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  US President - D Primaries
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > U.S. Executive > Popular Vote
OfficePresident
TypeDemocratic Primary Election
Filing Deadline January 01, 2020 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open February 01, 2020 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Close February 09, 2020 - 12:00pm Central
Term Start January 20, 2021 - 12:00pm
Term End January 20, 2025 - 12:00pm
ContributorM@
Last ModifiedE Pluribus Unum March 20, 2019 01:05pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/08/2016
NameHillary Clinton Votes65,853,516 (48.18%)
Term01/20/2017 - 01/20/2021 Margin2,868,691 (+2.10%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceUS President - Popular Vote 11/03/2020
World Countries Map MAP
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
11/18/2016 03/26/2019
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Joe Biden 3 1 2 --
Bernie Sanders ------1
Beto O'Rourke 1 ------
Tulsi Gabbard 1 1 ----
Kamala Harris 1 ------
Leaning Call: Joe Biden (55.00%)
Weighted Call: Joe Biden (53.83%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

10/05/2016 03/24/2019

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Vice President Joe Biden Sen. Bernie Sanders Sen. Kamala Harris Rep. Beto O'Rourke Sen. Elizabeth Warren Minority Leader Stacey Abrams Sen. Cory Booker
Note: Candidates that appear in italics are speculative and have not officially announced
PartyDemocratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic
Campaign Logo
Predict Avg.10.00% 7.50% 7.00% 9.67% 5.50% 0.00% 7.33%
DylanSH99 -- -- -- -- -- -- --
TheGriffinTripp -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Peyton -- -- 10.00% 19.00% 17.00% -- 20.00%
'96for96th40.00% 30.00% 18.00% 10.00% 5.00% -- 2.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $--
Donate
$-- $-- $--
Donate
$-- $--
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date -- 02/19/2019 01/21/2019 03/14/2019 12/31/2018 -- 02/01/2019
MATCHUP POLLS (24 from 13 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg28.58%-- 19.02%-- 8.39%-- 5.58%-- 5.05%-- 3.56%-- 2.91%--
New!Morning Consult 
03/18/19-03/24/19
35.00% -- 25.00% 2.0 8.00% -- 8.00% -- 7.00% -- 0.00% -- 4.00% --
SSRS 
03/14/19-03/17/19
28.00% 2.0 20.00% 6.0 12.00% 8.0 11.00% 2.0 6.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 3.00% 2.0
New!Morning Consult 
03/11/19-03/17/19
35.00% 4.0 27.00% -- 8.00% 2.0 8.00% 1.0 7.00% -- 0.00% -- 4.00% --
HarrisX 
03/09/19-03/10/19
29.19% -- 20.54% -- 5.41% -- 3.78% -- 3.78% -- 0.00% -- 2.70% --
Morning Consult 
03/04/19-03/10/19
31.00% -- 27.00% -- 10.00% -- 7.00% -- 7.00% -- 0.00% -- 4.00% --
Monmouth University 
03/01/19-03/04/19
28.00% -- 25.00% -- 10.00% -- 6.00% -- 8.00% -- 0.00% -- 5.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Sen. Amy Klobuchar Andrew Yang Rep. Tulsi Gabbard Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand Rep. Adam Schiff Ryan Farber Harry W. Braun
Note: Candidates that appear in italics are speculative and have not officially announced
PartyDemocratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic
Campaign Logo
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
DylanSH99 -- -- -- -- -- -- --
TheGriffinTripp -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Peyton -- -- -- -- -- -- --
'96for96th -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Cash On Hand $--
Donate
$--
Donate
$-- $--
Donate
$-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 02/10/2019 11/06/2017 01/11/2019 01/15/2019 Speculative 02/28/2018 12/07/2017
MATCHUP POLLS (24 from 13 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg1.55%-- 0.74%-- 0.04%-- 0.03%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
New!Morning Consult 
03/18/19-03/24/19
2.00% -- 0.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
SSRS 
03/14/19-03/17/19
3.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
New!Morning Consult 
03/11/19-03/17/19
2.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
HarrisX 
03/09/19-03/10/19
2.70% -- 0.54% -- 0.54% -- 1.35% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Morning Consult 
03/04/19-03/10/19
3.00% -- 0.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Monmouth University 
03/01/19-03/04/19
3.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.50% -- 0.50% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
VIEW 39 MORE CANDIDATES

