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  US President - D Primaries
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > U.S. Executive > Popular Vote
OfficePresident
TypeDemocratic Primary Election
Filing Deadline January 01, 2020 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open February 01, 2020 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Close February 09, 2020 - 12:00pm Central
Term Start January 20, 2021 - 12:00pm
Term End January 20, 2025 - 12:00pm
ContributorM@
Last ModifiedRBH November 15, 2019 04:06pm
Data Sources
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/08/2016
NameHillary Clinton Votes65,853,516 (48.18%)
Term01/20/2017 - 01/20/2021 Margin2,868,691 (+2.10%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceUS President - Popular Vote 11/03/2020
World Countries Map MAP
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
11/18/2016 11/18/2019
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Joe Biden 5 2 1 --
Bernie Sanders --1 2 1
Tulsi Gabbard 2 ------
Elizabeth Warren 3 3 --1
Leaning Call: Elizabeth Warren (33.33%)
Weighted Call: Elizabeth Warren (67.73%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

10/05/2016 11/17/2019

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Vice President Joe Biden Sen. Elizabeth Warren Sen. Bernie Sanders Mayor Pete Buttigieg Sen. Kamala Harris Mayor Michael Bloomberg Andrew Yang
PartyDemocratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic
Campaign Logo
Predict Avg.14.11% 8.33% 12.11% 4.83% 8.78% 0.00% 0.03%
DylanSH99 -- -- -- -- -- -- --
TheGriffinTripp30.00% 6.00% 17.00% 10.00% 10.00% -- --
Nat16.00% 6.00% 25.00% 21.00% 16.00% -- --
'96for96th30.00% 35.00% 30.00% 0.60% 4.00% -- 0.20%
Southern Moderate11.00% 3.00% 27.00% 2.00% 39.00% -- --
Shady Morsi -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Kyle40.00% 25.00% 10.00% 5.00% 10.00% -- --
PA Historian -- -- -- -- -- -- --
ev0lv -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Cash On Hand $-- $0.00
Donate
$0.00
Donate
$0.00
Donate
$0.00 $-- $0.00
Donate
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 04/25/2019 12/31/2018 02/19/2019 04/14/2019 01/21/2019 11/09/2019 11/06/2017
MATCHUP POLLS (129 from 28 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg26.75%-- 19.63%-- 17.85%-- 7.66%-- 4.12%-- 3.30%-- 2.53%--
New!HarrisX 
11/16/19-11/17/19
30.00% 3.0 15.00% -- 18.00% -- 7.00% -- 4.00% -- 3.00% -- 2.00% --
Reuters/Ipsos 
11/12/19-11/14/19
19.00% 12.0 13.00% 4.0 19.00% 5.0 6.00% 1.0 3.00% 3.0 3.00% -- 2.00% 1.0
Morning Consult 
11/08/19-11/08/19
31.00% 2.0 18.00% 3.0 20.00% 1.0 8.00% 3.0 6.00% -- 4.00% -- 3.00% --
Monmouth University 
10/30/19-11/03/19
23.00% 2.0 23.00% 5.0 20.00% 5.0 9.00% 4.0 5.00% -- 0.00% -- 3.00% 1.0
HarrisX 
10/29/19-10/31/19
33.00% 2.0 15.00% 8.0 18.00% 5.0 0.00% 4.0 0.00% 5.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Langer Research Associates 
10/27/19-10/30/19
28.00% 1.0 23.00% 12.0 17.00% 6.0 9.00% 5.0 2.00% 9.0 0.00% -- 2.00% 1.0
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Sen. Amy Klobuchar Sen. Cory Booker Rep. Tulsi Gabbard Gov. Deval Patrick Tom Steyer Sen. Michael Bennet HUD Secretary Julián Castro
PartyDemocratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic
Campaign Logo
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 2.17% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
DylanSH99 -- -- -- -- -- -- --
TheGriffinTripp -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Nat -- -- -- -- -- -- --
'96for96th -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Southern Moderate -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Shady Morsi -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Kyle -- -- -- -- -- -- --
PA Historian -- -- 10.00% -- -- -- --
ev0lv -- -- 3.00% -- -- -- --
Cash On Hand $0.00
Donate
$0.00 $0.00
Donate
$-- $-- $-- $0.00
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 02/10/2019 02/01/2019 01/11/2019 11/14/2019 07/09/2019 05/02/2019 01/12/2019
MATCHUP POLLS (129 from 28 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg1.78%-- 1.74%-- 1.62%-- 1.00%-- 0.97%-- 0.69%-- 0.66%--
New!HarrisX 
11/16/19-11/17/19
1.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% -- 2.00% --
Reuters/Ipsos 
11/12/19-11/14/19
1.00% 1.0 1.00% 1.0 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% 1.0 0.00% 1.0
Morning Consult 
11/08/19-11/08/19
2.00% 1.0 2.00% -- 0.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% 1.0 0.00% 1.0 0.00% 1.0
Monmouth University 
10/30/19-11/03/19
2.00% 1.0 3.00% 2.0 0.50% -- 0.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.50% 0.5 0.00% 1.0
HarrisX 
10/29/19-10/31/19
0.00% 1.0 0.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% 1.0 0.00% 2.0
Langer Research Associates 
10/27/19-10/30/19
2.00% -- 2.00% 1.0 2.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% 3.0
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
VIEW 42 MORE CANDIDATES

