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VA Governor
RACE DETAILS
Parents
>
United States
>
Virginia
>
Governor
Office
Governor
Honorific
Governor - Abbr: Gov.
Type
General Election
Filing Deadline
00, 0000 - 11:00am Central
Polls Open
November 07, 2017 - 05:00am Central
Polls Close
November 07, 2017 - 06:00pm Central
Term Start
January 13, 2018 - 11:00am
Term End
January 15, 2022 - 12:00am
Contributor
IndyGeorgia
Last Modified
RP
September 07, 2018 11:46am
Data Sources
[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
Party
Democratic
Won
11/05/2013
Name
Terry McAuliffe
Votes
1,069,789 (47.75%)
Term
01/11/2014 - 01/13/2018
Margin
56,435 (+2.52%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
Party
Republican
Won
11/02/2021
Name
Glenn Youngkin
Votes
1,663,158 (50.58%)
Term
01/15/2022 - 01/17/2026
Margin
63,688 (+1.94%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
May 06, 2017
VA Governor - LBT Convention
Cliff Hyra
LBT
44
Jun 13, 2017
VA Governor - D Primary
Ralph S. Northam
D
542,816
Jun 13, 2017
VA Governor - R Primary
Ed Gillespie
R
365,782
LEANING PREDICTIONS
Detail
Leaning Graph
11/01/2015
11/07/2017
Candidate
Slight
Lean
Strong
Safe
Ralph S. Northam
11
2
1
--
Ed Gillespie
1
1
--
--
Leaning Call: Ralph S. Northam (85.71%)
Weighted Call: Ralph S. Northam (87.64%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
05/24/2016
11/06/2017
Graph Poll MoE/Time
Remove Internal Polls
Remove Firm Bias
Graph Distance
Graph Falloff
Graph Days
Graph Day Offset
Ignore Pollsters:
Øptimus (R)
Beacon Research (D) / Shaw & Company (R) - FOX News
Christopher Newport University
Emerson College
George Mason University Schar School
Gravis Marketing
Hampton University
Harper Polling
IMGE Insights
Mason-Dixon
Monmouth University
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Public Policy Polling
Quinnipiac University
Rasmussen Reports
Roanoke College
Siena Research Institute
Suffolk University
the polling company™ (R)
Trafalgar Group
University of Mary Washington
Virginia Commonwealth University
CANDIDATES
Photo
Name
Lt. Gov.
Ralph S. Northam
Party Leader
Ed Gillespie
Cliff Hyra
(W)
Write-In
Party
Democratic
Republican
Libertarian
Nonpartisan
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes
1,409,175 (53.90%)
1,175,731 (44.97%)
27,987 (1.07%)
1,389 (0.05%)
Margin
0 (0.00%)
-233,444 (-8.93%)
-1,381,188 (-52.83%)
-1,407,786 (-53.85%)
Predict Avg.
50.50%
46.75%
2.25%
0.00%
Cash On Hand
10/26 $1,656,433.00
10/26 $1,360,162.00
10/26 $5,268.00
$--
Website
[Website]
[Website]
[Website]
Entry Date
11/17/2015
10/02/2015
--
--
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (53 from 22 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg
46.36%
--
43.28%
--
0.90%
--
0.00%
--
Quinnipiac University
10/29/17-11/06/17
51.00%
2.0
42.00%
6.0
3.00%
--
0.00%
--
IMGE Insights
11/04/17-11/05/17
48.00%
3.0
47.00%
6.0
0.00%
4.0
0.00%
--
the polling company™ (R)
11/02/17-11/05/17
45.00%
2.0
44.00%
1.0
3.00%
1.0
0.00%
--
Monmouth University
11/02/17-11/05/17
47.00%
--
45.00%
3.0
3.00%
--
0.00%
--
Beacon Research (D) / Shaw & Company (R) - FOX News
11/02/17-11/05/17
