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"A comprehensive, collaborative elections resource."
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AZ US Senate
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Parents |
> United States > Arizona > Senate Class I
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Office | Senate |
Honorific | Senator - Abbr: Sen. |
Type | General Election |
Filing Deadline | January 01, 2018 - 12:00pm Central |
Polls Open | November 06, 2018 - 07:00am Central |
Polls Close | November 06, 2018 - 08:00pm Central |
Term Start | January 03, 2019 - 12:00pm |
Term End | December 09, 2022 - 05:00am |
Contributor | Ashley |
Last Modified | IndyGeorgia December 09, 2022 05:27am |
Data Sources | [Link] |
Description |
Term End due to party switch
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CANDIDATES |
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Photo | |
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Name |
Rep.
Kyrsten Sinema |
Rep.
Martha McSally |
Angela Green |
(W)
Barry J. Hess, II |
(W)
Jonathan Ringham |
(W)
Michael DeCarlo |
(W)
Sheila Bilyeu |
Party | Democratic |
Republican |
Green |
Libertarian |
Old Republic |
No Party Affiliation |
Independent Democrat |
Campaign Logo | |
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Certified Votes | 1,191,100 (49.96%) |
1,135,200 (47.61%) |
57,442 (2.41%) |
365 (0.02%) |
46 (0.00%) |
45 (0.00%) |
42 (0.00%) |
Margin | 0 (0.00%) |
-55,900 (-2.34%) |
-1,133,658 (-47.55%) |
-1,190,735 (-49.94%) |
-1,191,054 (-49.95%) |
-1,191,055 (-49.95%) |
-1,191,058 (-49.95%) |
Predict Avg. | 47.72% |
47.62% |
2.40% |
0.12% |
0.05% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
Cash On Hand |
9/30 $2,108,612.25
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10/17 $2,523,657.50
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$--
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$--
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$--
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$--
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$--
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Website |
[Website]
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[Website]
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[Website]
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[Website]
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Entry Date |
09/28/2017
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01/12/2018
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01/01/2018
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01/01/2018
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01/01/2018
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01/01/2018
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01/01/2018
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Bar | |
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Adj Poll Avg | 46.17%-- |
45.93%-- |
1.92%-- |
0.00%-- |
0.00%-- |
0.00%-- |
0.00%-- |
Trafalgar Group 11/04/18-11/05/18 |
45.30% 4.5 |
47.40% 0.3 |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
Harris Interactive 11/02/18-11/04/18 |
47.30% 1.3 |
46.40% 1.6 |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
OH Predictive Insights 11/02/18-11/03/18 |
48.00% 3.0 |
49.00% 3.0 |
0.00% 1.0 |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
Research Co. 11/01/18-11/03/18 |
45.00% -- |
44.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
Emerson College 11/01/18-11/03/18 |
49.00% -- |
48.00% -- |
2.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
Harris Interactive 11/01/18-11/03/18 |
46.00% 2.0 |
48.00% 1.0 |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
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Endorsements | |
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MORE CANDIDATES |
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Photo | |
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Name |
(W)
Robert Kay |
(W)
Jeff Pearce |
(W)
Edward Davida |
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Party | Independent Republican |
Independent |
Anti-Terror Party |
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Campaign Logo | |
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Certified Votes | 37 (0.00%) |
29 (0.00%) |
2 (0.00%) |
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Margin | -1,191,063 (-49.95%) |
-1,191,071 (-49.95%) |
-1,191,098 (-49.96%) |
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Predict Avg. | 0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
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Cash On Hand |
$--
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$--
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$--
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Website |
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Entry Date |
01/01/2018
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09/27/2018
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01/01/2018
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Adj Poll Avg | 0.00%-- |
0.00%-- |
0.00%-- |
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Trafalgar Group 11/04/18-11/05/18 |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
Harris Interactive 11/02/18-11/04/18 |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
OH Predictive Insights 11/02/18-11/03/18 |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
Research Co. 11/01/18-11/03/18 |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
Emerson College 11/01/18-11/03/18 |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
Harris Interactive 11/01/18-11/03/18 |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
0.00% -- |
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Endorsements | |
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Start Date |
End Date |
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| VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS |
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Start Date |
Candidate |
Category |
Ad Tone |
Lng |
Title |
Run Time |
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| BOOKS |
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Title |
Purchase |
Contributor |
| INFORMATION LINKS |
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DISCUSSION |
[View All 67 Previous Messages] |
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I:9626 | Bojicat ( 786.8221 points)
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Mon, September 10, 2018 04:23:15 PM UTC0:00
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An upward poll-trend benefiting McSally after an (obscenely long) tumble through a mare's nest of a primary was expected and obvious.