DROPPED OUT
Brian P. Moore (D)
Nov 07, 2019 - Nov 13, 2019
Michael E. Arth (D)
Nov 09, 2018 - Nov 04, 2019
Beto O'Rourke (D)
Mar 14, 2019 - Nov 01, 2019
Tim Ryan (D)
Apr 04, 2019 - Oct 24, 2019
Bill de Blasio (D)
May 16, 2019 - Sep 20, 2019
Kirsten Gillibrand (D)
Jan 15, 2019 - Aug 28, 2019
Seth Moulton (D)
Apr 22, 2019 - Aug 23, 2019
Jay Inslee (D)
Jan 02, 2019 - Aug 21, 2019
John Hickenlooper (D)
Mar 04, 2019 - Aug 15, 2019
Stacey Abrams (D)
Aug 13, 2019
Mike Gravel (D)
Mar 19, 2020 - Aug 01, 2019
Ami Horowitz (D)
May 02, 2019 - Jul 31, 2019
Eric Swalwell (D)
Apr 08, 2019 - Jul 08, 2019
Terry McAuliffe (D)
Apr 17, 2019
Ryan Farber (D)
Feb 28, 2018 - Apr 04, 2019
Sherrod Brown (D)
Mar 07, 2019
Jeff Merkley (D)
Mar 05, 2019
Eric Holder (D)
Mar 04, 2019
Mitchell J. "Mitch" Landrieu (D)
Feb 06, 2019
Adam Schiff (D)
Feb 04, 2019
Eric Garcetti (D)
Jan 29, 2019
Richard Ojeda II (D)
Nov 11, 2018 - Jan 25, 2019
Chris Murphy (D)
Jan 23, 2019
Bob Casey Jr. (D)
Jan 18, 2019
Martin J. O'Malley (D)
Jan 03, 2019
Mark Zuckerberg (D)
 00, 2019
John Kerry (D)
Dec 07, 2018
Michael Avenatti (D)
Dec 04, 2018
Patrick Little (D)
Aug 08, 2018 - Nov 13, 2018
Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente (D)
Jan 09, 2017 - Oct 01, 2018
Jason Kander (D)
Jun 25, 2018
Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson (D)
Apr 00, 2018
Roy Cooper (D)
Mar 29, 2018
Luis V. Gutierrez (D)
Mar 00, 2018
Oprah Winfrey (D)
Feb 22, 2018
Andrew Cuomo (D)
 00, 2018
William McRaven (D)
 00, 2018
Howard Schultz (D)
 00, 2018
Nina Turner (D)
 00, 2018
Al Franken (D)
Dec 00, 2017
Joseph P. Kennedy, III (D)
Jul 18, 2017
Hillary Clinton (D)
Apr 00, 2017
Tim Kaine (D)
Nov 17, 2016
Gavin Newsom (D)
 00, 2016

