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  US President - D Primaries
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > U.S. Executive > Popular Vote
OfficePresident
TypeDemocratic Primary Election
Filing Deadline January 01, 2020 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open February 01, 2020 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Close February 09, 2020 - 12:00pm Central
Term Start January 20, 2021 - 12:00pm
Term End January 20, 2025 - 12:00pm
ContributorM@
Last ModifiedIndyGeorgia November 12, 2018 04:10pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/08/2016
NameHillary Clinton Votes65,853,516 (48.18%)
Term01/20/2017 - 01/20/2021 Margin2,868,691 (+2.10%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceUS President - Popular Vote 11/03/2020
World Countries Map MAP
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
11/18/2016 11/12/2018
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Joe Biden 2 ----1
Kamala Harris 1 ------
Bernie Sanders ------1
Leaning Call: Joe Biden (54.55%)
Weighted Call: Kamala Harris (-21.13%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

10/05/2016 11/09/2018

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Vice President Joe Biden Sen. Bernie Sanders Sen. Elizabeth Warren Sen. Kamala Harris Sen. Cory Booker Secretary of State John Kerry Mayor Michael Bloomberg
Note: Candidates that appear in italics are speculative and have not officially announced
PartyDemocratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic
Campaign Logo
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $--
Donate
$--
Donate
$-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date -- -- -- -- -- Speculative Speculative
MATCHUP POLLS (7 from 5 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg30.05%-- 19.02%-- 7.81%-- 7.43%-- 5.50%-- 5.00%-- 4.50%--
New!Morning Consult 
11/07/18-11/09/18
26.00% -- 19.00% -- 5.00% 11.0 4.00% -- 3.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 2.00% --
SSRS 
10/04/18-10/07/18
33.00% -- 13.00% -- 8.00% -- 9.00% -- 5.00% -- 5.00% -- 4.00% --
Zogby Interactive 
09/12/17-09/12/17
17.00% -- 28.00% -- 12.00% -- 6.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Suffolk University 
02/08/17-02/09/17
15.00% 28.5 20.00% 23.6 14.00% 20.2 0.00% -- 8.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Suffolk University 
12/14/16-12/21/16
43.45% -- 43.61% -- 34.19% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
12/06/16-12/07/16
31.00% -- 24.00% -- 16.00% -- 0.00% -- 4.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Rep. Beto O'Rourke Secretary of Housing & Urban Development Julián Castro Howard Schultz Gov. Gavin Newsom Mayor Eric Garcetti Gov. Andrew Cuomo Sen. Amy Klobuchar
Note: Candidates that appear in italics are speculative and have not officially announced
PartyDemocratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic
Campaign Logo
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Donate
$--
Donate
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date -- Speculative -- -- Speculative Speculative --
MATCHUP POLLS (7 from 5 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg4.00%-- 3.73%-- 3.73%-- 3.73%-- 3.19%-- 2.94%-- 2.88%--
New!Morning Consult 
11/07/18-11/09/18
8.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% 5.0 1.00% --
SSRS 
10/04/18-10/07/18
4.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 1.00% --
Zogby Interactive 
09/12/17-09/12/17
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 3.00% -- 1.00% --
Suffolk University 
02/08/17-02/09/17
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Suffolk University 
12/14/16-12/21/16
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
12/06/16-12/07/16
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
VIEW 36 MORE CANDIDATES

DROPPED OUT
Jason Kander (D)
Jun 25, 2018
Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson (D)
Apr 00, 2018
Roy Cooper (D)
Mar 29, 2018
Luis V. Gutierrez (D)
Mar 00, 2018
Oprah Winfrey (D)
Feb 22, 2018
Al Franken (D)
Dec 00, 2017
Seth Moulton (D)
Nov 07, 2017
Bill de Blasio (D)
Aug 23, 2017
Joseph P. Kennedy, III (D)
Jul 18, 2017
Hillary Clinton (D)
May 31, 2017
Tim Kaine (D)
Nov 17, 2016

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Nov 12, 2018 10:00am News New! Why Kamala Harris is the new Democratic frontrunner  Article PA Indy 
Oct 25, 2018 01:15pm Statement N.Y. Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand pledges to not run for president if she wins midterm: 'I will serve my six-year term'  Article IndyGeorgia 
Aug 29, 2018 07:45pm Statement Andrew Cuomo says he won't run for president in 2020 during New York Governor's debate with Cynthia Nixon  Article RP 
Apr 25, 2018 03:00pm General The 2020 shadow primary is officially a race to the left on policy  Article IndyGeorgia 

DISCUSSION
[View All
1
Previous Messages]
 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -76.3937 points)
Mon, November 12, 2018 04:55:52 AM UTC0:00
OJEDA IS RUNNING FOR PREZ

 
D:1989RBH ( 2556.0742 points)
Mon, November 12, 2018 06:26:40 AM UTC0:00
how many DNC delegates can you get from protest votes in West Virginia and Kentucky?

