019
Michael E. Arth (D)
Nov 09, 2018 - Nov 04, 2019
Beto O'Rourke (D)
Mar 14, 2019 - Nov 01, 2019
Tim Ryan (D)
Apr 04, 2019 - Oct 24, 2019
Bill de Blasio (D)
May 16, 2019 - Sep 20, 2019
Kirsten Gillibrand (D)
Jan 15, 2019 - Aug 28, 2019
Seth Moulton (D)
Apr 22, 2019 - Aug 23, 2019
Jay Inslee (D)
Jan 02, 2019 - Aug 21, 2019
John Hickenlooper (D)
Mar 04, 2019 - Aug 15, 2019
Stacey Abrams (D)
Aug 13, 2019
Mike Gravel (D)
Mar 19, 2019 - Aug 01, 2019
Ami Horowitz (D)
May 02, 2019 - Jul 31, 2019
Eric M. Swalwell (D)
Apr 08, 2019 - Jul 08, 2019
Joe Sanberg (D)
Jun 01, 2019
Terry McAuliffe (D)
Apr 17, 2019
Ryan Farber (D)
Feb 28, 2018 - Apr 04, 2019
Sherrod Brown (D)
Mar 07, 2019
Jeff Merkley (D)
Mar 05, 2019
Eric Holder (D)
Mar 04, 2019
Mitchell J. "Mitch" Landrieu (D)
Feb 06, 2019
Adam Schiff (D)
Feb 04, 2019
Eric Garcetti (D)
Jan 29, 2019
Richard Ojeda II (D)
Nov 11, 2018 - Jan 25, 2019
Chris Murphy (D)
Jan 23, 2019
Bob Casey Jr. (D)
Jan 18, 2019
Martin J. O'Malley (D)
Jan 03, 2019
Mark Zuckerberg (D)
 00, 2019
John F. Kerry (D)
Dec 07, 2018
Michael Avenatti (D)
Dec 04, 2018
Patrick Little (D)
Aug 08, 2018 - Nov 13, 2018
Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente (D)
Jan 09, 2017 - Oct 01, 2018
Jason Kander (D)
Jun 25, 2018
Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson (D)
Apr 00, 2018
Roy Cooper (D)
Mar 29, 2018
Luis V. Gutierrez (D)
Mar 00, 2018
Oprah Winfrey (D)
Feb 22, 2018
Andrew Cuomo (D)
 00, 2018
William McRaven (D)
 00, 2018
Howard Schultz (D)
 00, 2018
Nina Turner (D)
 00, 2018
Al Franken (D)
Dec 00, 2017
Joseph P. Kennedy, III (D)
Jul 18, 2017
Hillary Clinton (D)
Apr 00, 2017
Tim Kaine (D)
Nov 17, 2016
Gavin Newsom (D)
 00, 2016

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor
Jun 26, 2019 06:00pm Jun 27, 2019 09:00pm Debate First 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Debate  RP 
Jul 30, 2019 07:00pm Jul 31, 2019 10:00pm Debate Second 2020 Democratic Presidental Primary Debate  RP 
Sep 04, 2019 06:00pm Sep 04, 2019 09:00pm Town Hall Democratic Primary Climate Town Hall  RP 
Sep 12, 2019 08:00pm Sep 12, 2019 10:00pm General Election Third 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Debate   RP 
Oct 10, 2019 08:00pm Oct 10, 2019 10:00pm Town Hall Democratic Primary LGBTQ Town Hall  RP 
Oct 15, 2019 07:00pm Oct 15, 2019 10:00pm Debate Fourth 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Debate  RP 
Nov 20, 2019 07:00pm Nov 20, 2019 09:00pm Debate Fifth 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Debate  RP 
Dec 07, 2019 07:00pm Dec 07, 2019 10:00pm Interview Teamsters Presidential Forum  RP 
Dec 19, 2019 07:00pm Dec 19, 2019 09:00pm Debate Sixth 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Debate  RP 
Jan 14, 2020 07:00pm Jan 14, 2020 10:00pm Debate Seventh 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Debate   RP 
Feb 07, 2020 07:00pm Feb 07, 2020 10:00pm Debate Eighth 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Debate   RP 
Feb 19, 2020 07:00pm Feb 19, 2020 10:00pm Debate Ninth 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Debate  RP 
Feb 25, 2020 07:00pm Feb 25, 2020 10:00pm Debate Tenth 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Debate  RP 
Mar 15, 2020 07:00pm Mar 15, 2020 09:00pm Debate Eleventh 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Debate  RP 

