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  MT US Senate
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Montana > Senate Class I
OfficeSenate
HonorificSenator - Abbr: Sen.
Type General Election
Filing Deadline January 01, 2018 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open November 06, 2018 - 08:00am Central
Polls Close November 06, 2018 - 09:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2019 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2025 - 12:00pm
ContributorAshley
Last ModifiedCharlotte Rose April 22, 2019 04:30pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/06/2012
NameJon Tester Votes236,123 (48.58%)
Term01/03/2013 - 01/03/2019 Margin18,072 (+3.72%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Jun 05, 2018 MT US Senate - R Primary
Matthew M. Rosendale, Sr.
R 153,346
Jun 05, 2018 MT US Senate - D Primary
Jon Tester
D 114,948
Jun 05, 2018 MT US Senate - G Primary
Steve Kelly
G 1,586
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
03/02/2013 11/06/2018
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Jon Tester 13 6 --1
Matthew M. Rosendale, Sr. 2 ------
Tossup 2 ------
Leaning Call: Jon Tester (87.88%)
Weighted Call: Jon Tester (97.03%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

06/11/2018 11/05/2018

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name (I) Sen. Jon Tester Auditor Matthew M. Rosendale, Sr. Rick Breckenridge (W) Steve Kelly  
PartyDemocratic Republican Libertarian Green  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 253,876 (50.33%) 235,963 (46.78%) 14,545 (2.88%) 0 (0.00%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -17,913 (-3.55%) -239,331 (-47.45%) -253,876 (-50.33%)  
Predict Avg.47.00% 45.50% 6.75% 0.00%  
DylanSH9949.00% (+3.89 pts) 51.00% (+1.70 pts) -- --
Luzerne County Historian40.00% (-2.11 pts) 40.00% (-0.01 pts) 20.00% (-10.19 pts) --
Natalie49.00% (+3.89 pts) 46.00% (+3.99 pts) 2.00% (+0.63 pts) --
CBlock94150.00% (+4.55 pts) 45.00% (+3.32 pts) 5.00% (-0.19 pts) --
Cash On Hand 10/17 $1,612,530.00 10/17 $524,379.06 $-- $--  
Website [Website] [Website] [Website]  
Entry Date 00/00/2017 07/31/2017 01/01/2018 03/12/2018  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (21 from 14 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg47.00%-- 44.84%-- 2.26%-- 0.00%--  
Trafalgar Group 
11/02/18-11/05/18		 50.10% -- 49.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Change Research 
11/02/18-11/04/18		 46.00% -- 49.00% -- 3.00% -- 0.00% --
Harris Interactive 
10/31/18-11/04/18		 48.50% 0.5 43.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Harris Interactive 
10/30/18-11/03/18		 49.00% 1.0 43.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Harris Interactive 
10/29/18-11/02/18		 50.00% 1.0 42.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Harris Interactive 
10/26/18-11/01/18		 49.00% 1.0 42.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
D NCdem
I Pennsylvanian
BEER WSNJ
D samir7243_ATL
R Minnesota Populist
R Kyle
  Missoulian
D EastTexasDem
 


EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
10/29/2018 Jon Tester vs Matthew M. Rosendale, Sr. TVAd Attack eng Junk Insurance  00:00:30 IndyGeorgia 
10/08/2018 vs Jon Tester TVAd Humor eng Following their Leader  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
10/08/2018 vs Jon Tester TVAd Attack eng Makeup  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
10/08/2018 vs Matthew M. Rosendale, Sr. TVAd Attack eng Royalties  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
10/08/2018 vs Matthew M. Rosendale, Sr. TVAd Attack eng scandals  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
10/08/2018 vs Jon Tester TVAd Attack eng Take His Keys  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
10/06/2018 vs Jon Tester TVAd Attack eng Vote Against Beltway Jon Tester  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
10/01/2018 Rick Breckenridge Interview Biography eng Rick Breckenridge | U.S. Senate Election Interview  00:06:30 Candidate Information Needed 
09/27/2018 vs Matthew M. Rosendale, Sr. TVAd Attack eng Hat  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
09/26/2018 vs Jon Tester TVAd Attack eng The Swamp  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
09/11/2018 vs Jon Tester TVAd Attack eng Signature  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
09/10/2018 vs Jon Tester TVAd Attack eng Signature  00:00:30 RP 
09/07/2018 vs Jon Tester TVAd Attack eng Own Words  00:00:30 RP 
09/06/2018 vs Jon Tester TVAd Attack eng Defend Freedom. Defeat Two-Faced Tester!  00:00:30 RP 
09/04/2018 vs Jon Tester TVAd Attack eng Twins  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
08/27/2018 Matthew M. Rosendale, Sr. TVAd Issue eng Matt Rosendale Helped Montana Families  00:00:30 RP 
08/22/2018 vs Matthew M. Rosendale, Sr. TVAd Attack eng Captain  00:00:30 RP 
08/10/2018 Jon Tester TVAd Issue eng Open Contracts  00:00:30 RP 
07/31/2018 Matthew M. Rosendale, Sr. TVAd Biography eng Matt Means Business  00:00:30 RP 
06/14/2018 vs Matthew M. Rosendale, Sr. TVAd Attack eng Dress Up  00:00:30 RP 
06/12/2018 Matthew M. Rosendale, Sr. vs Jon Tester TVAd Issue eng Get Tough  00:00:30 RP 
05/21/2018 vs Matthew M. Rosendale, Sr. TVAd Attack eng Maryland Matt  00:00:30 RP 
05/13/2018 Matthew M. Rosendale, Sr. TVAd Attack eng Stepped In It  00:00:30 RP 
05/09/2018 vs Matthew M. Rosendale, Sr. TVAd Contrast eng Tough  00:00:30 RP 
04/26/2018 Matthew M. Rosendale, Sr. TVAd Issue eng Haircut  00:00:30 RP 
03/08/2018 Jon Tester TVAd Biography eng 13 Bills  00:00:31 RP 

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Oct 31, 2018 10:00am News Jon Tester in danger as Trump seeks vengeance  Article WA Indy 
Oct 19, 2018 07:00am News President Trump Makes Third Trip to Campaign in Montana  Article Poll Vaulter 
Oct 07, 2018 08:00pm General In Montana, the Trumps are still testy about Tester and Jackson  Article IndyGeorgia 

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