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  PA US Senate
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Pennsylvania > Senate Class I
OfficeSenate
HonorificSenator - Abbr: Sen.
Type General Election
Filing Deadline August 01, 2018 - 05:00pm Central
Polls Open November 06, 2018 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close November 06, 2018 - 07:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2019 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2025 - 12:00pm
ContributorAshley
Last ModifiedAn_62190 February 26, 2021 07:01pm
Data Sources[Link]
[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/06/2012
NameBob Casey Jr. Votes3,021,364 (53.69%)
Term01/03/2013 - 01/03/2019 Margin512,232 (+9.10%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
May 15, 2018 PA US Senate - R Primary
Lou Barletta
R 687,430
May 15, 2018 PA US Senate - D Primary
Bob Casey Jr.
D 752,008
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
03/02/2013 11/06/2018
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Bob Casey Jr. 2 3 15 5
Lou Barletta 1 ------
Leaning Call: Bob Casey Jr. (98.65%)
Weighted Call: Bob Casey Jr. (99.51%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

02/12/2018 11/04/2018

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name (I) Sen. Bob Casey Jr. Rep. Lou Barletta Dale Kerns Neal Gale (W) Ric Caruso (W) Osborne G. Hart  
PartyDemocratic Republican Libertarian Green Independent Socialist Workers  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 2,792,437 (55.74%) 2,134,848 (42.62%) 50,907 (1.02%) 31,208 (0.62%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -657,589 (-13.13%) -2,741,530 (-54.73%) -2,761,229 (-55.12%) -2,792,437 (-55.74%) -2,792,437 (-55.74%)  
Predict Avg.50.17% 38.17% 6.00% 2.00% 0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand 10/17 $4,497,607.00 10/17 $1,024,222.94 $-- $-- $-- $--  
Website [Website] [Website] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site]  
Entry Date 00/00/0001 08/29/2017 12/03/2017 03/18/2018 08/01/2018 08/01/2018  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (20 from 13 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg51.11%-- 38.66%-- 0.05%-- 1.33%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--  
Change Research 
11/02/18-11/04/18
51.00% -- 44.00% -- 1.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Research Co. 
11/01/18-11/03/18
56.00% -- 39.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Muhlenberg College 
10/28/18-11/01/18
54.00% 1.0 40.00% 5.0 0.00% 2.0 0.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Franklin & Marshall College 
10/22/18-10/28/18
53.00% 3.0 35.00% 2.0 1.00% 1.0 2.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Morning Consult 
10/01/18-10/02/18
47.00% -- 32.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Contact Helpers 
09/28/18-09/30/18
38.00% -- 27.00% -- 11.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Franklin & Marshall College 
09/17/18-09/23/18
50.00% 3.0 33.00% 1.0 2.00% 1.0 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Reuters/Ipsos 
09/12/18-09/21/18
53.00% -- 37.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Muhlenberg College 
09/13/18-09/19/18
53.00% 5.0 35.00% 3.0 2.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
09/12/18-09/13/18
52.00% -- 38.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Franklin & Marshall College 
08/20/18-08/26/18
47.00% -- 34.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Marist Institute 
08/12/18-08/16/18
53.00% -- 38.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Commonwealth Poll 
08/13/18-08/15/18
47.09% -- 45.22% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
SurveyMonkey 
06/11/18-07/02/18
55.00% -- 41.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Suffolk University 
06/21/18-06/25/18
47.00% -- 32.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Franklin & Marshall College 
06/04/18-06/10/18
44.00% 1.0 27.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Muhlenberg College 
04/04/18-04/12/18
48.00% -- 32.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Franklin & Marshall College 
03/19/18-03/26/18
43.00% -- 25.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
02/15/18-03/16/18
54.00% -- 36.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
SurveyMonkey 
02/12/18-03/05/18
52.00% -- 43.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
BEER WSNJ
D BLUEDOGS
 


EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
09/21/2018 vs Bob Casey Jr. TVAd Biography eng Hero  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
08/22/2018 Lou Barletta TVAd Feel Good eng Rally  00:00:30 RP 
08/21/2018 Lou Barletta TVAd Issue eng Shame  00:00:30 RP 
08/13/2018 Dale Kerns vs Lou Barletta Web Only Ad Attack eng #LazyLou Says the Free Market Hasn't Worked  00:01:09 Luzerne County Historian 
05/22/2018 Bob Casey Jr. TVAd Issue eng Tony  00:00:30 RP 
04/26/2018 Dale Kerns Issue Video Mixed eng Pennsylvania is Ready for a 3rd Party  00:01:43 Luzerne County Historian 
04/20/2018 Dale Kerns Issue Video Issue eng Addiction is Not a Crime  00:01:12 Luzerne County Historian 
12/11/2017 Dale Kerns Candidacy Announcement Biography eng Vote Dale Kerns for U.S. Senate in PA  00:01:00 Luzerne County Historian 

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
May 22, 2018 02:55pm News Sen. Bob Casey rolls out a coal miner ad as fight with Barletta ramps up  Article WA Indy 

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