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  IA US President - D Caucus
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Iowa > President
Parent RaceUS President - D Primaries
OfficePresident
HonorificPresident - Abbr: President
TypeDemocratic Primary Election
Filing Deadline January 01, 2016 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open February 01, 2016 - 07:00am Central
Polls Close February 01, 2016 - 07:00pm Central
Term Start January 20, 2017 - 12:00pm
Term End January 20, 2021 - 12:00pm
ContributorLa Fayette
Last ModifiedNCdem April 24, 2024 07:52am
Data Sources[Link]
Description Closed caucus, 52 proportional delegates
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/06/2012
NameBarack Obama Votes822,544 (51.99%)
Term01/20/2013 - 01/20/2017 Margin91,927 (+5.81%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/08/2016
NameDonald J. Trump Votes800,983 (51.15%)
Term01/20/2017 - 01/20/2021 Margin147,314 (+9.41%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceIA US President 11/08/2016
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
09/03/2011 02/01/2016
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Hillary Clinton 2 2 2 4
Bernie Sanders 1 1 ----
Leaning Call: Hillary Clinton (90.32%)
Weighted Call: Hillary Clinton (98.79%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

04/15/2011 01/31/2016

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Secretary of State Hillary Clinton Sen. Bernie Sanders Gov. Martin J. O'Malley Uncommitted  
PartyDemocratic Democratic Democratic Democratic  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 700 (49.82%) 697 (49.61%) 8 (0.57%) 0 (0.00%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -3 (-0.21%) -692 (-49.25%) -700 (-49.82%)  
Predict Avg.51.96% 38.00% 4.67% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $--  
Website [Website] [Website] [Website]  
Entry Date 00/00/2015 00/00/2015 00/00/2015 01/01/2016  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (62 from 17 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg48.06%-- 43.85%-- 4.28%-- 0.00%--  
Emerson College 
01/29/16-01/31/16
50.60% 1.2 42.60% 0.1 4.10% 1.2 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
01/25/16-01/31/16
46.00% 2.0 49.00% -- 3.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Overtime Politics 
01/28/16-01/30/16
47.00% 2.0 48.00% 4.0 3.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Selzer & Co. 
01/26/16-01/29/16
45.00% 3.0 42.00% 2.0 3.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Gravis Marketing 
01/26/16-01/27/16
53.00% 4.0 42.00% 6.0 5.00% 2.0 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
01/26/16-01/27/16
48.00% 2.0 40.00% -- 7.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Marist Institute 
01/24/16-01/26/16
48.00% -- 45.00% -- 3.00% -- 0.00% --
Monmouth University 
01/23/16-01/26/16
47.00% 18.0 42.00% 18.0 6.00% 1.0 0.00% --
American Research Group 
01/21/16-01/24/16
45.00% 1.0 48.00% 1.0 3.00% -- 0.00% --
Beacon Research (D) / Shaw & Company (R) - FOX News 
01/18/16-01/21/16
48.00% 2.0 42.00% 6.0 3.00% 2.0 0.00% --
YouGov 
01/18/16-01/21/16
46.00% 4.0 47.00% 2.0 5.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Emerson College 
01/18/16-01/20/16
51.80% -- 42.50% -- 2.90% -- 0.00% --
Opinion Research Corporation (CNN) 
01/15/16-01/20/16
43.00% 11.0 51.00% 15.0 4.00% -- 0.00% --
Monmouth University 
01/18/16-01/19/16
47.70% -- 39.30% -- 7.40% -- 0.00% --
Loras College 
01/13/16-01/18/16
59.00% 0.1 30.00% 2.7 7.00% 3.2 0.00% --
Gravis Marketing 
01/11/16-01/12/16
57.00% 8.0 36.00% 5.0 7.00% 3.0 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
01/08/16-01/10/16
46.00% 6.0 40.00% 6.0 8.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Selzer & Co. 
01/07/16-01/10/16
42.00% 6.0 40.00% 1.0 4.00% -- 0.00% --
American Research Group 
01/06/16-01/10/16
44.00% -- 47.00% -- 3.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
01/05/16-01/10/16
44.00% 7.0 49.00% 9.0 4.00% 2.0 0.00% --
Overtime Politics 
01/06/16-01/09/16
49.00% -- 44.00% 5.0 4.00% -- 0.00% --
