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  MO US Senate
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Missouri > Senate Class I
OfficeSenate
Type General Election
Filing Deadline July 30, 2018 - 05:00pm Central
Polls Open November 06, 2018 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close November 06, 2018 - 07:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2019 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2025 - 12:00pm
Turnout 40.78% Total Population
ContributorAndy
Last ModifiedRBH November 30, 2018 12:14pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/06/2012
NameClaire McCaskill Votes1,494,125 (54.81%)
Term01/03/2013 - 01/03/2019 Margin427,966 (+15.70%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Aug 07, 2018 MO US Senate - R Primary Josh Hawley
R 664,889
Aug 07, 2018 MO US Senate - D Primary Claire McCaskill
D 607,577
Aug 07, 2018 MO US Senate - G Primary Jo Crain
G 1,571
MAP

Curve
Embed Code Data
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
03/02/2013 11/06/2018
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Claire McCaskill 12 1 ----
Josh Hawley 13 2 --1
Tossup 2 ------
Leaning Call: Josh Hawley (56.76%)
Weighted Call: Claire McCaskill (50.39%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

07/07/2017 11/04/2018

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Attorney General Josh Hawley (I) Sen. Claire McCaskill Craig O'Dear Japheth Campbell Jo Crain (W) Gina Bufe (W) Martin "Mad Dog" Lindstedt
PartyRepublican Democratic Independent Libertarian Green Independent Independent
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes1,254,927 (51.38%) 1,112,935 (45.57%) 34,398 (1.41%) 27,316 (1.12%) 12,706 (0.52%) 4 (0.00%) 2 (0.00%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -141,992 (-5.81%) -1,220,529 (-49.97%) -1,227,611 (-50.26%) -1,242,221 (-50.86%) -1,254,923 (-51.38%) -1,254,925 (-51.38%)
Predict Avg.47.00% 48.07% 1.21% 2.67% 0.83% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand 9/30 $3,536,974.75 9/30 $3,196,487.75 $-- 12/31 $100.01 $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 10/10/2017 00/00/2017 02/15/2018 03/05/2018 00/00/2017 07/30/2018 00/00/2018
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (42 from 23 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg46.85%-- 45.10%-- 0.16%-- -0.29%-- 0.16%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
Harris Interactive 
11/02/18-11/04/18
46.70% 0.7 44.40% 1.6 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Trafalgar Group 
10/29/18-11/04/18
48.30% 1.0 44.40% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Emerson College 
11/01/18-11/03/18
49.00% 4.0 46.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Harris Interactive 
11/01/18-11/03/18
46.00% -- 46.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Remington Research 
11/01/18-11/02/18
47.00% 2.0 47.00% 2.0 1.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Harris Interactive 
10/31/18-11/02/18
46.00% 2.0 45.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Marist Institute 
10/30/18-11/01/18
44.00% 4.0 47.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 3.00% 2.0 2.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Harris Interactive 
10/26/18-11/01/18
44.00% -- 46.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Harris Interactive 
10/25/18-10/31/18
44.00% -- 46.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Anderson Robbins (D) / Shaw & Company (R) - FOX News 
10/27/18-10/30/18
43.00% -- 43.00% -- 3.00% 1.0 0.00% 2.0 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Cygnal (R) 
10/26/18-10/27/18
49.40% -- 46.40% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Remington Research 
10/24/18-10/25/18
49.00% 2.0 45.00% 1.0 1.00% -- 1.00% 1.0 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
OnMessage Inc. (R) 
10/16/18-10/18/18
49.00% 2.0 42.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Remington Research 
10/17/18-10/18/18
47.00% 1.0 46.00% -- 1.00% -- 2.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
the polling company™ (R) 
10/11/18-10/13/18
50.00% -- 47.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Reuters/Ipsos 
09/27/18-10/07/18
45.00% -- 44.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
1st Tuesday Campaigns 
10/05/18-10/06/18
44.00% -- 42.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
McLaughlin & Associates (R) 
09/29/18-10/02/18
52.00% -- 44.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Anderson Robbins (D) / Shaw & Company (R) - FOX News 
09/29/18-10/02/18
43.00% 2.0 43.00% 1.0 4.00% 1.0 2.00% 1.0 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Vox Populi 
09/29/18-10/01/18
51.00% -- 49.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
SSRS 
09/25/18-09/29/18
44.00% -- 47.00% -- 0.00% -- 3.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Remington Research 
09/26/18-09/27/18
48.00% -- 46.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
09/10/18-09/14/18
45.00% -- 45.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Trafalgar Group 
09/11/18-09/13/18
47.30% -- 44.40% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Anderson Robbins (D) / Shaw & Company (R) - FOX News 
09/08/18-09/11/18
41.00% -- 44.00% -- 3.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Marist Institute 
08/25/18-08/28/18
40.00% -- 44.00% -- 0.00% -- 5.00% -- 3.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
WPA Research 
08/12/18-08/14/18
48.00% -- 41.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
TJP Strategies 
08/08/18-08/09/18
47.00% -- 47.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Remington Research 
07/07/18-07/08/18
48.00% 4.0 46.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
SurveyMonkey 
06/11/18-07/02/18
47.00% 5.0 49.00% 5.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Global Strategy Group (D) 
06/11/18-06/13/18
41.00% -- 47.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Remington Research 
05/09/18-05/10/18
44.00% 5.0 48.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Emerson College 
04/26/18-04/29/18
45.00% -- 45.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Pulse Opinion Research 
04/19/18-04/20/18
44.00% -- 48.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
OnMessage Inc. (R) 
04/16/18-04/18/18
47.00% -- 46.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mason-Dixon 
04/04/18-04/06/18
44.00% -- 45.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Gravis Marketing 
03/05/18-03/07/18
40.00% -- 42.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
SurveyMonkey 
02/12/18-03/05/18
52.00% -- 44.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
01/08/18-01/09/18
44.00% -- 45.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Remington Research 
01/03/18-01/04/18
49.00% 1.0 45.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Remington Research 
10/11/17-10/12/17
48.00% -- 45.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Remington Research 
07/07/17-07/08/17
0.00% -- 45.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name (W) Rodney Stock (W) Cassie Ganier (W) Steven Wallace  
PartyIndependent Independent Independent  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes1 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%)  
Margin-1,254,926 (-51.38%) -1,254,927 (-51.38%) -1,254,927 (-51.38%)  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $--  
Website  
Entry Date 00/00/2018 00/00/2018 00/00/2018  
MATCHUP POLLS (42 from 23 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--  
Harris Interactive 
11/02/18-11/04/18
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Trafalgar Group 
10/29/18-11/04/18
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Emerson College 
11/01/18-11/03/18
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Harris Interactive 
11/01/18-11/03/18
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Remington Research 
11/01/18-11/02/18
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Harris Interactive 
10/31/18-11/02/18
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Marist Institute 
10/30/18-11/01/18
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Harris Interactive 
10/26/18-11/01/18
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Harris Interactive 
10/25/18-10/31/18
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Anderson Robbins (D) / Shaw & Company (R) - FOX News 
10/27/18-10/30/18
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Cygnal (R) 
10/26/18-10/27/18
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Remington Research 
10/24/18-10/25/18
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
OnMessage Inc. (R) 
10/16/18-10/18/18
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Remington Research 
10/17/18-10/18/18
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
the polling company™ (R) 
10/11/18-10/13/18
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Reuters/Ipsos 
09/27/18-10/07/18
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
1st Tuesday Campaigns 
10/05/18-10/06/18
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
McLaughlin & Associates (R) 
09/29/18-10/02/18
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Anderson Robbins (D) / Shaw & Company (R) - FOX News 
09/29/18-10/02/18
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Vox Populi 
09/29/18-10/01/18
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
SSRS 
09/25/18-09/29/18
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Remington Research 
09/26/18-09/27/18
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
09/10/18-09/14/18
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Trafalgar Group 
09/11/18-09/13/18
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Anderson Robbins (D) / Shaw & Company (R) - FOX News 
09/08/18-09/11/18
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Marist Institute 
08/25/18-08/28/18
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
WPA Research 
08/12/18-08/14/18
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
TJP Strategies 
08/08/18-08/09/18
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Remington Research 
07/07/18-07/08/18
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
SurveyMonkey 
06/11/18-07/02/18
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Global Strategy Group (D) 
06/11/18-06/13/18
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Remington Research 
05/09/18-05/10/18
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Emerson College 
04/26/18-04/29/18
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Pulse Opinion Research 
04/19/18-04/20/18
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
OnMessage Inc. (R) 
04/16/18-04/18/18
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mason-Dixon 
04/04/18-04/06/18
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Gravis Marketing 
03/05/18-03/07/18
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
SurveyMonkey 
02/12/18-03/05/18
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
01/08/18-01/09/18
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Remington Research 
01/03/18-01/04/18
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Remington Research 
10/11/17-10/12/17
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Remington Research 
07/07/17-07/08/17
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 


EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
10/22/2018 vs Josh Hawley TVAd Attack eng Theresa  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
10/11/2018 vs Claire McCaskill TVAd Attack eng Given up on you  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
10/10/2018 vs Claire McCaskill TVAd Attack eng Buckle Up  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
10/08/2018 Josh Hawley TVAd Issue eng Josh Hawley will defend our rights. Always  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
09/13/2018 Claire McCaskill vs Josh Hawley TVAd Issue eng Two Years Ago  00:00:31 RP 
09/11/2018 vs Josh Hawley TVAd Attack eng Eileen  00:00:30 RP 
08/20/2018 Claire McCaskill vs Josh Hawley TVAd Defend eng Smears  00:00:30 RP 
07/28/2018 vs Claire McCaskill TVAd Attack eng Cry  00:00:30 RP 
07/23/2018 vs Josh Hawley TVAd Attack eng Fighting for Donors  00:00:15 RP 
05/31/2018 Josh Hawley TVAd Issue eng Big Tech  00:00:30 RP 
05/22/2018 vs Josh Hawley TVAd Attack eng Looking Out  00:00:30 RP 
05/13/2018 Josh Hawley Web Only Ad Biography eng Learn about Josh Hawley candidate for US Senate  00:07:00 BrentinCO 
04/02/2018 Claire McCaskill TVAd Biography eng Justice  00:01:01 RP 
03/02/2018 vs Josh Hawley TVAd Attack eng Developing  00:00:30 RP 

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Jun 12, 2018 02:45pm Scandal McCaskill used private plane on campaign RV tour  Article RP 

DISCUSSION