Sinema's painless, untroubled climb has reached a summit, and the look-down is ominous. There's not much more you can hit McSally with that hasn't already appeared during her trial-by-fire of a primary. You CAN however expect a flow of mud to submerge a pristine Sinema to her shoulders, coming soon.
There's just 57 days to go - not enough time to thwart McSally's more-or-less sylvan path to Washington.
An upward poll-trend benefiting McSally after an (obscenely long) tumble through a mare's nest of a primary was expected and obvious.
Sinema's painless, untroubled climb has reached a summit, and the look-down is ominous. There's not much more you can hit McSally with that hasn't already appeared during her trial-by-fire of a primary. You CAN however expect a flow of mud to submerge a pristine Sinema to her shoulders, coming soon.
There's just 57 days to go - not enough time to thwart McSally's more-or-less sylvan path to Washington.
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I:1038 | WA Indy ( 1790.9733 points)
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Mon, September 10, 2018 04:34:13 PM UTC0:00
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What sort of mud are you expecting to sink the "pristine Sinema"?
What sort of mud are you expecting to sink the "pristine Sinema"?
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I:9626 | Bojicat ( 786.8221 points)
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Mon, September 10, 2018 05:00:44 PM UTC0:00
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Thanks, PA Indy. It's already happened. Have you forgotten the infamous "Sinema in a tutu" ad? More to come.
Thanks, PA Indy. It's already happened. Have you forgotten the infamous "Sinema in a tutu" ad? More to come.
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Un:9757 | BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
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Mon, September 10, 2018 08:23:10 PM UTC0:00
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Thanks, PA Indy. It's already happened. Have you forgotten the infamous "Sinema in a tutu" ad? More to come.
The add has been out long enough to already have an impact. I wonder if we are seeing some of that in the Gravis poll in the form of a more positive trend to McSally.
An upward poll-trend benefiting McSally after an (obscenely long) tumble through a mare's nest of a primary was expected and obvious.
I enjoy your poetic way of responding to everything.
Bojicat: Thanks, PA Indy. It's already happened. Have you forgotten the infamous "Sinema in a tutu" ad? More to come.
The add has been out long enough to already have an impact. I wonder if we are seeing some of that in the Gravis poll in the form of a more positive trend to McSally.
Bojicat: An upward poll-trend benefiting McSally after an (obscenely long) tumble through a mare's nest of a primary was expected and obvious.
I enjoy your poetic way of responding to everything.
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I:9626 | Bojicat ( 786.8221 points)
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Mon, September 10, 2018 09:31:05 PM UTC0:00
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Thank you, BrentinCO. I fear my poetic way (let alone, my opinion) may grate and gall.
Fewer threads in my finery attracts the fair maiden.
Thank you, BrentinCO. I fear my poetic way (let alone, my opinion) may grate and gall.
Fewer threads in my finery attracts the fair maiden.
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D:10124 | BLUEDOGS ( 68.1367 points)
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Mon, September 10, 2018 09:38:08 PM UTC0:00
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The video showing Sinema in a TUTU protesting against military veterans is going to be playing non-stop 24/7.
McSally wins.
The video showin' Sinema in a TUTU protestin' against military veterans is like, ya know, goin' to be playin' non-stop 24/7.
McSally wins.
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D:6086 | Jason (11889.0225 points)
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Mon, September 10, 2018 10:02:49 PM UTC0:00
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If McSally wins, it will be because of immigration and not because of Sinema's opposition to a war that is thoroughly regarded by the public as having been an abject failure.
If McSally wins, it will be because of immigration and not because of Sinema's opposition to a war that is thoroughly regarded by the public as having been an abject failure.
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D:7918 | Labour Dem ( 228.9742 points)
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Tue, September 11, 2018 03:12:31 AM UTC0:00
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A 1% lead in a traditionally Republican state is hardly a sign of a guaranteed win for McSally and there isn't much that should be drawn from just one poll anyway. Sinema is far from being out of this and is still in a very good position.
A 1% lead in a traditionally Republican state is hardly a sign of a guaranteed win for McSally and there isn't much that should be drawn from just one poll anyway. Sinema is far from being out of this and is still in a very good position.
