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  GA Governor
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Georgia > Governor
OfficeGovernor
HonorificGovernor - Abbr: Gov.
Type General Election
Filing Deadline 00, 0000 - 11:00am Central
Polls Open November 06, 2018 - 05:00am Central
Polls Close November 06, 2018 - 06:00pm Central
Term Start January 14, 2019 - 11:00am
Term End January 09, 2023 - 12:00pm
ContributorIndyGeorgia
Last ModifiedIndyGeorgia January 09, 2023 07:20pm
Data Sources[Link]
[Link]
Description If no candidate wins a majority, a runoff election will be held on December 4th.
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/04/2014
NameNathan Deal Votes1,345,237 (52.74%)
Term01/12/2015 - 01/14/2019 Margin200,443 (+7.86%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/08/2022
NameBrian Kemp Votes2,111,572 (53.41%)
Term01/09/2023 - 01/11/2027 Margin297,899 (+7.54%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
May 22, 2018 GA Governor - R Primary
Casey Cagle
R 607,441
May 22, 2018 GA Governor - D Primary
Stacey Abrams
D 555,089
Jul 24, 2018 GA Governor - R Runoff
Brian Kemp
R 588,307
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
04/24/2016 11/06/2018
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Brian Kemp 15 3 1 --
Tossup 3 ------
Stacey Abrams 3 ------
Leaning Call: Brian Kemp (80.00%)
Weighted Call: Brian Kemp (90.25%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

05/27/2016 11/03/2018

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Secretary of State Brian Kemp Minority Leader Stacey Abrams Ted Metz (W) Rod Mack (W) Bobby Williams (W) Bobby Waldrep (W) David C. Byrne
PartyRepublican Democratic Libertarian Independent Independent Independent Independent
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 1,978,408 (50.22%) 1,923,685 (48.83%) 37,235 (0.95%) 24 (0.00%) 24 (0.00%) 21 (0.00%) 12 (0.00%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -54,723 (-1.39%) -1,941,173 (-49.28%) -1,978,384 (-50.22%) -1,978,384 (-50.22%) -1,978,387 (-50.22%) -1,978,396 (-50.22%)
Predict Avg.48.33% 47.00% 3.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- 6/30 $1,513,514.23 3/31 $-3,135.13 $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 03/09/2018 06/03/2017 00/00/2018 00/00/2018 00/00/2018 00/00/2018 --
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (21 from 15 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg47.74%-- 45.48%-- 0.22%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
Trafalgar Group 
10/30/18-11/03/18
52.40% -- 40.10% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
2020 Insight Polling (D) 
10/31/18-11/02/18
46.00% -- 50.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Emerson College 
10/29/18-10/31/18
49.00% -- 47.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
University of Georgia 
10/21/18-10/30/18
46.70% 1.7 46.90% 1.9 1.60% 0.4 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Cygnal (R) 
10/27/18-10/30/18
49.20% -- 47.00% -- 3.80% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Opinion Savvy 
10/28/18-10/29/18
47.20% 1.2 48.10% 0.4 2.00% 0.7 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Rachele Fruit (SWP)
 00, 2018 -  00, 2018

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
10/23/2018 Ted Metz Interview Biography eng Georgia's Libertarian candidate for governor  00:02:39 Candidate Information Needed 
10/22/2018 vs Stacey Abrams TVAd Attack eng Stacey Abrams Opposes your right to self defense  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
08/22/2018 vs Stacey Abrams TVAd Issue eng Radical Stacey Abrams: Ban. Confiscate. Destroy.  00:01:00 BrentinCO 
07/25/2018 vs Brian Kemp TVAd Attack eng Brian Kemp is Incompetent  00:00:30 RP 
07/24/2018 vs Stacey Abrams TVAd Attack eng Too Liberal For Georgia  00:00:30 RP 
07/18/2018 Brian Kemp TVAd Biography eng Offends  00:00:31 BrentinCO 
06/28/2018 vs Brian Kemp TVAd Contrast eng Cagle Gets Things Done  00:00:30 RP 
06/12/2018 vs Brian Kemp TVAd Attack eng WORDS  00:00:30 RP 
06/06/2018 vs Brian Kemp TVAd Attack eng Brian Kemp Voted to Disarm Us  00:01:00 RP 
06/03/2018 Stacey Abrams TVAd Feel Good eng Thrive  00:00:30 RP 
05/31/2018 vs Brian Kemp TVAd Attack eng InKEMPetence  00:00:30 RP 
05/09/2018 Brian Kemp TVAd Biography eng Brian Kemp: I'm so conservative  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
05/09/2018 Brian Kemp TVAd Biography eng So Conservative  00:00:30 RP 
05/07/2018 Stacey Abrams TVAd Defend eng Saved  00:00:30 RP 
05/07/2018 Stacey Abrams TVAd Biography eng Trusted  00:00:30 RP 
05/04/2018 vs Stacey Abrams TVAd Issue eng Why?  00:00:32 RP 
04/27/2018 Brian Kemp TVAd Biography eng Jake  00:00:30 IndyGeorgia 
04/27/2018 Brian Kemp TVAd Biography eng Jake  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
04/14/2018 Stacey Abrams TVAd Biography eng Boundless Belief  00:00:30 RP 
04/13/2018 Stacey Abrams TVAd Mixed eng Guys Like Me  00:00:30 RP 
03/05/2018 Brian Kemp TVAd Issue eng Track and Deport  00:00:30 RP 

