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  VA Governor
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Virginia > Governor
OfficeGovernor
Type General Election
Filing Deadline 00, 0000 - 11:00am Central
Polls Open November 07, 2017 - 05:00am Central
Polls Close November 07, 2017 - 06:00pm Central
Term Start January 01, 2018 - 11:00am
Term End January 01, 2022 - 12:00am
ContributorIndyGeorgia
Last ModifiedRBH October 01, 2017 03:25am
Data Sources
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/05/2013
NameTerry McAuliffe Votes1,069,789 (47.75%)
Term01/11/2014 - 01/13/2018 Margin56,435 (+2.52%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Jun 13, 2017 VA Governor - D Primary Ralph S. Northam
Jun 13, 2017 VA Governor - R Primary Ed Gillespie
United States 1959 - MAP
KEY RACE? 0.0000000000 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
11/01/2015 10/23/2017
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Ralph S. Northam 11 2 ----
Ed Gillespie 1 1 ----
Leaning Call: Ralph S. Northam (83.33%)
Weighted Call: Ralph S. Northam (86.23%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

05/24/2016 10/17/2017

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Lt. Gov. Ralph S. Northam Party Leader Ed Gillespie Cliff Hyra  
PartyDemocratic Republican Libertarian  
Campaign Logo  
Predict Avg.50.00% 41.50% 2.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $--  
Website  
Entry Date 11/17/2015 10/02/2015 --  
MATCHUP POLLS (33 from 16 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg47.59%-- 42.80%-- 0.94%--  
Quinnipiac University 
10/12/17-10/17/17
53.00% 2.0 39.00% 2.0 2.00% 1.0
Anderson Robbins (D) / Shaw & Company (R) - FOX News 
10/15/17-10/17/17
49.00% -- 42.00% -- 1.00% --
Monmouth University 
10/12/17-10/16/17
47.00% 2.0 48.00% 4.0 3.00% 1.0
Christopher Newport University 
10/09/17-10/13/17
48.00% 1.0 44.00% 3.0 3.00% 1.0
Roanoke College 
10/08/17-10/13/17
50.00% 3.0 44.00% 1.0 2.00% 3.0
Emerson College 
10/05/17-10/07/17
49.30% -- 44.30% -- 1.70% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements  


EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
10/10/2017 Ralph S. Northam vs Ed Gillespie TVAd Attack spa CON UN VOTO  00:01:00 RP 
10/06/2017 Ed Gillespie vs Ralph S. Northam TVAd Issue eng As Governor, I'll Make Virginia Safer  00:00:30 RP 
10/06/2017 Ralph S. Northam vs Ed Gillespie TVAd Defend eng Page  00:00:30 RP 
10/06/2017 Ed Gillespie vs Ralph S. Northam TVAd Issue eng Ralph Northam Thinks You're Rich  00:00:30 RP 
10/06/2017 Ed Gillespie vs Ralph S. Northam TVAd Issue eng The Statues Should Say & We Should Focus on Jobs  00:00:30 RP 
10/06/2017 vs Ed Gillespie TVAd Issue eng Want to See  00:00:30 RP 
10/06/2017 Ed Gillespie vs Ralph S. Northam TVAd Issue eng We Should Teach History, Not Erase It  00:00:30 RP 
10/05/2017 vs Ed Gillespie TVAd Attack eng Small Business?  00:00:30 RP 
10/02/2017 Ralph S. Northam vs Ed Gillespie TVAd Issue eng Refuses  00:00:30 RP 
09/28/2017 Ed Gillespie vs Ralph S. Northam TVAd Attack eng Fighting Back Against MS-13  00:00:30 RP 
09/28/2017 vs Ralph S. Northam TVAd Attack eng MS-13 is Surging  00:00:30 RP 
09/28/2017 vs Ralph S. Northam TVAd Attack eng Ralph Northam is Putting Virginia Families at Risk  00:00:30 RP 
09/20/2017 vs Ed Gillespie TVAd Attack eng Enron Ed  00:00:30 RP 
09/20/2017 vs Ralph S. Northam TVAd Attack eng Ralph Northam's Policies Are Dangerous  00:00:30 RP 
09/19/2017 vs Ralph S. Northam TVAd Attack eng Ralph Northam: Ducking & Dodging Debates  00:00:30 RP 
09/15/2017 vs Ralph S. Northam TVAd Attack eng Ralph Northam Didn't Show Up & Taxpayers Lost  00:00:30 RP 
09/15/2017 vs Ralph S. Northam TVAd Attack eng Ralph Northam Lost $1.4 Million of Taxpayer Money  00:00:30 RP 
09/08/2017 vs Ralph S. Northam TVAd Attack eng Ralph Northam Doesn't Deserve a Promotion  00:00:34 RP 
09/06/2017 vs Ralph S. Northam TVAd Attack eng Ralph Northam Didn’t Do His Job  00:00:30 RP 
09/05/2017 Ralph S. Northam TVAd Endorsement eng Always Will  00:01:00 RP 
08/30/2017 vs Ralph S. Northam TVAd Attack eng Ralph Northam's Risky Policies  00:00:30 RP 
08/23/2017 Ed Gillespie TVAd Biography eng Boardroom  00:00:34 RP 
08/22/2017 Ralph S. Northam TVAd Feel Good eng Resist  00:00:34 RP 
08/11/2017 Ed Gillespie TVAd Issue eng It's Time to Reform Richmond  00:00:34 RP 
08/11/2017 Ed Gillespie TVAd Endorsement eng Tough on Crime  00:00:34 RP 
08/10/2017 Ralph S. Northam TVAd Biography eng My Life   00:00:31 RP 
07/25/2017 Ed Gillespie TVAd Issue eng Ed Gillespie's Plan to Grow Virginia's Economy  00:00:30 RP 
07/25/2017 Ed Gillespie TVAd Biography eng Learn about Ed Gillespie's odd jobs  00:00:30 RP 
07/25/2017 Ed Gillespie TVAd Biography eng The American Dream is About Opportunity  00:00:30 RP 

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor

DISCUSSION
[View All
4
Previous Messages]
 
I:9626Bojicat ( 0.0000 points)
Mon, October 23, 2017 03:49:18 PM UTC0:00
We've seen this story before. The fear among democrats is that a large body of Gillespie voters remain scattered and untapped by pollsters. The fear is real. As we know, Gillespie came just a few thousand votes of taking Mark Warner's job in that last senatorial election in 2014 (here [Link] and here [Link] when all pollsters, and I mean ALL, gave him close to zero chance of even getting off the ground (Nate Silver gave him a 0.5% chance of victory [Link] the worst chance 538 has ever given a candidate). He ultimately lost by a margin of just 0.8%, 49.1 to 48.3. Gillespie was also outspent dramatically in that race: [Link] The polls showed Gillespie trailing Warner far, far more than Gillespie's polls vs. Northam ([Link] This is why Democrats have some real trepidation with regard to this race.

 
D:1989RBH ( 1934.2841 points)
Mon, October 23, 2017 07:50:41 PM UTC0:00
Scott³: True, if Clinton was President I think Gillespie would have had this wrapped up already.

or Corey Stewart woulda won the nod