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor
Jun 26, 2019 06:00pm Jun 27, 2019 09:00pm Debate First 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Debate  RP 
Jul 30, 2019 07:00pm Jul 31, 2019 10:00pm Debate Second 2020 Democratic Presidental Primary Debate  RP 
Sep 04, 2019 06:00pm Sep 04, 2019 09:00pm Town Hall Democratic Primary Climate Town Hall  RP 
Sep 12, 2019 08:00pm Sep 12, 2019 10:00pm General Election Third 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Debate   RP 
Oct 10, 2019 08:00pm Oct 10, 2019 10:00pm Town Hall Democratic Primary LGBTQ Town Hall  RP 
Oct 15, 2019 07:00pm Oct 15, 2019 10:00pm Debate Fourth 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Debate  RP 
Nov 20, 2019 07:00pm Nov 20, 2019 09:00pm Debate Fifth 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Debate  RP 
Dec 19, 2019 07:00pm Dec 18, 2019 09:00pm Debate Sixth 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Debate  RP 

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
11/15/2019 Andrew Yang TVAd Issue eng New! Paycheck  00:00:30 data 
11/13/2019 Elizabeth Warren TVAd Issue eng Elizabeth Warren Stands Up to Billionaires  00:00:30 RP 
09/17/2019 Michael Bennet TVAd Biography eng Most  00:00:30 RP 
09/17/2019 Michael Bennet TVAd Issue eng Truth  00:00:30 RP 
09/05/2019 Pete Buttigieg TVAd Mixed eng The Only Way  00:00:30 RP 
08/22/2019 Joe Biden TVAd Feel Good eng President Obama's First Decision  00:01:00 RP 
08/08/2019 Kamala Harris TVAd Mixed eng Me, Maya, and Mom  00:01:00 RP 
08/07/2019 Web Only Ad Mixed eng Rock 2.0  00:03:30 RP 
06/17/2019 Andrew Yang TVAd Biography eng Andrew Yang for President | Humanity First  00:02:30 Candidate Information Needed 
04/14/2019 Pete Buttigieg Candidacy Announcement Biography eng Mayor Pete Buttigieg of South Bend announces presidential bid  01:55:39 RP 

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Nov 17, 2019 06:00pm Statement New! Biden says he won't legalize marijuana because it may be a 'gateway drug'  Article RP 
Nov 15, 2019 04:40pm Scandal New! Ex-Mass. officials say Patrick fired them for their efforts to get his brother-in-law on sex offender registry  Article RP 
Nov 15, 2019 12:20pm Report Warren details how she'd transition country to 'Medicare for All'  Article RP 
Nov 15, 2019 12:00pm Profile ‘No discipline. No plan. No strategy.’: Kamala Harris campaign in meltdown  Article RP 
Nov 01, 2019 07:35am Proposed Legislation Warren's plan to pay for 'Medicare for All': $20.5 trillion in new spending, taxes on the rich and corporations  Article RP 
Oct 28, 2019 01:00pm Opinion Democrats and Republicans running for office: Take the Tulsi challenge  Article PA Indy 

DISCUSSION
[View All
10
Previous Messages]
 
NPA:7114Kyle ( 679.4905 points)
Mon, November 18, 2019 07:49:25 PM UTC0:00
I get serious Romney 2012 feels from Biden. Everyone gets their spot in the sun (Beto, Kamala, Warren, Bernie), but ultimately, the boring old northeastern moderate emerges.

 
D:7CA Pol Junkie ( 3898.8259 points)
Mon, November 18, 2019 08:33:49 PM UTC0:00
Biden's trajectory is still consistently downward and that will get much worse after he loses Iowa and New Hampshire badly.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.9778 points)
Mon, November 18, 2019 08:39:15 PM UTC0:00
Kyle: I get serious Romney 2012 feels from Biden. Everyone gets their spot in the sun (Beto, Kamala, Warren, Bernie), but ultimately, the boring old northeastern moderate emerges.
And the nomination of that northeastern moderate over more populist candidates will cost that party to lose