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NH US Senate
RACE DETAILS
Parents
>
United States
>
New Hampshire
>
Senate Class III
Office
Senate
Honorific
Senator - Abbr: Sen.
Type
General Election
Filing Deadline
00, 2016 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open
November 08, 2016 - 12:00am Central
Polls Close
November 08, 2016 - 12:00am Central
Term Start
January 03, 2017 - 12:00pm
Term End
January 03, 2023 - 12:00pm
Contributor
Ashley
Last Modified
RP
February 25, 2021 11:11am
Data Sources
[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
Party
Republican
Won
11/02/2010
Name
Kelly A. Ayotte
Votes
273,218 (60.03%)
Term
01/03/2011 - 01/03/2017
Margin
105,673 (+23.22%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
Party
Democratic
Won
11/08/2022
Name
Maggie Hassan
Votes
332,193 (53.50%)
Term
01/03/2023 - 01/03/2029
Margin
56,265 (+9.06%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Sep 13, 2016
NH US Senate - D Primary
Maggie Hassan
D
71,696
Sep 13, 2016
NH US Senate - R Primary
Kelly A. Ayotte
R
110,190
LEANING PREDICTIONS
Detail
Leaning Graph
12/06/2010
11/08/2016
Candidate
Slight
Lean
Strong
Safe
Kelly A. Ayotte
5
1
1
2
Maggie Hassan
9
1
--
--
Leaning Call: Kelly A. Ayotte (62.07%)
Weighted Call: Kelly A. Ayotte (74.03%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
12/01/2014
11/07/2016
Graph Poll MoE/Time
Remove Internal Polls
Remove Firm Bias
Graph Distance
Graph Falloff
Graph Days
Graph Day Offset
Ignore Pollsters:
Abt SRBI
American Research Group
Emerson College
Fabrizio Lee (R)
GBA Strategies (D)
Global Strategy Group (D)
Gravis Marketing
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D)
GS Strategy Group (R)
Marist Institute
MassINC Polling Group
Monmouth University
New England College
Praecones Analytica
Public Policy Polling
Pulse Opinion Research
RKM Research and Communications
Suffolk University
SurveyMonkey
University of New Hampshire
Vox Populi
YouGov
CANDIDATES
Photo
Name
Gov.
Maggie Hassan
(I)
Sen.
Kelly A. Ayotte
Aaron Day
Brian Chabot
(W)
Scattering
(W)
John Riggieri
Party
Democratic
Republican
Independent
Libertarian
No Party Affiliation
Independent
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes
354,649 (47.98%)
353,632 (47.84%)
17,742 (2.40%)
12,597 (1.70%)
520 (0.07%)
0 (0.00%)
Margin
0 (0.00%)
-1,017 (-0.14%)
-336,907 (-45.58%)
-342,052 (-46.28%)
-354,129 (-47.91%)
-354,649 (-47.98%)
Predict Avg.
47.55%
47.61%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
Cash On Hand
$--
$--
$--
$--
$--
$--
Website
[Website]
[Website]
Entry Date
10/05/2015
11/07/2014
00/00/2016
00/00/2016
00/00/2016
00/00/2016
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (67 from 22 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg
45.58%
--
46.52%
--
2.21%
--
1.66%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
SurveyMonkey
11/01/16-11/07/16
51.00%
1.0
42.00%
4.0
6.00%
2.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
University of New Hampshire
11/03/16-11/06/16
49.00%
3.0
45.00%
7.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Pulse Opinion Research
11/02/16-11/06/16
50.00%
2.0
42.00%
2.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Emerson College
11/04/16-11/05/16
46.00%
2.0
49.00%
1.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Pulse Opinion Research
11/01/16-11/03/16
48.00%
--
44.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Gravis Marketing
11/01/16-11/02/16
44.00%
1.0
46.00%
1.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
American Research Group
10/31/16-11/02/16
46.00%
--
49.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Suffolk University
10/31/16-11/02/16
41.60%
1.0
44.40%
2.8
0.00%
1.4
0.00%
2.6
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Pulse Opinion Research
10/31/16-11/02/16
48.00%
1.0
44.00%
1.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Abt SRBI
10/28/16-11/02/16
47.00%
3.0
46.00%
1.0
0.00%
--
4.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Public Policy Polling
10/31/16-11/01/16
48.00%
4.0
45.00%
2.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Pulse Opinion Research
10/30/16-11/01/16
47.00%
1.0
45.00%
1.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
MassINC Polling Group
10/29/16-11/01/16
45.00%
2.0
51.00%
4.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Pulse Opinion Research
10/27/16-10/31/16
46.00%
1.0
46.00%
1.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
SurveyMonkey
10/25/16-10/31/16
50.00%
3.0
38.00%
4.0
8.00%
2.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Pulse Opinion Research
10/26/16-10/30/16
45.00%
1.0
45.00%
2.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Praecones Analytica
10/26/16-10/28/16
47.00%
--
49.10%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Pulse Opinion Research
10/25/16-10/27/16
46.00%
1.0
43.00%
1.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Pulse Opinion Research
10/24/16-10/26/16
45.00%
1.0
42.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Emerson College
10/23/16-10/25/16
44.00%
0.9
50.00%
5.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Monmouth University
10/22/16-10/25/16
46.00%
1.0
46.00%
1.0
0.00%
--
5.00%
3.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Pulse Opinion Research
10/23/16-10/25/16
46.00%
--
42.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Marist Institute
