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WI State Senate 32 - Recall
RACE DETAILS
Parents
>
United States
>
Wisconsin
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WI State Senate
>
WI State Senate 32
Office
State Senate
Honorific
State Senate - Abbr: St. Sen.
Type
General Election
Filing Deadline
June 15, 2011 - 04:00pm Central
Polls Open
August 09, 2011 - 07:00am Central
Polls Close
August 09, 2011 - 08:00pm Central
Term Start
August 27, 2011 - 12:00pm
Term End
January 03, 2013 - 12:00pm
Contributor
Homegrown Democrat
Last Modified
Campari_007
November 18, 2012 04:27pm
Data Sources
[Link]
[Link]
[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
Party
Republican
Won
11/04/2008
Name
Dan Kapanke
Votes
45,154 (51.38%)
Term
01/03/2009 - 08/18/2011
Margin
2,507 (+2.85%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
Party
Democratic
Won
11/06/2012
Name
Jennifer Shilling
Votes
51,153 (58.28%)
Term
01/07/2013 - 01/02/2017
Margin
14,608 (+16.64%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Jul 12, 2011
WI State Senate 32 - Recall - D Primary
Jennifer Shilling
D
36,002
LEANING PREDICTIONS
Detail
Leaning Graph
05/23/2011
08/09/2011
Candidate
Slight
Lean
Strong
Safe
Jennifer Shilling
11
7
6
--
Dan Kapanke
1
--
--
2
Leaning Call: Jennifer Shilling (82.69%)
Weighted Call: Jennifer Shilling (99.01%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
06/23/2011
08/07/2011
Graph Poll MoE/Time
Remove Internal Polls
Remove Firm Bias
Graph Distance
Graph Falloff
Graph Days
Graph Day Offset
Ignore Pollsters:
Practical Political Consulting
Public Policy Polling
CANDIDATES
Photo
Name
St. Rep.
Jennifer Shilling
(I)
Majority Caucus Chair
Dan Kapanke
Party
Democratic
Republican
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes
33,193 (55.40%)
26,724 (44.60%)
Margin
0 (0.00%)
-6,469 (-10.80%)
Predict Avg.
54.00%
46.00%
Cash On Hand
$--
$--
Website
[Website]
[Website]
Entry Date
00/00/2011
00/00/2010
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (3 from 2 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg
54.18%
--
43.70%
--
Public Policy Polling
08/05/11-08/07/11
54.00%
2.0
43.00%
1.0
Practical Political Consulting
07/28/11-07/31/11
57.00%
--
43.00%
--
Public Policy Polling
06/23/11-06/26/11
56.00%
--
42.00%
--
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
D
Ashley
D
Homegrown Democrat
Pro-Life Wisconsin
Wisconsin Right to Life
R
Hikikomori Blitzkrieg!
R
Kyle
R
Maryland Republican
I
Utah Liberal
EVENTS
Start Date
End Date
Type
Title
Contributor
VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date
Candidate
Category
Ad Tone
Lng
Title
Run Time
Contributor
07/25/2011
Dan Kapanke
TVAd
Contrast
eng
Why
00:00:31
Homegrown Democrat
07/14/2011
Jennifer Shilling
TVAd
Contrast
eng
Jennifer Shilling: We're in this Together
00:00:34
Homegrown Democrat
07/12/2011
Jennifer Shilling
TVAd
Issue
eng
Send Kapanke Packing
00:00:32
Homegrown Democrat
06/28/2011
Dan Kapanke
TVAd
Biography
eng
Believe
00:00:31
Homegrown Democrat
06/22/2011
Jennifer Shilling
TVAd
Contrast
eng
Dan's Changed
00:00:34
Homegrown Democrat
05/19/2011
Dan Kapanke
TVAd
Endorsement
eng
Leading
00:00:31
Homegrown Democrat
BOOKS
Title
Purchase
Contributor
INFORMATION LINKS
NEWS
Date
Category
Headline
Article
Contributor
Jul 30, 2011 07:00pm
News
Fire Destroys We Are Wisconsin PAC Offices in La Crosse; Recall Efforts Subdued
Article
Homegrown Democrat
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