DROPPED OUT
Sherrod Brown (D)
Mar 07, 2019
Michael Bloomberg (D)
Mar 05, 2019
Jeff Merkley (D)
Mar 05, 2019
Eric Holder (D)
Mar 04, 2019
Eric Garcetti (D)
Jan 29, 2019
Richard Ojeda II (D)
Nov 11, 2018 - Jan 25, 2019
Chris Murphy (D)
Jan 23, 2019
Bob Casey Jr. (D)
Jan 18, 2019
Tom Steyer (D)
Jan 10, 2019
Martin J. O'Malley (D)
Jan 03, 2019
Mark Zuckerberg (D)
 00, 2019
John Kerry (D)
Dec 07, 2018
Deval Patrick (D)
Dec 05, 2018
Michael Avenatti (D)
Dec 04, 2018
Patrick Little (D)
Aug 08, 2018 - Nov 13, 2018
Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente (D)
Jan 09, 2017 - Oct 01, 2018
Jason Kander (D)
Jun 25, 2018
Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson (D)
Apr 00, 2018
Roy Cooper (D)
Mar 29, 2018
Luis V. Gutierrez (D)
Mar 00, 2018
Oprah Winfrey (D)
Feb 22, 2018
Andrew Cuomo (D)
 00, 2018
Howard Schultz (D)
 00, 2018
Nina Turner (D)
 00, 2018
Al Franken (D)
Dec 00, 2017
Bill de Blasio (D)
Aug 23, 2017
Joseph P. Kennedy, III (D)
Jul 18, 2017
Hillary Clinton (D)
Apr 00, 2017
Tim Kaine (D)
Nov 17, 2016
Gavin Newsom (D)
 00, 2016

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Mar 21, 2019 10:20am News Progressive demands put new pressures on Democrats  Article PA Indy 
Mar 19, 2019 12:00pm News Where in the world is Tulsi Gabbard?  Article PA Indy 
Jan 22, 2019 12:00pm News Kamala Harris raises $1.5 million in first 24 hours  Article PA Indy 
Jan 11, 2019 11:00am Event Oprah to interview Beto O'Rourke in Times Square next month  Article RP 
Dec 31, 2018 07:30am Announcement Elizabeth Warren launches 2020 presidential exploratory committee  Article IndyGeorgia 
Dec 12, 2018 09:00am Announcement Julián Castro forms presidential exploratory committee, sets Jan. 12 announcement  Article IndyGeorgia 

DISCUSSION
[View All
78
Previous Messages]
 
I:262Karma Policeman ( 7119.3828 points)
Sun, March 24, 2019 02:39:47 AM UTC0:00
I'll probably vote for Harris just because if Trump gets beaten, I want to see it done by a woman and/or a person of color. Plus she seems competent.

I don't have illusions any of these people are up to the task, though. My best guess is that the 2020 Democrat takes Michigan + the Hillary states. Maybe NE District 2 as well.

 
R:7206Hikikomori Blitzkrieg! ( 405.7512 points)
x2
Mon, March 25, 2019 09:39:02 PM UTC0:00
It's very possible the key to the nomination will be what it was last time ie., the Southern Black primary voters. I would assume this is where Biden's interest in this ploy would lie.

 
D:9775Peyton ( 101.3695 points)
Tue, March 26, 2019 03:08:14 PM UTC0:00
I honestly think Hickenlooper's not going to get more than 5% in Colorado, assuming he even makes it that far.

 
I:7114Kyle ( 655.4450 points)
Tue, March 26, 2019 04:35:55 PM UTC0:00
Every top-tier candidate in the race has seen increases in support. Why is the media just assuming Biden is going to flop the second he gets in the race? Him and his team has been preparing for this for a while.

 
I:7114Kyle ( 655.4450 points)
Tue, March 26, 2019 04:41:04 PM UTC0:00
Also @RP: Is there something that can be done with the adjusted poll avg that doesn't drop candidates into negatives and put them behind non-serious candidates?

 
D:1RP ( 4480.1450 points)
Tue, March 26, 2019 07:08:19 PM UTC0:00
Kyle: Also @RP: Is there something that can be done with the adjusted poll avg that doesn't drop candidates into negatives and put them behind non-serious candidates?

That's the pollster bias adjustments. I suppose it doesn't really apply to partisan primaries, maybe I can not use it then.