 
D:1RP ( 3598.5261 points)
Mon, November 12, 2018 02:45:29 PM UTC0:00
If he can't even come close to winning a congressional district in his own state...

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -76.3937 points)
Mon, November 12, 2018 04:07:57 PM UTC0:00
He got 43.59% in a R+23. And he did so by using Left-Wing Populism and calling out the Washington Insiders in both parties. He'll be a great candidate.

 
D:1989RBH ( 2556.0742 points)
Mon, November 12, 2018 06:16:45 PM UTC0:00
It seems like Manchin ran ahead of Ojeda too.

So, guy who is in a state Senate who voted Trump in 2016 is a non-starter here.

 
D:8255My Congressman is a Weiner ( -19.7986 points)
Mon, November 12, 2018 06:35:51 PM UTC0:00
I’m not saying he should be the nominee, but what he is saying could be very applicable nationally to attract Trump voters, but isn’t in conflict with other priorities.

 
D:9642EastTexasDem ( 44.1532 points)
Mon, November 12, 2018 06:46:29 PM UTC0:00
I wonder how Ojeda will justify his voting for Trump to black and Hispanic primary voters? I tried to cut him some slack because he seemed like he was a good fit for that district, but even they rejected him by double digits. I bet he won't make it much further than Jim Webb.

 
D:1RP ( 3598.5261 points)
Mon, November 12, 2018 07:30:17 PM UTC0:00
Talley Sergent in WV-2 came closer to winning.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -76.3937 points)
Mon, November 12, 2018 07:39:52 PM UTC0:00
He justifies it because Trump said he'd help the Working Class American. And has expressed disappointment in Trump since then

 
D:1RP ( 3598.5261 points)
Mon, November 12, 2018 08:11:26 PM UTC0:00
Not sure we need a President that is that easily duped.

 
D:10124BLUEDOGS ( 11.2748 points)
Mon, November 12, 2018 08:33:05 PM UTC0:00
Who's likely Dem front-runner ?

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -76.3937 points)
Mon, November 12, 2018 09:00:45 PM UTC0:00
Ohh, blame the person for listening to a presidential candidate that said they'll help the working as opposed to the establishments favorite politician

 
I:1038PA Indy ( 832.8793 points)
x2
Mon, November 12, 2018 09:10:38 PM UTC0:00
E Pluribus Unum: Ohh, blame the person for listening to a presidential candidate that said they'll help the working as opposed to the establishments favorite politician

I think the point is he fell for that from a guy who never lifted a finger to help any working person and went out of his way to defraud a good many of them. But it's America, we're easily duped apparently.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -76.3937 points)
Mon, November 12, 2018 09:35:43 PM UTC0:00
Well he's expressed disappointment in Trump now, and Either Way Ojeda is still a great populist candidate that'll be a force to be reckoned with.

 
I:1038PA Indy ( 832.8793 points)
Mon, November 12, 2018 09:42:45 PM UTC0:00
Except that he's just lost a congressional seat, so he's not much of a force even in WV.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -76.3937 points)
Mon, November 12, 2018 10:20:12 PM UTC0:00
He got 43.59% in a R+23, the last Democrat that ran in that district got 23.98%. He's also gotten a lot of notoriety as a popular state senator who helped with the teachers strike. And got free advertisement among new Media Progressives. He's definitely a force to be reckoned with.

 
D:1989RBH ( 2556.0742 points)
Tue, November 13, 2018 01:04:12 AM UTC0:00
"Fun" part of the WV03 result is the likelihood that Ojeda did better in Carol Miller's district than in his own Senate District. Ojeda won around 38% in his home county. Two years after winning that county on his way to the State Senate.

At least Sherrod Brown, Brian Schweitzer, or Jon Tester would be reasonably credible candidates if we're going to a checklist of being able to beat the Presidential vote percentage.

Ojeda's thing seems like somebody who either got some lousy advice or somebody who knows that just running for re-election for the WV State Senate isn't gonna be particularly glamorous. Especially since there'll be a risk of him losing re-election in 2020 due to the top of the ticket.