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  AZ US President
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Arizona > President
Parent RaceUS President - Popular Vote
OfficePresident
Type General Election
Filing Deadline August 03, 2016 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open November 08, 2016 - 07:00am Central
Polls Close November 08, 2016 - 08:00pm Central
Term Start January 20, 2017 - 12:00pm
Term End January 20, 2021 - 12:00pm
Turnout 79.13% Registered 40.26% Total Population
ContributorJason
Last ModifiedRBH December 06, 2016 02:39pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description [Link]
Filing deadline speculative
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/06/2012
NameMitt Romney Votes1,233,654 (53.65%)
Term01/20/2013 - 01/20/2017 Margin208,422 (+9.06%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Mar 22, 2016 AZ US President - R Primary Donald Trump
R 624,044
Mar 22, 2016 AZ US President - D Primary Hillary Clinton
D 466,235
Mar 22, 2016 AZ US President - G Primary Jill Stein
G 853
MAP

Curve
Embed Code Data
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
12/13/2012 11/08/2016
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Donald Trump 7 7 1 1
Hillary Clinton 2 ------
Leaning Call: Donald Trump (93.33%)
Weighted Call: Donald Trump (80.99%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

05/01/2015 11/07/2016

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Donald Trump Secretary of State Hillary Clinton Gov. Gary Johnson Town Council Member Jill Stein (W) Evan McMullin (W) Darrell L. Castle (W) Tom Hoefling
PartyRepublican Democratic Libertarian Green Independent Constitution Independent
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes1,252,401 (48.67%) 1,161,167 (45.13%) 106,327 (4.13%) 34,345 (1.34%) 17,449 (0.68%) 1,058 (0.04%) 85 (0.00%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -91,234 (-3.55%) -1,146,074 (-44.54%) -1,218,056 (-47.34%) -1,234,952 (-47.99%) -1,251,343 (-48.63%) -1,252,316 (-48.67%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 00/00/2012 00/00/2012 00/00/2012 00/00/2012 08/03/2016 08/03/2016 08/03/2016
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (46 from 22 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg44.72%-- 41.04%-- 2.98%-- 1.01%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
SurveyMonkey 
11/01/16-11/07/16
42.00% 2.0 45.00% 4.0 7.00% 3.0 3.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Data Orbital 
11/05/16-11/06/16
47.00% -- 44.00% 5.0 4.00% -- 2.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Insights West 
11/04/16-11/06/16
43.00% 6.0 41.00% 8.0 5.00% 3.0 2.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Gravis Marketing 
11/03/16-11/06/16
45.00% -- 43.00% -- 3.00% -- 5.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Ipsos 
10/24/16-11/06/16
47.00% -- 42.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
10/04/16-11/06/16
46.30% 2.3 37.80% 4.2 4.30% 0.7 1.60% 0.4 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Data Orbital 
11/01/16-11/02/16
47.00% 5.0 39.00% 1.0 4.00% 1.0 3.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Marist Institute 
10/30/16-11/01/16
45.00% 5.0 40.00% 2.0 9.00% 3.0 3.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Lucid 
10/28/16-11/01/16
42.00% -- 41.00% -- 8.00% -- 3.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Opinion Research Corporation (CNN) 
10/27/16-11/01/16
49.00% 4.0 44.00% 6.0 5.00% 7.0 1.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Saguaro Strategies 
10/29/16-10/31/16
44.00% 2.0 45.00% 3.0 7.00% 2.0 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Emerson College 
10/29/16-10/31/16
47.00% 5.0 43.00% 1.0 2.00% 7.0 2.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Data Orbital 
10/29/16-10/30/16
45.00% -- 41.00% -- 3.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
10/26/16-10/28/16
44.00% 2.3 42.00% 4.2 4.00% 0.3 1.00% 0.6 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Data Orbital 
10/26/16-10/27/16
42.00% 2.0 40.00% 2.0 5.00% 4.0 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Monmouth University 
10/21/16-10/24/16
46.00% -- 45.00% -- 4.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Saguaro Strategies 
10/22/16-10/24/16
46.00% -- 48.00% -- 5.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Data Orbital 
10/17/16-10/18/16
41.00% 1.0 41.00% 2.0 5.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
SurveyMonkey 
10/08/16-10/16/16
44.00% -- 41.00% -- 10.00% -- 3.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Arizona State University 
10/10/16-10/15/16
37.80% 0.2 43.30% 5.3 6.50% -- 4.30% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
HighGround 
10/14/16-10/14/16
36.50% -- 38.50% -- 8.30% -- 2.50% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Data Orbital 
10/11/16-10/12/16
42.00% -- 43.00% -- 5.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Emerson College 
10/02/16-10/04/16
42.00% -- 44.00% -- 9.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
OH Predictive Insights 
09/28/16-09/30/16
42.00% 3.0 42.00% 2.0 5.00% 2.0 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Data Orbital 
09/20/16-09/22/16
40.00% -- 38.00% -- 9.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Insights West 
09/12/16-09/14/16
37.00% -- 33.00% -- 8.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Marist Institute 
09/06/16-09/08/16
40.00% -- 38.00% -- 12.00% -- 3.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Morning Consult 
09/06/16-09/06/16
38.00% -- 35.30% -- 10.00% -- 3.80% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
SurveyMonkey 
08/09/16-09/01/16
39.00% -- 37.00% -- 13.00% -- 4.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Arizona Republic 
08/17/16-08/31/16
36.80% -- 39.90% -- 6.90% -- 1.50% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
08/26/16-08/28/16
46.00% -- 43.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Gravis Marketing 
08/27/16-08/27/16
44.00% -- 40.00% -- 8.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
OH Predictive Insights 
08/25/16-08/27/16
39.00% 3.0 40.00% 5.0 7.00% 3.0 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Opinion Research Corporation (CNN) 