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
02/24/2020 Tulsi Gabbard TVAd Issue eng Stop Big Pharma Greed  00:02:10 data 
01/14/2020 Deval L. Patrick Interview Biography eng Coffee with Candidates: Deval Patrick  00:05:05 data 
12/27/2019 Tulsi Gabbard TVAd Feel Good eng I will always respect & listen to you  00:02:17 data 
12/21/2019 Deval L. Patrick TVAd Biography eng 'Later, but not late:’ Deval Patrick on his presidential bid  00:05:13 data 
12/19/2019 Cory Booker TVAd Feel Good eng Together  00:00:30 RP 
12/15/2019 Marianne Williamson TVAd Feel Good eng For Review: Exeter, NH couple reacts to Marianne's speech: "She would be an outstanding candidate."  00:01:47 data 
12/04/2019 Marianne Williamson TVAd Issue eng A Mother in the White House | Democratic Candidate Marianne Williamson  00:02:14 data 
12/04/2019 Joe Biden TVAd Contrast eng Laughed At  00:01:03 EastTexasDem 
11/15/2019 Andrew Yang TVAd Issue eng Paycheck  00:00:30 data 
11/13/2019 Elizabeth Warren TVAd Issue eng Elizabeth Warren Stands Up to Billionaires  00:00:30 RP 
09/17/2019 Michael Bennet TVAd Biography eng Most  00:00:30 RP 
09/17/2019 Michael Bennet TVAd Issue eng Truth  00:00:30 RP 
09/05/2019 Pete Buttigieg TVAd Mixed eng The Only Way  00:00:30 RP 
08/22/2019 Joe Biden TVAd Feel Good eng President Obama's First Decision  00:01:00 RP 
08/08/2019 Kamala Harris TVAd Mixed eng Me, Maya, and Mom  00:01:00 RP 
08/07/2019 Web Only Ad Mixed eng Rock 2.0  00:03:30 RP 
06/17/2019 Andrew Yang TVAd Biography eng Andrew Yang for President | Humanity First  00:02:30 Candidate Information Needed 
04/14/2019 Pete Buttigieg Candidacy Announcement Biography eng Mayor Pete Buttigieg of South Bend announces presidential bid  01:55:39 RP 
01/21/2019 Marianne Williamson TVAd Issue eng Marianne For America - National Security  00:02:35 data 

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Apr 09, 2020 03:00pm Announcement Biden adopts parts of Sanders' policies: lowering Medicare age and forgiving some college debt  Article RP 
Apr 05, 2020 10:00pm Election Guide Sanders’ ’narrow path’ to victory gets even narrower  Article WA Indy 
Mar 25, 2020 12:00pm News Could a ‘Draft Cuomo’ Movement Be in the Democrats’ Future?  Article BrentinCO 
Mar 19, 2020 09:55am News Tulsi Gabbard Drops Out and Endorses Biden  Article RP 
Mar 14, 2020 09:30pm News A 'Never Biden' movement vows not to vote for Joe  Article WA Indy 
Mar 10, 2020 07:00pm Opinion Press: Bernie Sanders has already won  Article WA Indy 

DISCUSSION
[View All
706
Previous Messages]
 
D:9642EastTexasDem ( 1194.2172 points)
Mon, December 17, 2018 05:58:49 PM UTC0:00
I would not say he's more popular than Biden, who's leading in all these polls and has higher favorability ratings than Bernie.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Mon, December 17, 2018 06:49:20 PM UTC0:00
And all the polls that show Biden leading are skewed to have him leading because they usually exclude the people who actually would vote for Bernie Sanders. I.E Young People and Independents

 
D:7CA Pol Junkie ( 4947.9873 points)
x2
Mon, December 17, 2018 09:57:23 PM UTC0:00
There is no point in worrying about polls right now. It's all about name recognition and that doesn't tell us anything about who will win primaries in 2020.

 
D:1RP ( 5506.7227 points)
Wed, December 19, 2018 05:49:15 PM UTC0:00
Quinnipiac favorabilities: [Link]

Joe Biden at 53% to 33%
Bernie Sanders at 44% to 42%
Elizabeth Warren at 30% to 37%
Michael Bloomberg at 22% to 32%
Hillary Clinton at 32% to 61%

Beto O’Rourke at 24% to 20%, with 55% who haven’t heard enough
Cory Booker at 22% to 26%, with 51% who haven’t heard enough
Kamala Harris at 20% to 22%, with 57% who haven’t heard enough
Kirsten Gillibrand at 14% to 17%, with 68% who haven’t heard enough
Sherrod Brown at 12% to 9%, with 77% who haven’t heard enough

Trump at 40% to 56%

 
D:9642EastTexasDem ( 1194.2172 points)
Wed, December 19, 2018 08:29:00 PM UTC0:00
So it's safe to say Joe Biden is the most popular politician in America?

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Thu, December 20, 2018 04:16:34 AM UTC0:00
No, Bernie is. He has a 63% approval rating and his policies have 70%+ approval ratings. And it's natural for for someones poll numbers to go up right after leaving office, Biden's popularity is pretty much just an effect from his notoriety.

 
I:1038WA Indy ( 1790.9733 points)
Thu, December 20, 2018 05:06:48 AM UTC0:00
63% nationwide or in Vermont?