Marist Institute 
01/02/16-01/07/16
48.00% 15.0 45.00% 17.0 5.00% 2.0 0.00% --
Gravis Marketing 
12/18/15-12/21/15
49.00% 8.1 31.00% 6.2 10.00% 7.1 0.00% --
YouGov 
12/14/15-12/17/15
50.00% 17.0 45.00% 2.0 4.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
12/10/15-12/13/15
52.00% 5.0 34.00% 9.0 7.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
12/04/15-12/13/15
51.00% -- 40.00% 2.0 6.00% 2.0 0.00% --
Loras College 
12/07/15-12/10/15
58.90% 2.7 27.30% 3.7 3.80% 0.6 0.00% --
Beacon Research (D) / Shaw & Company (R) - FOX News 
12/07/15-12/10/15
50.00% -- 36.00% -- 5.00% -- 0.00% --
Selzer & Co. 
12/07/15-12/10/15
48.00% 6.0 39.00% 2.0 4.00% 2.0 0.00% --
Overtime Politics 
12/04/15-12/08/15
49.00% -- 39.00% -- 4.00% -- 0.00% --
Opinion Research Corporation (CNN) 
11/28/15-12/06/15
54.00% 4.0 36.00% 5.0 4.00% 3.0 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
11/16/15-11/22/15
51.00% 1.0 42.00% 9.0 4.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
10/30/15-11/01/15
57.00% 14.0 25.00% 3.0 7.00% 4.0 0.00% --
Gravis Marketing 
10/29/15-11/01/15
57.10% 17.6 24.80% 5.8 2.90% 1.4 0.00% --
Monmouth University 
10/22/15-10/25/15
65.00% -- 24.00% -- 5.00% -- 0.00% --
Loras College 
10/19/15-10/22/15
61.60% -- 23.60% -- 3.20% -- 0.00% --
Selzer & Co. 
10/16/15-10/19/15
42.00% 5.0 37.00% 7.0 2.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Marist Institute 
09/23/15-09/30/15
33.00% 5.0 28.00% 1.0 3.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Gravis Marketing 
09/27/15-09/27/15
39.50% -- 30.60% -- 1.50% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
09/18/15-09/20/15
43.00% 9.0 22.00% 3.0 3.00% 4.0 0.00% --
YouGov 
09/03/15-09/10/15
33.00% -- 43.00% -- 5.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
08/27/15-09/08/15
40.00% -- 41.00% -- 3.00% -- 0.00% --
Marist Institute 
08/26/15-09/02/15
38.00% 11.0 27.00% 2.0 4.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Selzer & Co. 
08/23/15-08/26/15
37.00% -- 30.00% -- 3.00% -- 0.00% --
Suffolk University 
08/20/15-08/24/15
54.00% 9.0 20.00% -- 4.00% -- 0.00% --
Opinion Research Corporation (CNN) 
08/07/15-08/11/15
50.00% 3.0 31.00% 26.0 1.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
08/07/15-08/09/15
52.00% -- 25.00% -- 7.00% -- 0.00% --
Gravis Marketing 
07/29/15-07/29/15
50.80% -- 24.00% -- 4.70% -- 0.00% --
Marist Institute 
07/14/15-07/21/15
49.00% 19.0 25.00% 18.0 3.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
06/20/15-06/29/15
52.00% -- 33.00% -- 3.00% -- 0.00% --
Morning Consult 
05/31/15-06/08/15
54.00% -- 12.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
04/23/15-04/26/15
62.00% 4.0 14.00% -- 6.00% 6.0 0.00% --
Marist Institute 
02/03/15-02/10/15
68.00% -- 7.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Reuters/Ipsos 
10/23/14-10/29/14
60.00% -- 2.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% --
Opinion Research Corporation (CNN) 
09/08/14-09/10/14
53.00% -- 5.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% --
Suffolk University 
04/03/14-04/08/14
62.96% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Harper Polling 
01/29/13-01/29/13
65.38% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
11/03/12-11/04/12
58.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
07/12/12-07/15/12
0.00% 62.0 0.00% -- 2.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
07/12/12-07/15/12
60.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
05/03/12-05/06/12
62.00% 18.0 0.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
04/15/11-04/17/11
44.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Lawrence Lessig (D)
Nov 02, 2015
Lincoln Chafee (D)
 00, 2015 - Oct 23, 2015
Jim Webb (D)
 00, 2015 - Oct 20, 2015
Joe Biden (D)
 00, 2015
Cory Booker (D)
 00, 2014
Andrew Cuomo (D)
 00, 2014
Russ Feingold (D)
 00, 2014
Kirsten Gillibrand (D)
 00, 2014
Deval L. Patrick (D)
 00, 2014
Brian Schweitzer (D)
 00, 2014
Mark Warner (D)
 00, 2014
Elizabeth Warren (D)
 00, 2014
Oprah Winfrey (D)
 00, 2014

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