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  US President - D Primaries
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > U.S. Executive > Popular Vote
OfficePresident
TypeDemocratic Primary Election
Filing Deadline January 01, 2020 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open February 01, 2020 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Close February 09, 2020 - 12:00pm Central
Term Start January 20, 2021 - 12:00pm
Term End January 20, 2025 - 12:00pm
ContributorM@
Last ModifiedRBH November 15, 2019 04:06pm
Data Sources
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/08/2016
NameHillary Clinton Votes65,853,516 (48.18%)
Term01/20/2017 - 01/20/2021 Margin2,868,691 (+2.10%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceUS President - Popular Vote 11/03/2020
World Countries Map MAP
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
11/18/2016 11/19/2019
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Joe Biden 5 2 1 --
Bernie Sanders --1 2 1
Tulsi Gabbard 2 ------
Elizabeth Warren 3 3 --1
Leaning Call: Elizabeth Warren (33.33%)
Weighted Call: Elizabeth Warren (68.83%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

10/05/2016 11/17/2019

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Vice President Joe Biden Sen. Elizabeth Warren Sen. Bernie Sanders Mayor Pete Buttigieg Sen. Kamala Harris Mayor Michael Bloomberg Andrew Yang
PartyDemocratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic
Campaign Logo
Predict Avg.14.11% 8.33% 12.11% 4.83% 8.78% 0.00% 0.03%
Cash On Hand $-- $0.00
Donate
$0.00
Donate
$0.00
Donate
$0.00 $-- $0.00
Donate
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 04/25/2019 12/31/2018 02/19/2019 04/14/2019 01/21/2019 11/09/2019 11/06/2017
MATCHUP POLLS (129 from 28 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg26.75%-- 19.63%-- 17.85%-- 7.66%-- 4.12%-- 3.30%-- 2.53%--
New!HarrisX 
11/16/19-11/17/19
30.00% 3.0 15.00% -- 18.00% -- 7.00% -- 4.00% -- 3.00% -- 2.00% --
Reuters/Ipsos 
11/12/19-11/14/19
19.00% 12.0 13.00% 4.0 19.00% 5.0 6.00% 1.0 3.00% 3.0 3.00% -- 2.00% 1.0
Morning Consult 
11/08/19-11/08/19
31.00% 2.0 18.00% 3.0 20.00% 1.0 8.00% 3.0 6.00% -- 4.00% -- 3.00% --
Monmouth University 
10/30/19-11/03/19
23.00% 2.0 23.00% 5.0 20.00% 5.0 9.00% 4.0 5.00% -- 0.00% -- 3.00% 1.0
HarrisX 
10/29/19-10/31/19
33.00% 2.0 15.00% 8.0 18.00% 5.0 0.00% 4.0 0.00% 5.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Langer Research Associates 
10/27/19-10/30/19
28.00% 1.0 23.00% 12.0 17.00% 6.0 9.00% 5.0 2.00% 9.0 0.00% -- 2.00% 1.0
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Sen. Amy Klobuchar Sen. Cory Booker Rep. Tulsi Gabbard Gov. Deval Patrick Tom Steyer Sen. Michael Bennet HUD Secretary Julián Castro
PartyDemocratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic
Campaign Logo
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 2.17% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $0.00
Donate
$0.00 $0.00
Donate
$-- $-- $-- $0.00
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 02/10/2019 02/01/2019 01/11/2019 11/14/2019 07/09/2019 05/02/2019 01/12/2019
MATCHUP POLLS (129 from 28 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg1.78%-- 1.74%-- 1.62%-- 1.00%-- 0.97%-- 0.69%-- 0.66%--
New!HarrisX 
11/16/19-11/17/19
1.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% -- 2.00% --
Reuters/Ipsos 
11/12/19-11/14/19
1.00% 1.0 1.00% 1.0 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% 1.0 0.00% 1.0
Morning Consult 
11/08/19-11/08/19
2.00% 1.0 2.00% -- 0.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% 1.0 0.00% 1.0 0.00% 1.0
Monmouth University 
10/30/19-11/03/19
2.00% 1.0 3.00% 2.0 0.50% -- 0.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.50% 0.5 0.00% 1.0
HarrisX 
10/29/19-10/31/19
0.00% 1.0 0.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% 1.0 0.00% 2.0
Langer Research Associates 
10/27/19-10/30/19
2.00% -- 2.00% 1.0 2.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% 3.0
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
VIEW 42 MORE CANDIDATES