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Thu, December 20, 2018 05:07:01 PM UTC0:00
Nationwide

 
D:9642EastTexasDem ( 1194.2172 points)
Thu, December 20, 2018 06:31:21 PM UTC0:00
If you're referring to the Morning Consult poll where he has a 63% approval rating, that's referring to polling within their own state, not the entire nation. [Link]

 
I:1038WA Indy ( 1790.9733 points)
Thu, December 20, 2018 06:36:14 PM UTC0:00
Hmm, so Biden IS the most popular politician at the moment.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Wed, January 2, 2019 09:55:17 PM UTC0:00
Inslee hasn't announced yet, it's just a PAC right now

 
I:9775Natalie ( 108.7084 points)
Thu, January 10, 2019 07:48:57 PM UTC0:00
HA! Julián Castro polling at 0.00%. Impressive. Why is he even thinking about running?

 
I:9775Natalie ( 108.7084 points)
Thu, January 10, 2019 07:50:14 PM UTC0:00
Sanders/Gabbard or Sanders/O'Rourke 2020

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Fri, January 11, 2019 09:35:07 PM UTC0:00
More like No'Rourke

 
I:9518Charlotte Rose ( 255.7746 points)
x2
Fri, January 11, 2019 11:47:17 PM UTC0:00
Omg Tulsi's running

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Sat, January 12, 2019 12:32:04 AM UTC0:00
Too many good candidate actually announcing they're running, I'll probably remove the ones I currently have and wait for You Know Who to officially announce a run

 
R:7114Kyle ( 752.3616 points)
Sat, January 12, 2019 12:34:34 AM UTC0:00
E Pluribus Unum: Too many good candidate actually announcing they're running, I'll probably remove the ones I currently have and wait for You Know Who to officially announce a run

I hope you aren't referring to Tulsi. Her embrace of Assad is disqualifying.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Sat, January 12, 2019 12:40:32 AM UTC0:00
I'm referring to the currently announced Tulsi Gabbard, Elizabeth Warren, Richard Ojeda, Andrew Yang, Micheal Arth, Marianne Williamson, and of course the one teasing all Progressives Bernard Sanders

 
R:7114Kyle ( 752.3616 points)
x2
Sat, January 12, 2019 02:04:14 AM UTC0:00
E Pluribus Unum: <q 7114=""> I hope you aren't referring to Tulsi. Her embrace of Assad is disqualifying.

As opposed to your "great choice" Joe Biden who:
•Voted to Repeal Glass-Stegall
•Voted for NAFTA
•Voted for The Iraq War
•Voted for the PATRIOT ACT
•Lost the Democratic Nomination Twice
•And gave war criminal George W Bush a Liberty Medal
•Consisyltantly advocates nothing except for the Neoliberal Status Quo over any actual progressive change.

Yeah he's the greatest choice ever.....

Supporting free trade is not even comprable to Tulsi's embrace of Asaad. Don't let your ideology blind you to such a ridiculous ideology

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Sat, January 12, 2019 02:29:47 AM UTC0:00
Kyle: Supporting free trade is not even comprable to Tulsi's embrace of Asaad. Don't let your ideology blind you to such a ridiculous ideology

Yeah, his votes that caused:

•The Crash of 2008
•The loss of at least 1.5 Million Jobs
•At the lowest 460,000 deaths
•And the destruction of our 4th Amendment Rights

Yeah, But Tulsi wants to end US involvement in Syria, that's the bad thing....

 
D:1RP ( 5506.7227 points)
x4
Sat, January 12, 2019 03:05:54 AM UTC0:00
Maybe there's a reason some sites ban Presidential Primary discussion.

 
I:1038WA Indy ( 1790.9733 points)
Sat, January 12, 2019 03:06:51 AM UTC0:00
Probably, but young lefties gotta feel confident and secure somewhere. Life will teach them.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Sat, January 12, 2019 03:22:57 AM UTC0:00
We'll I'm just trying to explain the truth that Biden is a terrible candidate and a Progressive is the best choice, and my point has yet to be actually refuted.

 
I:1038WA Indy ( 1790.9733 points)
Sat, January 12, 2019 03:31:21 AM UTC0:00
Sorry RP, I'm not gonna help anything...

Someone could give you irrefutable evidence and you wouldn't accept it. Calling your own opinion "truth" doesn't make it so. And you've made up your mind about who you prefer as evidenced by the fact that you list Ojeda and then a bunch of nobodies among your ideal choices. This is the real world where winning is a hell of a lot better than purity and you'll accept that in about 10 years but for now I imagine you'll just down vote this and reply with some unjustified overconfidence in your own ideology.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Sat, January 12, 2019 03:50:39 AM UTC0:00
Nobody's giving me the irrefutable evidence you speak of.

I only say what I say because the evidence points to it.

Progressive policies like Medicare-For-All have 70% approval ratings [Link]

While net saving us money [Link]

And yet people look at me like I'm the naive one just because I see the facts back me up.

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