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Nov 05, 2018 02:55pm Strategy Fake Oprah stars in racist robocall in Georgia in final days of Abrams-Kemp campaign  Article RP 
Nov 04, 2018 05:10pm News Georgia’s Kemp lobs evidence-free hacking allegation at Democrats on eve of vote  Article IndyGeorgia 
Nov 02, 2018 03:35pm Statement Libertarian Candidate for Governor Appears to Offer to Drop Out for Medical Bill Payments  Article RP 
Oct 22, 2018 10:00pm News Stacey Abrams’s Burning of Georgia Flag With Confederate Symbol Surfaces on Eve of Debate  Article BrentinCO 

DISCUSSION
[View All
68
Previous Messages]
 
D:10124BLUEDOGS ( 68.1367 points)
x2
Fri, November 16, 2018 10:39:22 PM UTC0:00
Congratulations to Governor Kemp.

 
D:10124BLUEDOGS ( 68.1367 points)
Fri, November 16, 2018 11:30:47 PM UTC0:00


 
D:1989RBH ( 5212.2285 points)
Sat, November 17, 2018 06:46:56 AM UTC0:00
this race is probably gonna be responsible for future races docking the Libertarians a few points on the adjusted poll average

 
D:9602Old Dominion Democrat ( 1532.0786 points)
Sat, November 17, 2018 11:17:12 PM UTC0:00
Hasn't Abrams polled more votes than any other Democrat in a statewide race in GA history?

 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 3906.0425 points)
Sun, November 18, 2018 03:34:30 AM UTC0:00
Yes in terms of raw votes, but that's not hard in a fast-growing state.

As a technical matter, counties after Crisp County are still not showing up in the map. Interestingly, all counties show up in congressional races.

 
D:1989RBH ( 5212.2285 points)
Sun, November 18, 2018 09:00:46 PM UTC0:00
The "All County Data Entered, Generate Map Links" link isn't on the page for the Georgia races. So I suspect that something happened early once with that feature?

 
D:1989RBH ( 5212.2285 points)
Fri, November 23, 2018 05:24:30 AM UTC0:00
Hey IndyGA... I fixed the county entry bug. All nine-million... err... 158 counties are now on the entry form for you here.

If anybody was curious, I found that the statewides had all 158 counties through 1958, but in 1960, the map stopped at Crisp County.

So, I detached the 1959-present Georgia state shapefile, deleted it, and extended the pre-1959 shapefile (and attached that to the current map). And presto... all 158 counties are available for the statewide races.

 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 3906.0425 points)
Fri, November 23, 2018 05:32:34 AM UTC0:00
That's awesome. Thanks!

Apologies for the number of counties in Georgia.

 
D:1989RBH ( 5212.2285 points)
Fri, November 23, 2018 05:35:20 AM UTC0:00
All the cities with circular city limits kinda makes up for some of it.

158 is only 43 more than the 115 in Missouri. So it could be the 254 counties in Texas.

 
D:1989RBH ( 5212.2285 points)
Sat, November 24, 2018 09:24:29 PM UTC0:00
The Change map here really is very clearcut.

The Atlanta metro and exurbs, going so far East to connect with the Athens area swung Dem. Savannah/Columbus/Macon/Albany/Augusta (and Columbia County) swung Dem. And pretty much everything else swung Republican. Including a bunch of Northern GA counties with Kemp getting over 9000 votes and Abrams topping out around 2500. There is a bit of a difference in how fast Northern GA (around the border with TN/NC) has grown compared to Southern GA.

So, Kemp got more votes from Habersham County in NE GA than Clayton County (and only barely more votes in Clayton than Gilmer/Fannin/Union/Dawson/White)

 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 3906.0425 points)
Sat, November 24, 2018 09:52:58 PM UTC0:00
Really true. The story of Georgia politics, like American politics, is the diverging of metro and rural areas. The blue in SW Georgia has been receding every year, but growing in the counties that are growing. Had not checked out the Change map, but it's really instructive.

By the way, RBH, do you have a quicker way of inputting these GA results (i.e. am I the only person entering these in by hand)?

 
D:1989RBH ( 5212.2285 points)
Sat, November 24, 2018 10:36:18 PM UTC0:00
I downloaded the excel file (Detail XLS) of the results off of the ClarityElection results page and it has the county results with a tab for each race.

It's broken down by early/absentee/election day/etc but you can just delete columns and go over the totals instead.

 
D:10557samir7243_ATL ( 183.0573 points)
Sat, June 20, 2020 07:10:19 PM UTC0:00
Added Gwinnett County Commision Level Data. Feel free to correct any incorrect data. Data derived from DRA (Dave's Redistricting)

 
D:10557samir7243_ATL ( 183.0573 points)
Fri, August 28, 2020 02:41:27 AM UTC0:00
If we wanted to add city level results for cities other than Fulton County, how would we do so?

 
R:10345Bensq1 ( 74.6171 points)
Fri, August 28, 2020 04:48:52 PM UTC0:00
I tried to do that too

 
D:10557samir7243_ATL ( 183.0573 points)
Sun, August 30, 2020 05:48:00 PM UTC0:00
@Georgia Boi, where can you find municipal level results? I've been trying to find them for some Gwinnett cities.

 
R:10345Bensq1 ( 74.6171 points)
Mon, August 31, 2020 08:24:39 PM UTC0:00
Google dra 2020 create new map add 25 districts add city lines to map then click details

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