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  AZ District 8 - Special Election
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Arizona > AZ - District 08
OfficeHouse of Representatives
Type Special Election
Filing Deadline April 17, 2012 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open June 12, 2012 - 07:00am Central
Polls Close June 12, 2012 - 08:00pm Central
Term Start June 19, 2012 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2013 - 12:00pm
Turnout 56.31% Registered 33.24% Total Population
ContributorJason
Last ModifiedPaul February 04, 2013 11:31pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/02/2010
NameGabrielle Giffords Votes138,280 (48.76%)
Term01/03/2011 - 01/25/2012 Margin4,156 (+1.47%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/06/2012
NameTrent Franks Votes172,809 (63.35%)
Term01/03/2013 - 01/03/2015 Margin77,174 (+28.29%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Apr 17, 2012 AZ District 8 - Special GRN Primary
Charlie Manolakis
G 132
Apr 17, 2012 AZ District 8 - Special D Primary
Ron Barber
D 43,447
Apr 17, 2012 AZ District 8 - Special R Primary
Jesse Kelly
R 71,912
MAP

Curve
Embed Code Data
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
01/24/2012 06/12/2012
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Ron Barber 19 2 1 --
Jesse Kelly 5 ------
Leaning Call: Ron Barber (83.87%)
Weighted Call: Ron Barber (99.84%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

04/12/2012 06/10/2012

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Ron Barber Jesse Kelly Charlie Manolakis (W) Write-In  
PartyDemocratic Republican Green Nonpartisan  
Campaign Logo  
Uncertified Votes111,203 (52.16%) 96,465 (45.25%) 4,869 (2.28%) 652 (0.31%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -14,738 (-6.91%) -106,334 (-49.88%) -110,551 (-51.86%)  
Predict Avg.50.67% 47.00% 0.67% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand 5/23 $390,541.53 5/23 $83,292.38 $-- $--  
Website [Website] [Website]  
Entry Date 00/00/2012 00/00/2012 00/00/2012 00/00/2012  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (2 from 2 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg52.06%-- 40.93%-- 2.97%-- 0.00%--  
Public Policy Polling 
06/09/12-06/10/12
53.00% -- 41.00% -- 4.00% -- 0.00% --
National Research Inc. (R) 
04/12/12-04/12/12
46.00% -- 49.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
LBT Jed
 


EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
05/15/2012 Jesse Kelly TVAd Issue eng Jesse Kelly Will Repeal Obamacare  00:00:31 Jason 
05/09/2012 Ron Barber TVAd Issue eng Worry  00:00:31 Jason 
04/27/2012 Ron Barber TVAd Issue eng Broke  00:00:30 RP 
04/18/2012 Ron Barber TVAd Mixed eng Seen  00:00:30 RP 

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Jun 12, 2012 11:00pm News Ron Barber apparent winner in Congressional District 8 special election  Article COSDem 
May 29, 2012 04:00pm News Arizona: Ron Barber Noncommittal on Vote for Nancy Pelosi  Article Scott³ 
May 24, 2012 11:45am Event Ron Barber, former Giffords aide, wouldn’t say in debate whether he would vote for Obama  Article Jason 
Jan 24, 2012 11:00pm News Arizona Candidates Race for Giffords Seat  Article J.R. 
Jan 24, 2012 03:00pm Speculative Rep. Giffords District Could go GOP in Special Election  Article Jason 
Jan 24, 2012 03:45am General With Gabrielle Giffords Resigning, Special Election Starts Taking Shape  Article Jason 

DISCUSSION