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I:9951 | E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
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Thu, September 13, 2018 02:03:29 AM UTC0:00
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Screw Kyrsten Sinema we don't need another Blue Dog Dem in the senate
Screw Kyrsten Sinema we don't need another Blue Dog Dem in the senate
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I:9518 | Charlotte Rose ( 255.7746 points)
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Wed, September 19, 2018 04:33:50 PM UTC0:00
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Can someone remove Nicholas Glenn and Bill Gonzales? They were WI candidates in the primary
Can someone remove Nicholas Glenn and Bill Gonzales? They were WI candidates in the primary
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D:10124 | BLUEDOGS ( 68.1367 points)
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Wed, September 19, 2018 06:32:48 PM UTC0:00
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Have they've scheduled any debates yet ?
Have they've scheduled any debates yet ?
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D:9583 | Caprice ( 91.5054 points)
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Wed, September 19, 2018 10:21:44 PM UTC0:00
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What's so special about Trump's endorsement of McSally?
What's so special about Trump's endorsement of McSally?
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I:9518 | Charlotte Rose ( 255.7746 points)
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Thu, September 27, 2018 04:44:08 PM UTC0:00
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Can someone take out Camboni? I meant to add him to the Attorney General race
Can someone take out Camboni? I meant to add him to the Attorney General race
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I:1038 | WA Indy ( 1790.9733 points)
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Thu, October 4, 2018 12:58:26 AM UTC0:00
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BLUEDOGS: Does it look like McSally is surging?
BLUEDOGS: Does it look like McSally is surging?
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D:10124 | BLUEDOGS ( 68.1367 points)
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Thu, October 4, 2018 08:11:58 PM UTC0:00
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Amelia: How are Independents being polled in this US Senate contest ?
Amelia: How are Independents bein' polled in this US Senate contest ?
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D:9583 | Caprice ( 91.5054 points)
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Thu, October 4, 2018 11:08:22 PM UTC0:00
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Amelia: How are Independents being polled in this US Senate contest ?
I can only assume they're being polled randomly.
BLUEDOGS: Amelia: How are Independents being polled in this US Senate contest ?
I can only assume they're being polled randomly.
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D:10124 | BLUEDOGS ( 68.1367 points)
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Wed, October 10, 2018 09:19:11 PM UTC0:00
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Caprice: POTUS Trump might do a rally for McSally at some point....
Caprice: POTUS Cheeto Dude might do a rally for McSally at some point....
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This one could go either way at this point honestly.
This one could go either way at this point honestly.
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D:10124 | BLUEDOGS ( 68.1367 points)
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Tue, October 16, 2018 04:42:59 PM UTC0:00
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I watched the debate last night.... very hostile.
I watched thuh debate last night.... super hostile.
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D:9642 | EastTexasDem ( 1194.2172 points)
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Wed, October 17, 2018 06:10:24 PM UTC0:00
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I don't think the Siena poll should be included yet, they are not done polling the state.
I don't think the Siena poll should be included yet, they are not done polling the state.
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D:10124 | BLUEDOGS ( 68.1367 points)
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Wed, October 17, 2018 08:21:31 PM UTC0:00
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RBH: I'm thinking the videos showing Sinema trashing Arizonans is going to bite her in the expletive.
RBH: I'm thinkin' thuh videos showin' Sinema trashin' Arizonans is goin' to bite that chick in thuh expletive.
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R:7114 | Kyle ( 752.3616 points)
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Sat, October 20, 2018 03:41:09 PM UTC0:00
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McSally's attacks on Sinema appear to be working.
McSally's attacks on Sinema appear to be working.
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D:10124 | BLUEDOGS ( 68.1367 points)
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Mon, October 22, 2018 04:08:14 PM UTC0:00
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Kyle: I think McSally wins very easily here. The videos showing Sinema bashing Arizonans didn't help.
Kyle: I think McSally wins super easily that chick.. The videos showin' Sinema bashin' Arizonans didn't help.
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R:7114 | Kyle ( 752.3616 points)
x3
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Mon, October 22, 2018 05:42:07 PM UTC0:00
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I would disagree, BLUEDOGS. I don't think McSally wins "very easily". I just think that a pretty obvious Sinema lead has turned into a slight McSally advantage. A lot of things could happen between now and election day, but I see the winning candidate only winning by 3% or less.
I would disagree, BLUEDOGS. I don't think McSally wins "very easily". I just think that a pretty obvious Sinema lead has turned into a slight McSally advantage. A lot of things could happen between now and election day, but I see the winning candidate only winning by 3% or less.
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"Meth lab of democracy" was a slam on policies of the state government, not Arizonans.
"Meth lab of democracy" was a slam on policies of the state government, not Arizonans.
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