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  TX US Senate
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Texas > Senate Class I
OfficeSenate
Type General Election
Filing Deadline January 01, 2018 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open November 06, 2018 - 07:00am Central
Polls Close November 06, 2018 - 07:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2019 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2025 - 12:00pm
ContributorAndy
Last ModifiedIndyGeorgia September 21, 2018 02:17pm
Data Sources
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/06/2012
NameTed Cruz Votes4,440,137 (56.46%)
Term01/03/2013 - 01/03/2019 Margin1,245,210 (+15.83%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Mar 06, 2018 TX US Senate - D Primary Beto O'Rourke D 1,042,914
Mar 06, 2018 TX US Senate - R Primary Ted Cruz R 1,549,573
Apr 15, 2018 TX US Senate - LBT Convention Neal Dikeman LBT 1
United States 1959 - MAP
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
03/02/2013 10/19/2018
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Ted Cruz 10 10 2 3
Beto O'Rourke 2 ------
Tossup 1 ------
Leaning Call: Ted Cruz (94.12%)
Weighted Call: Ted Cruz (99.05%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

04/03/2017 10/14/2018

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name (I) Sen. Ted Cruz Rep. Beto O'Rourke Neal Dikeman  
PartyRepublican Democratic Libertarian  
Campaign Logo  
Predict Avg.50.25% 46.92% 2.42%  
Cash On Hand 9/30 $11,262,609.00
Donate
2/14 $4,938,475.00 $--
Donate
 
Website [Website] [Campaign Site] [Website]  
Entry Date 00/00/2017 03/31/2017 00/00/2017  
MATCHUP POLLS (29 from 18 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg49.13%-- 44.11%-- 3.50%--  
Tulchin Research 
10/10/18-10/14/18
49.00% -- 45.00% -- 3.00% --
SSRS 
10/09/18-10/13/18
52.00% -- 45.00% -- 0.00% --
WPA Research 
10/08/18-10/13/18
52.00% -- 43.00% 9.0 4.00% --
Siena Research Institute 
10/08/18-10/11/18
51.00% -- 43.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
10/03/18-10/09/18
54.00% -- 45.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
10/02/18-10/05/18
50.00% -- 44.00% 4.0 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 

DROPPED OUT
Alyson Kennedy (SWP)
Jan 01, 2018 - Sep 04, 2018

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
10/18/2018 vs Ted Cruz TVAd Attack eng New! Cruz Throws In The Towel, Campaigns With Trump  00:01:00 Poll Vaulter 
10/15/2018 vs Ted Cruz TVAd Attack eng Ted Cruz loves White Castle  00:00:36 RP 
10/08/2018 vs Ted Cruz TVAd Biography eng Is Ted Cruz "Tough As Texas"?  00:00:30 BrentinCO 
10/01/2018 Ted Cruz vs Beto O'Rourke TVAd Issue eng Stand for the Anthem  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
09/04/2018 vs Beto O'Rourke TVAd Biography eng Bulldozer  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
07/26/2018 Beto O'Rourke TVAd Feel Good eng Showing Up  00:01:00 RP 
03/06/2018 Ted Cruz vs Beto O'Rourke Radio Ad Biography eng If You're Gonna Run in Texas, you can't be a Liberal Man  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Oct 19, 2018 08:00am News New! Beto O'Rourke says he'd vote to impeach Trump, given the chance  Article Poll Vaulter 
Oct 17, 2018 06:00pm Video New! What Happens When 16 Beto O’Rourke and Ted Cruz Supporters Debate in One Room  Article BrentinCO 
Oct 15, 2018 10:00am News Cruz plays the inside game to beat O'Rourke  Article PA Indy 
Oct 02, 2018 09:00am News ‘I am ashamed’: Beto apologizes for ‘demeaning comments about women’  Article Poll Vaulter 
Sep 21, 2018 09:15pm Review Five takeaways from Cruz, O'Rourke's fiery first debate  Article RP 
Sep 17, 2018 05:15pm Idiocy Searching for new wedge issue, Cruz says O’Rourke will ban barbecue   Article RP 

DISCUSSION
[View All
21
Previous Messages]
 
D:9602Old Dominion Democrat ( 82.3890 points)
Tue, October 16, 2018 10:52:05 PM UTC0:00
In 2016, polls in Texas underestimated the final vote totals for Clinton by several points. Most consistently showed her in the high 30's but she finished at just over 43. If Beto's number are being underestimated even slightly, that puts him dangerously close to 50%.

 
D:10124BLUEDOGS ( 0.0000 points)
Tue, October 16, 2018 11:12:18 PM UTC0:00
Cruz & O'Rourke debating tonight at the CBS 5 KENS-TV studios in San Antonio.