DROPPED OUT
Brian P. Moore (D)
Nov 07, 2019 - Nov 13, 2019
Michael E. Arth (D)
Nov 09, 2018 - Nov 04, 2019
Beto O'Rourke (D)
Mar 14, 2019 - Nov 01, 2019
Tim Ryan (D)
Apr 04, 2019 - Oct 24, 2019
Bill de Blasio (D)
May 16, 2019 - Sep 20, 2019
Kirsten Gillibrand (D)
Jan 15, 2019 - Aug 28, 2019
Seth Moulton (D)
Apr 22, 2019 - Aug 23, 2019
Jay Inslee (D)
Jan 02, 2019 - Aug 21, 2019
John Hickenlooper (D)
Mar 04, 2019 - Aug 15, 2019
Stacey Abrams (D)
Aug 13, 2019
Mike Gravel (D)
Mar 19, 2020 - Aug 01, 2019
Ami Horowitz (D)
May 02, 2019 - Jul 31, 2019
Eric Swalwell (D)
Apr 08, 2019 - Jul 08, 2019
Terry McAuliffe (D)
Apr 17, 2019
Ryan Farber (D)
Feb 28, 2018 - Apr 04, 2019
Sherrod Brown (D)
Mar 07, 2019
Jeff Merkley (D)
Mar 05, 2019
Eric Holder (D)
Mar 04, 2019
Mitchell J. "Mitch" Landrieu (D)
Feb 06, 2019
Adam Schiff (D)
Feb 04, 2019
Eric Garcetti (D)
Jan 29, 2019
Richard Ojeda II (D)
Nov 11, 2018 - Jan 25, 2019
Chris Murphy (D)
Jan 23, 2019
Bob Casey Jr. (D)
Jan 18, 2019
Martin J. O'Malley (D)
Jan 03, 2019
Mark Zuckerberg (D)
 00, 2019
John Kerry (D)
Dec 07, 2018
Michael Avenatti (D)
Dec 04, 2018
Patrick Little (D)
Aug 08, 2018 - Nov 13, 2018
Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente (D)
Jan 09, 2017 - Oct 01, 2018
Jason Kander (D)
Jun 25, 2018
Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson (D)
Apr 00, 2018
Roy Cooper (D)
Mar 29, 2018
Luis V. Gutierrez (D)
Mar 00, 2018
Oprah Winfrey (D)
Feb 22, 2018
Andrew Cuomo (D)
 00, 2018
William McRaven (D)
 00, 2018
Howard Schultz (D)
 00, 2018
Nina Turner (D)
 00, 2018
Al Franken (D)
Dec 00, 2017
Joseph P. Kennedy, III (D)
Jul 18, 2017
Hillary Clinton (D)
Apr 00, 2017
Tim Kaine (D)
Nov 17, 2016
Gavin Newsom (D)
 00, 2016

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor
Jun 26, 2019 06:00pm Jun 27, 2019 09:00pm Debate First 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Debate  RP 
Jul 30, 2019 07:00pm Jul 31, 2019 10:00pm Debate Second 2020 Democratic Presidental Primary Debate  RP 
Sep 04, 2019 06:00pm Sep 04, 2019 09:00pm Town Hall Democratic Primary Climate Town Hall  RP 
Sep 12, 2019 08:00pm Sep 12, 2019 10:00pm General Election Third 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Debate   RP 
Oct 10, 2019 08:00pm Oct 10, 2019 10:00pm Town Hall Democratic Primary LGBTQ Town Hall  RP 
Oct 15, 2019 07:00pm Oct 15, 2019 10:00pm Debate Fourth 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Debate  RP 
Nov 20, 2019 07:00pm Nov 20, 2019 09:00pm Debate Fifth 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Debate  RP 
Dec 19, 2019 07:00pm Dec 18, 2019 09:00pm Debate Sixth 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Debate  RP 

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
11/15/2019 Andrew Yang TVAd Issue eng New! Paycheck  00:00:30 data 
11/13/2019 Elizabeth Warren TVAd Issue eng Elizabeth Warren Stands Up to Billionaires  00:00:30 RP 
09/17/2019 Michael Bennet TVAd Biography eng Most  00:00:30 RP 
09/17/2019 Michael Bennet TVAd Issue eng Truth  00:00:30 RP 
09/05/2019 Pete Buttigieg TVAd Mixed eng The Only Way  00:00:30 RP 
08/22/2019 Joe Biden TVAd Feel Good eng President Obama's First Decision  00:01:00 RP 
08/08/2019 Kamala Harris TVAd Mixed eng Me, Maya, and Mom  00:01:00 RP 
08/07/2019 Web Only Ad Mixed eng Rock 2.0  00:03:30 RP 
06/17/2019 Andrew Yang TVAd Biography eng Andrew Yang for President | Humanity First  00:02:30 Candidate Information Needed 
04/14/2019 Pete Buttigieg Candidacy Announcement Biography eng Mayor Pete Buttigieg of South Bend announces presidential bid  01:55:39 RP 

