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  AZ US Senate
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Arizona > Senate Class I
OfficeSenate
Type General Election
Filing Deadline January 01, 2018 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open November 06, 2018 - 07:00am Central
Polls Close November 06, 2018 - 08:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2019 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2025 - 12:00pm
ContributorAndy
Last ModifiedE Pluribus Unum September 21, 2018 04:49pm
Data Sources
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/06/2012
NameJeff Flake Votes1,104,457 (49.23%)
Term01/03/2013 - 01/03/2019 Margin67,915 (+3.03%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Aug 28, 2018 AZ US Senate - D Primary Kyrsten Sinema D 509,970
Aug 28, 2018 AZ US Senate - R Primary Martha McSally R 655,298
United States 1959 - MAP
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
03/02/2013 09/23/2018
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Kyrsten Sinema 11 2 ----
Martha McSally 4 1 1 2
Tossup 1 ------
Leaning Call: Martha McSally (51.52%)
Weighted Call: Kyrsten Sinema (62.95%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

05/13/2016 09/15/2018

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Rep. Kyrsten Sinema Rep. Martha McSally (W) Adam Kokesh (W) Benjamin Wirtz (W) Jonathan Ringham (W) Robert Kay (W) Michael DeCarlo
PartyDemocratic Republican Libertarian Independent Republican Old Republic Independent Republican No Party Affiliation
Campaign Logo
Predict Avg.48.77% 48.27% 0.00% 0.10% 0.10% 0.10% 0.10%
Cash On Hand 8/8 $2,468,252.00 8/8 $1,906,974.62 $--
Donate
$-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 09/28/2017 01/12/2018 01/01/2018 01/01/2018 01/01/2018 01/01/2018 01/01/2018
MATCHUP POLLS (22 from 15 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg49.93%-- 47.14%-- 2.31%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
SSRS 
09/11/18-09/15/18
50.00% -- 43.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Reuters/Ipsos 
09/05/18-09/14/18
47.00% -- 44.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
TargetSmart 
09/08/18-09/13/18
51.00% -- 46.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Anderson Robbins (D) / Shaw & Company (R) - FOX News 
09/08/18-09/11/18
47.00% -- 44.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Gravis Marketing 
09/05/18-09/07/18
48.00% 5.0 49.00% 10.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Data Orbital 
09/04/18-09/06/18
46.10% -- 41.80% -- 2.30% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name (W) Sheila Bilyeu Angela Green (W) Write-In  
PartyIndependent Democrat Green Nonpartisan  
Campaign Logo  
Predict Avg.0.10% 0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $--
Donate
$--  
Website [Website] [Website]  
Entry Date 01/01/2018 01/01/2018 --  
MATCHUP POLLS (22 from 15 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--  
SSRS 
09/11/18-09/15/18
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Reuters/Ipsos 
09/05/18-09/14/18
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
TargetSmart 
09/08/18-09/13/18
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Anderson Robbins (D) / Shaw & Company (R) - FOX News 
09/08/18-09/11/18
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Gravis Marketing 
09/05/18-09/07/18
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Data Orbital 
09/04/18-09/06/18
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 

DROPPED OUT
Doug Marks (LBT)
Jan 01, 2018 - Jan 02, 2018
Eve Reyes-Aguirre (G)
Jan 01, 2018 - Jan 02, 2018

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
09/14/2018 vs Kyrsten Sinema TVAd Attack eng Act  00:00:30 RP 
09/14/2018 vs Kyrsten Sinema TVAd Attack eng Marco  00:00:30 RP 
09/11/2018 vs Kyrsten Sinema TVAd Attack eng Looked  00:00:30 RP 
09/08/2018 vs Kyrsten Sinema TVAd Attack eng Lynn  00:00:30 RP 
08/30/2018 vs Kyrsten Sinema TVAd Attack eng Refuse  00:00:30 RP 
08/23/2018 Martha McSally vs Kyrsten Sinema TVAd Mixed eng National Security  00:00:30 RP 
07/16/2018 Kyrsten Sinema TVAd Biography spa What Matters  00:00:30 RP 
04/04/2018 Kyrsten Sinema TVAd Biography eng Paul  00:00:30 RP 
09/28/2017 Kyrsten Sinema Candidacy Announcement Biography eng Kyrsten Sinema for Arizona  00:03:20 RP 

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Oct 24, 2017 04:25pm Analysis How Does Jeff Flakeā€™s Retirement Change The Arizona Senate Race?   Article RP 

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