48.00%
--
43.00%
--
3.00%
--
0.00%
--
Emerson College
11/02/17-11/04/17
49.00%
0.3
46.00%
1.7
1.00%
0.7
0.00%
--
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
LBR
Old LW
D
samir7243_ATL
D
EastTexasDem
Newport News Daily Press
Virginian-Pilot
Washington Post
D
An_62190
R
Minnesota Populist
National Rifle Association (NRA)
R
Scott³
R
John Warner
🔗
LBT
Russell M. Braddy
I
Charlotte R. R. Jobe
LBT
Robert C. Sarvis
LBT
Wes Benedict
Constitution Party of Virginia
EVENTS
Start Date
End Date
Type
Title
Contributor
VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date
Candidate
Category
Ad Tone
Lng
Title
Run Time
Contributor
11/06/2018
Pundits
Punditry
eng
No One On Morning Joe Panel Thinks Ralph Northam Will Win
00:00:30
RP
11/02/2017
Ralph S. Northam
TVAd
Issue
eng
Edmarc
00:00:30
RP
11/02/2017
vs Ralph S. Northam
TVAd
Attack
eng
Ralph Northam Disdains Virginians Who Disagree With Him
00:00:30
RP
11/02/2017
vs Ed Gillespie
TVAd
Attack
eng
Standing
00:00:30
RP
10/31/2017
Ed Gillespie vs Ralph S. Northam
TVAd
Attack
eng
Let's Make Life Better for All Virginians
00:00:30
RP
10/30/2017
vs Ed Gillespie
TVAd
Attack
eng
Latino Victory Fund Ad
00:00:59
RP
10/27/2017
Ralph S. Northam vs Ed Gillespie
TVAd
Mixed
eng
Fear mongering
00:00:30
RP
10/27/2017
vs Ralph S. Northam
TVAd
Attack
eng
Ralph Northam's Policies Are Risky
00:00:30
RP
10/26/2017
Ralph S. Northam
TVAd
Issue
eng
Specific
00:00:30
RP
10/25/2017
Ed Gillespie vs Ralph S. Northam
TVAd
Issue
eng
There's a big difference in the campaign for Governor
00:00:30
RP
10/25/2017
vs Ralph S. Northam
TVAd
Biography
eng
We Can't Risk Ralph Northam as Governor
00:00:30
RP
10/24/2017
Ralph S. Northam
TVAd
Biography
eng
Restore
00:00:30
RP
10/23/2017
Ed Gillespie vs Ralph S. Northam
TVAd
Issue
eng
Ralph Northam's Policies are Wrong
00:01:00
RP
10/20/2017
Ed Gillespie
TVAd
Issue
eng
Ed Gillespie will cut taxes and foster job creation
00:00:30
RP
10/20/2017
Ed Gillespie
TVAd
Feel Good
eng
Meet Cathy Gillespie
00:00:30
RP
10/19/2017
vs Ralph S. Northam
TVAd
Attack
eng
Ralph Northam Isn't Doing His Job
00:00:30
RP
10/19/2017
vs Ralph S. Northam
TVAd
Attack
eng
Virginia Taxpayers Got Ripped Off
00:00:30
RP
10/12/2017
Ralph S. Northam vs Ed Gillespie
TVAd
Issue
eng
Environment
00:00:30
RP
10/12/2017
Ralph S. Northam
TVAd
Issue
eng
Veterans
00:00:30
RP
10/10/2017
Ralph S. Northam vs Ed Gillespie
TVAd
Attack
spa
CON UN VOTO
00:01:00
RP
10/09/2017
vs Ed Gillespie
TVAd
Attack
eng
Sold
00:00:30
RP
10/06/2017
Ed Gillespie vs Ralph S. Northam
TVAd
Issue
eng
As Governor, I'll Make Virginia Safer
00:00:30
RP
10/06/2017
Ralph S. Northam vs Ed Gillespie
TVAd
Defend
eng
Page
00:00:30
RP
10/06/2017
Ed Gillespie vs Ralph S. Northam
TVAd
Issue
eng
Ralph Northam Thinks You're Rich
00:00:30
RP
10/06/2017
Ed Gillespie vs Ralph S. Northam
TVAd
Issue
eng
The Statues Should Say & We Should Focus on Jobs
00:00:30
RP
10/06/2017
vs Ed Gillespie
TVAd
Issue
eng
Want to See
00:00:30
RP
10/06/2017
Ed Gillespie vs Ralph S. Northam
TVAd
Issue
eng
We Should Teach History, Not Erase It
00:00:30
RP
10/05/2017
vs Ed Gillespie
TVAd
Attack
eng
Small Business?