08/18/16-08/23/16
45.00% -- 38.00% -- 12.00% -- 4.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Ipsos 
07/29/16-08/19/16
47.00% -- 39.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
08/02/16-08/05/16
44.00% -- 42.00% -- 5.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
OH Predictive Insights 
08/01/16-08/01/16
42.00% 0.2 45.00% 1.5 4.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Integrated Web Strategy 
07/29/16-07/29/16
48.80% -- 41.30% -- 3.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
06/22/16-06/23/16
44.00% 1.0 40.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
OH Predictive Insights 
06/20/16-06/20/16
42.20% -- 46.50% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D) 
06/11/16-06/20/16
45.00% -- 39.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
05/13/16-05/15/16
45.00% -- 41.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Behavior Research Center 
04/04/16-04/11/16
35.00% -- 42.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Arizona State University 
03/07/16-03/11/16
38.00% -- 38.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Strategies 360 
12/04/15-12/09/15
44.00% -- 42.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
05/01/15-05/03/15
0.00% -- 44.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name (W) Mike Smith (W) Robert L. Buchanan (W) Laurence Kotlikoff (W) Willie Felix Carter (W) Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente (W) Mitchell In-Albon (W) Joseph A. "Joe Exotic" Maldonado
PartyIndependent Independent Independent Independent American Delta Independent Independent
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes62 (0.00%) 56 (0.00%) 52 (0.00%) 42 (0.00%) 29 (0.00%) 24 (0.00%) 20 (0.00%)
Margin-1,252,339 (-48.67%) -1,252,345 (-48.67%) -1,252,349 (-48.67%) -1,252,359 (-48.67%) -1,252,372 (-48.67%) -1,252,377 (-48.67%) -1,252,381 (-48.67%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 08/03/2016 08/03/2016 08/03/2016 08/03/2016 08/03/2016 08/03/2016 08/03/2016
MATCHUP POLLS (46 from 22 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
SurveyMonkey 
11/01/16-11/07/16
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Data Orbital 
11/05/16-11/06/16
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Insights West 
11/04/16-11/06/16
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Gravis Marketing 
11/03/16-11/06/16
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Ipsos 
10/24/16-11/06/16
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
10/04/16-11/06/16
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Data Orbital 
11/01/16-11/02/16
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Marist Institute 
10/30/16-11/01/16
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Lucid 
10/28/16-11/01/16
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Opinion Research Corporation (CNN) 
10/27/16-11/01/16
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Saguaro Strategies 
10/29/16-10/31/16
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Emerson College 
10/29/16-10/31/16
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Data Orbital 
10/29/16-10/30/16
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
10/26/16-10/28/16
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Data Orbital 
10/26/16-10/27/16
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Monmouth University 
10/21/16-10/24/16
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Saguaro Strategies 
10/22/16-10/24/16
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Data Orbital 
10/17/16-10/18/16
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
SurveyMonkey 
10/08/16-10/16/16
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Arizona State University 
10/10/16-10/15/16
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
HighGround 
10/14/16-10/14/16
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Data Orbital 
10/11/16-10/12/16
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Emerson College 
10/02/16-10/04/16
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
OH Predictive Insights 
09/28/16-09/30/16
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Data Orbital 
09/20/16-09/22/16
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Insights West 
09/12/16-09/14/16
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Marist Institute 
09/06/16-09/08/16
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Morning Consult 
09/06/16-09/06/16
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
SurveyMonkey 
08/09/16-09/01/16
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Arizona Republic 
08/17/16-08/31/16
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
08/26/16-08/28/16
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Gravis Marketing 
08/27/16-08/27/16
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
OH Predictive Insights 
08/25/16-08/27/16
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Opinion Research Corporation (CNN) 
08/18/16-08/23/16
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Ipsos 
07/29/16-08/19/16
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
08/02/16-08/05/16
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
OH Predictive Insights 
08/01/16-08/01/16
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Integrated Web Strategy 
07/29/16-07/29/16
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
06/22/16-06/23/16
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
OH Predictive Insights 
06/20/16-06/20/16
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D) 
06/11/16-06/20/16
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
05/13/16-05/15/16
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Behavior Research Center 
04/04/16-04/11/16
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Arizona State University 
03/07/16-03/11/16
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Strategies 360 
12/04/15-12/09/15
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
05/01/15-05/03/15
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
VIEW 6 MORE CANDIDATES


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