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Nov 17, 2019 06:00pm Statement New! Biden says he won't legalize marijuana because it may be a 'gateway drug'  Article RP 
Nov 15, 2019 04:40pm Scandal Ex-Mass. officials say Patrick fired them for their efforts to get his brother-in-law on sex offender registry  Article RP 
Nov 15, 2019 12:20pm Report Warren details how she'd transition country to 'Medicare for All'  Article RP 
Nov 15, 2019 12:00pm Profile ‘No discipline. No plan. No strategy.’: Kamala Harris campaign in meltdown  Article RP 
Nov 01, 2019 07:35am Proposed Legislation Warren's plan to pay for 'Medicare for All': $20.5 trillion in new spending, taxes on the rich and corporations  Article RP 
Oct 28, 2019 01:00pm Opinion Democrats and Republicans running for office: Take the Tulsi challenge  Article PA Indy 
Oct 21, 2019 06:25pm News Clinton attacks on Gabbard become flashpoint in presidential race  Article PA Indy 
Oct 04, 2019 05:55pm News Which presidential candidate’s logo do voters like best? (It’s not Trump’s)  Article BrentinCO 
Oct 02, 2019 06:00am Analysis Why Black Voters Prefer Establishment Candidates Over Liberal Alternatives  Article EastTexasDem 
Sep 24, 2019 07:50am Proposed Legislation Sanders unveils 'extreme' wealth tax proposal  Article RP 
Sep 23, 2019 09:00am News Debate rules upend the way Democrats run for office  Article PA Indy 
Sep 18, 2019 10:40am Opinion All but two Democratic presidential candidates should drop out now  Article PA Indy 
Sep 18, 2019 10:00am News Democratic senators quietly hope Biden wins over rivals  Article PA Indy 
Sep 18, 2019 10:00am News Sanders campaign wracked by dissension  Article PA Indy 
Aug 22, 2019 08:00am Proposed Legislation Sanders’ $16 trillion climate plan builds on the Green New Deal  Article RP 
Aug 07, 2019 11:45am News Sanders pledges to let Americans in on aliens, UFOs if elected president  Article RP 
Jul 22, 2019 04:00pm News Warren pulls closer to Sanders in progressive straw poll  Article PA Indy 
Jul 17, 2019 10:00am News Sanders campaign vents frustration with media, polls  Article PA Indy 
Jul 01, 2019 05:00am Report Pete Buttigieg Raised $24.8 Million in Second Quarter, His Campaign Says  Article RP 
Jun 27, 2019 08:00pm News Most of the 2020 Democratic candidates are already doomed  Article PA Indy 
Jun 24, 2019 09:00am Election Guide 2020 Dem Candidates on the Issues  Article PA Indy 
Jun 19, 2019 07:00pm News America is 'Decades Behind The Curve on Technology,' 2020 Candidate Andrew Yang Says  Article Candidate Information Needed 
Jun 11, 2019 02:30pm Election Guide Pete Buttigieg just gave his first foreign policy speech. He offered 5 clear proposals.  Article RP 
May 21, 2019 10:00am Amusing Whose uncles are these?  Article RP 
May 16, 2019 11:00am News GOP leader: Biden will be the 'Jeb Bush of this cycle'  Article PA Indy 
May 15, 2019 05:00am News Don't tell Marianne Williamson she can't win  Article PA Indy 
May 08, 2019 10:00am News DNC faces new debate minefield  Article PA Indy 
May 07, 2019 07:00pm News Republicans pray for Bernie as Democratic nominee  Article PA Indy 
Apr 22, 2019 12:00pm News Buttigieg steals Beto's thunder  Article PA Indy 
Apr 10, 2019 11:00am Amusing Here’s Why Andrew Yang’s Alt-Right Supporters Think He’s the 2020 Candidate for White Nationalists  Article RP 
Apr 05, 2019 09:00am Statement Diamond and Silk to Fox & Friends: O'Rourke's rhetoric 'Reminds Me of a Slave Owner'  Article RP 
Mar 21, 2019 10:20am News Progressive demands put new pressures on Democrats  Article PA Indy 
Mar 19, 2019 12:00pm News Where in the world is Tulsi Gabbard?  Article PA Indy 
Jan 22, 2019 12:00pm News Kamala Harris raises $1.5 million in first 24 hours  Article PA Indy 
Jan 11, 2019 11:00am Event Oprah to interview Beto O'Rourke in Times Square next month  Article RP 
Dec 31, 2018 07:30am Announcement Elizabeth Warren launches 2020 presidential exploratory committee  Article IndyGeorgia 
Dec 12, 2018 09:00am Announcement Julián Castro forms presidential exploratory committee, sets Jan. 12 announcement  Article IndyGeorgia 
Nov 23, 2018 10:35am General Everybody knows these Democrats will probably run for president — so why won't they just say it?  Article IndyGeorgia 
Nov 12, 2018 10:00am News Why Kamala Harris is the new Democratic frontrunner  Article PA Indy 
Oct 25, 2018 01:15pm Statement N.Y. Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand pledges to not run for president if she wins midterm: 'I will serve my six-year term'  Article IndyGeorgia 
Aug 29, 2018 07:45pm Statement Andrew Cuomo says he won't run for president in 2020 during New York Governor's debate with Cynthia Nixon  Article RP 
Apr 25, 2018 03:00pm General The 2020 shadow primary is officially a race to the left on policy  Article IndyGeorgia 