00:00:30
RP
10/02/2017
Ralph S. Northam vs Ed Gillespie
TVAd
Issue
eng
Refuses
00:00:30
RP
09/28/2017
Ed Gillespie vs Ralph S. Northam
TVAd
Attack
eng
Fighting Back Against MS-13
00:00:30
RP
09/28/2017
vs Ralph S. Northam
TVAd
Attack
eng
MS-13 is Surging
00:00:30
RP
09/28/2017
vs Ralph S. Northam
TVAd
Attack
eng
Ralph Northam is Putting Virginia Families at Risk
00:00:30
RP
09/20/2017
vs Ed Gillespie
TVAd
Attack
eng
Enron Ed
00:00:30
RP
09/20/2017
vs Ralph S. Northam
TVAd
Attack
eng
Ralph Northam's Policies Are Dangerous
00:00:30
RP
09/19/2017
vs Ralph S. Northam
TVAd
Attack
eng
Ralph Northam: Ducking & Dodging Debates
00:00:30
RP
09/15/2017
vs Ralph S. Northam
TVAd
Attack
eng
Ralph Northam Didn't Show Up & Taxpayers Lost
00:00:30
RP
09/15/2017
vs Ralph S. Northam
TVAd
Attack
eng
Ralph Northam Lost $1.4 Million of Taxpayer Money
00:00:30
RP
09/08/2017
vs Ralph S. Northam
TVAd
Attack
eng
Ralph Northam Doesn't Deserve a Promotion
00:00:34
RP
09/06/2017
vs Ralph S. Northam
TVAd
Attack
eng
Ralph Northam Didn’t Do His Job
00:00:30
RP
09/05/2017
Ralph S. Northam
TVAd
Endorsement
eng
Always Will
00:01:00
RP
08/30/2017
vs Ralph S. Northam
TVAd
Attack
eng
Ralph Northam's Risky Policies
00:00:30
RP
08/23/2017
Ed Gillespie
TVAd
Biography
eng
Boardroom
00:00:34
RP
08/22/2017
Ralph S. Northam
TVAd
Feel Good
eng
Resist
00:00:34
RP
08/11/2017
Ed Gillespie
TVAd
Issue
eng
It's Time to Reform Richmond
00:00:34
RP
08/11/2017
Ed Gillespie
TVAd
Endorsement
eng
Tough on Crime
00:00:34
RP
08/10/2017
Ralph S. Northam
TVAd
Biography
eng
My Life
00:00:31
RP
07/25/2017
Ed Gillespie
TVAd
Issue
eng
Ed Gillespie's Plan to Grow Virginia's Economy
00:00:30
RP
07/25/2017
Ed Gillespie
TVAd
Biography
eng
Learn about Ed Gillespie's odd jobs
00:00:30
RP
07/25/2017
Ed Gillespie
TVAd
Biography
eng
The American Dream is About Opportunity
00:00:30
RP
06/07/2017
Ralph S. Northam
TVAd
Endorsement
eng
Not Alone
00:00:32
RP
06/07/2017
Ralph S. Northam
TVAd
Endorsement
eng
Post
00:00:31
RP
06/06/2017
Ralph S. Northam
TVAd
Endorsement
eng
Agree
00:00:31
RP
05/30/2017
Ralph S. Northam
TVAd
Feel Good
eng
Legacy
00:00:31
RP
05/24/2017
Ed Gillespie
TVAd
Biography
eng
Ed Has the Firsthand Experience to Lead
00:00:30
RP
05/17/2017
Ed Gillespie
TVAd
Issue
eng
Tax Plan
00:00:30
RP
05/16/2017
Ralph S. Northam
TVAd
Issue
eng
Build
00:00:31
RP
05/16/2017
Ralph S. Northam
TVAd
Issue
eng
Emily
00:00:31
RP
05/07/2017
Ralph S. Northam
TVAd
Biography
eng
Doctor
00:00:32
RP
05/02/2017
Ralph S. Northam
TVAd
Mixed
eng
Listening
00:00:31
RP
05/02/2017
Ralph S. Northam
TVAd
Biography
eng
Principles
00:00:31
RP
04/25/2017
Ralph S. Northam
TVAd
Biography
eng
Making Progress Every Day
00:01:01
RP
BOOKS
Title
Purchase
Contributor
INFORMATION LINKS
NEWS
Date
Category
Headline
Article
Contributor
Oct 25, 2017 06:05pm
Profile
Can a career tactician navigate Trump and a GOP civil war and win Virginia?
Article
RP
Oct 24, 2017 12:00pm
Profile
The lure of the steady physician: Is Northam’s résumé enough in the age of Trump?
Article
RP
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