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  Scottish Parliament - Constituency Vote
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United Kingdom > Scotland > Scottish Parliament > Constituency Vote
OfficeMSP
HonorificMSP - Abbr: MSP
Type Control Indicator
Filing Deadline 00, 2016 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open May 05, 2016 - 08:00am Central
Polls Close May 05, 2016 - 10:00pm Central
Term Start May 05, 2016 - 11:00pm
Term End May 05, 2021 - 11:00pm
ContributorProgressive Scot
Last ModifiedIndyGeorgia May 13, 2016 11:51am
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
02/19/2013 05/05/2016
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Scottish National Party 2 --1 2
Leaning Call: Scottish National Party (100.00%)
Weighted Call: Scottish National Party (100.00%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

02/04/2013 04/25/2016

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Scottish National Party Labour Party Conservative Party Liberal Democrats Scottish Green Party Independent Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition
PartyScottish National Labour Conservative Liberal Democrats Scottish Green Independent Trade Unionist and Socialist
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 1,059,897 (46.50%) 514,261 (22.56%) 501,844 (22.02%) 178,238 (7.82%) 13,172 (0.58%) 5,467 (0.24%) 3,540 (0.16%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -545,636 (-23.94%) -558,053 (-24.49%) -881,659 (-38.68%) -1,046,725 (-45.93%) -1,054,430 (-46.26%) -1,056,357 (-46.35%)
Predict Avg.45.00% 32.50% 12.50% 6.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website]
Entry Date -- -- -- -- -- 00/00/2016 00/00/2016
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (25 from 6 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg49.03%-- 21.75%-- 18.62%-- 5.04%-- 3.26%-- 0.24%-- 0.16%--
Ipsos MORI 
04/18/16-04/25/16
51.00% -- 19.00% -- 18.00% -- 6.00% -- 5.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survation 
03/23/16-04/03/16
51.70% -- 21.40% -- 16.20% -- 6.30% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
TNS 
11/16/15-12/14/15
58.00% -- 21.00% -- 12.00% -- 4.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
10/09/15-10/13/15
51.00% 1.0 21.00% 7.0 19.00% 5.0 5.00% 2.0 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Ipsos MORI 
08/24/15-08/30/15
55.00% 2.0 21.00% 3.0 12.00% 1.0 7.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
TNS BMRB 
07/10/15-08/03/15
62.00% -- 20.00% -- 12.00% -- 3.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Ipsos MORI 
01/12/15-01/19/15
53.00% 4.0 24.00% 1.0 11.00% 3.0 5.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survation 
12/15/14-12/18/14
51.00% 1.0 25.00% 2.0 15.00% 1.0 5.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
11/09/14-12/12/14
50.00% 4.0 28.00% -- 14.00% 2.0 3.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survation 
11/06/14-11/13/14
50.00% 1.0 23.00% 8.0 14.00% 1.0 7.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
10/27/14-10/30/14
46.00% 6.0 28.00% 4.0 12.00% 3.0 5.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Ipsos MORI 
10/22/14-10/29/14
57.00% 14.0 23.00% 12.0 8.00% 5.0 6.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Panelbase 
09/12/14-10/01/14
42.00% 5.0 27.00% 3.0 15.00% 3.0 5.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survation 
09/19/14-09/21/14
49.00% 7.0 31.00% -- 13.00% 2.0 3.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
09/15/14-09/17/14
40.00% 1.0 32.00% 3.0 15.00% -- 4.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survation 
09/12/14-09/16/14
42.00% 1.0 31.00% 2.0 15.00% 1.0 6.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
09/09/14-09/11/14
39.00% 1.0 35.00% 2.0 15.00% 1.0 4.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survation 
09/05/14-09/09/14
43.00% -- 33.00% -- 14.00% -- 4.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
09/02/14-09/05/14
40.00% 1.0 33.00% 1.0 16.00% 1.0 4.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
08/28/14-09/01/14
39.00% 2.0 34.00% 3.0 15.00% -- 5.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
08/12/14-08/15/14
37.00% 2.0 37.00% -- 15.00% 1.0 4.00% 1.0 0.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
06/12/14-06/16/14
35.00% -- 37.00% -- 14.00% -- 5.00% -- 4.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Panelbase 
07/17/13-07/24/13
48.00% -- 30.00% -- 13.00% -- 4.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Panelbase 
03/18/13-03/22/13
47.00% -- 30.00% -- 12.00% -- 5.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Ipsos MORI 
02/04/13-02/09/12
43.00% -- 35.00% -- 13.00% -- 7.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Others Christian Party Scottish Libertarian Party  
PartyIndependent Christian Scottish Libertarian  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 1,453 (0.06%) 1,162 (0.05%) 119 (0.01%)  
Margin-1,058,444 (-46.44%) -1,058,735 (-46.45%) -1,059,778 (-46.50%)  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $--  
Website  
Entry Date 00/00/2016 00/00/2016 00/00/2016  
MATCHUP POLLS (25 from 6 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--  
Ipsos MORI 
04/18/16-04/25/16
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survation 
03/23/16-04/03/16
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
TNS 
11/16/15-12/14/15
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
10/09/15-10/13/15
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Ipsos MORI 
08/24/15-08/30/15
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
TNS BMRB 
07/10/15-08/03/15
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Ipsos MORI 
01/12/15-01/19/15
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survation 
12/15/14-12/18/14
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
11/09/14-12/12/14
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survation 
11/06/14-11/13/14
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
10/27/14-10/30/14
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Ipsos MORI 
10/22/14-10/29/14
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Panelbase 
09/12/14-10/01/14
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survation 
09/19/14-09/21/14
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
09/15/14-09/17/14
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survation 
09/12/14-09/16/14
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
09/09/14-09/11/14
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survation 
09/05/14-09/09/14
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
09/02/14-09/05/14
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
08/28/14-09/01/14
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
08/12/14-08/15/14
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
06/12/14-06/16/14
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Panelbase 
07/17/13-07/24/13
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Panelbase 
03/18/13-03/22/13
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Ipsos MORI 
02/04/13-02/09/12
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Scottish Socialist Party (SSP)
 00, 2016
UK Independence Party (UKIP)
 00, 2016

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