DISCUSSION
[View All
10
Previous Messages]
 
NPA:7114Kyle ( 679.4905 points)
Mon, November 18, 2019 07:49:25 PM UTC0:00
I get serious Romney 2012 feels from Biden. Everyone gets their spot in the sun (Beto, Kamala, Warren, Bernie), but ultimately, the boring old northeastern moderate emerges.

 
D:7CA Pol Junkie ( 3898.8259 points)
Mon, November 18, 2019 08:33:49 PM UTC0:00
Biden's trajectory is still consistently downward and that will get much worse after he loses Iowa and New Hampshire badly.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.9778 points)
Mon, November 18, 2019 08:39:15 PM UTC0:00
Kyle: I get serious Romney 2012 feels from Biden. Everyone gets their spot in the sun (Beto, Kamala, Warren, Bernie), but ultimately, the boring old northeastern moderate emerges.
And the nomination of that northeastern moderate over more populist candidates will cost that party to lose

 
NPA:7114Kyle ( 679.4905 points)
Tue, November 19, 2019 12:06:33 AM UTC0:00
E Pluribus Unum: <q 7114="">I get serious Romney 2012 feels from Biden. Everyone gets their spot in the sun (Beto, Kamala, Warren, Bernie), but ultimately, the boring old northeastern moderate emerges.
And the nomination of that northeastern moderate over more populist candidates will cost that party to lose
Yeah, Rick Santorum would have done so much better 🙄

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.9778 points)
Tue, November 19, 2019 12:16:59 AM UTC0:00
Kyle:
Yeah, Rick Santorum would have done so much better 🙄

I'm more referring to Ron Paul or maybe Gary Johnson

 
D:8509DylanSH99 ( 561.0174 points)
Tue, November 19, 2019 06:41:30 AM UTC0:00
In response to CA Pol Junkie, Biden is still favored to win in states like Virginia, Texas, North Carolina, Arizona, Florida, Ohio, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Nevada, and South Carolina. Even if he loses in IA and NH, he still has a pretty good shot. There's only 193 delegates in the early states and 1,623 delegates on Super Tuesday. Way too early.

 
D:7CA Pol Junkie ( 3898.8259 points)
x2
Tue, November 19, 2019 07:34:54 PM UTC0:00
DylanSH99: Biden is still favored to win in states like Virginia, Texas, North Carolina, Arizona, Florida, Ohio, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Nevada, and South Carolina. Even if he loses in IA and NH, he still has a pretty good shot. There's only 193 delegates in the early states and 1,623 delegates on Super Tuesday. Way too early.

I agree we will know alot more in January, but I think if Biden finishes 4th in IA and NH (which is my current prediction) he will look like a loser and his support will crumble in SC and the Super Tuesday states.

 
D:8509DylanSH99 ( 561.0174 points)
Tue, November 19, 2019 10:13:44 PM UTC0:00
I agree that it won't look too good on him if he loses both states, but again with the support that he has from African-Americans in South Carolina and the strong Latino support in Nevada, I think he'll be just fine.

 
D:1RP ( 4505.5361 points)
Tue, November 19, 2019 10:38:49 PM UTC0:00
I've never seen a competitive primary yet where the IA and NH results don't scramble the polls in the later states.