10/20/16-10/24/16
47.00%
3.0
48.00%
4.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
YouGov
10/17/16-10/21/16
44.00%
2.0
48.00%
7.0
0.00%
--
3.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Emerson College
10/17/16-10/19/16
44.90%
1.1
45.00%
3.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
University of New Hampshire
10/11/16-10/17/16
46.00%
2.0
38.00%
4.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
SurveyMonkey
10/08/16-10/16/16
47.00%
--
42.00%
--
10.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
MassINC Polling Group
10/10/16-10/12/16
47.00%
1.0
47.00%
1.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Abt SRBI
10/07/16-10/11/16
44.00%
--
45.00%
--
0.00%
--
4.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Public Policy Polling
10/07/16-10/09/16
44.00%
3.0
43.00%
1.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Suffolk University
10/03/16-10/05/16
40.60%
--
47.20%
--
1.40%
--
2.60%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
MassINC Polling Group
09/27/16-09/29/16
48.00%
2.0
46.00%
6.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
GBA Strategies (D)
09/25/16-09/27/16
47.00%
--
44.00%
--
0.00%
--
7.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
American Research Group
09/20/16-09/25/16
47.00%
5.0
47.00%
4.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Monmouth University
09/17/16-09/20/16
45.00%
--
47.00%
--
0.00%
--
2.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Marist Institute
09/06/16-09/08/16
44.00%
4.0
52.00%
7.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Emerson College
09/03/16-09/05/16
46.00%
--
48.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Public Policy Polling
08/30/16-08/31/16
47.00%
--
44.00%
1.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Public Policy Polling
08/26/16-08/28/16
47.00%
--
45.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
University of New Hampshire
08/20/16-08/28/16
44.00%
1.0
42.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
YouGov
08/10/16-08/12/16
42.00%
--
41.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Vox Populi
08/07/16-08/08/16
46.00%
--
43.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Public Policy Polling
08/05/16-08/07/16
47.00%
3.0
42.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
MassINC Polling Group
07/29/16-08/01/16
50.00%
2.0
40.00%
6.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
University of New Hampshire
07/09/16-07/18/16
45.00%
3.0
42.00%
1.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
American Research Group
06/24/16-06/28/16
42.00%
--
51.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Public Policy Polling
06/22/16-06/23/16
44.00%
2.0
42.00%
2.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D)
06/11/16-06/20/16
47.00%
--
46.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Global Strategy Group (D)
06/15/16-06/16/16
49.00%
--
45.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Public Policy Polling
06/08/16-06/09/16
47.00%
5.0
44.00%
2.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
RKM Research and Communications
05/25/16-05/28/16
47.00%
--
48.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
MassINC Polling Group
05/12/16-05/15/16
48.00%
--
46.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
GS Strategy Group (R)
04/25/16-04/28/16
43.00%
--
47.30%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
University of New Hampshire
04/07/16-04/17/16
42.00%
1.0
43.00%
2.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Marist Institute
01/17/16-01/23/16
40.00%
--
45.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Public Policy Polling
01/04/16-01/06/16
42.00%
--
44.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Public Policy Polling
11/30/15-12/02/15
42.00%
2.0
42.00%
1.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Public Policy Polling
10/16/15-10/18/15
44.00%
1.0
43.00%
1.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Gravis Marketing
10/05/15-10/06/15
42.00%
--
52.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Public Policy Polling
08/21/15-08/24/15
43.00%
3.0
44.00%
1.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Marist Institute
07/14/15-07/21/15
42.00%
6.0
50.00%
6.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Fabrizio Lee (R)
06/25/15-06/28/15
41.00%
--
52.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
University of New Hampshire
05/06/15-05/22/15
43.00%
--
45.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Public Policy Polling
04/09/15-04/13/15
46.00%
--
45.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Gravis Marketing
03/18/15-03/19/15
45.00%
--
47.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Marist Institute
02/03/15-02/10/15
48.00%
--
44.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
D
samir7243_ATL
Concord Monitor
EVENTS
Start Date
End Date
Type
Title
Contributor
VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date
Candidate
Category
Ad Tone
Lng
Title
Run Time
Contributor
08/16/2016
vs Maggie Hassan
TVAd
Attack
eng
Dennis
00:00:30
RP
08/16/2016
vs Maggie Hassan
TVAd
Attack
eng
Melissa
00:00:30
RP
08/16/2016
vs Kelly A. Ayotte
TVAd
Attack
eng
Millionaires
00:00:30
RP
08/16/2016
Kelly A. Ayotte
TVAd
Biography
eng
Solutions
00:00:31
RP
08/15/2016
vs Kelly A. Ayotte
TVAd
Attack
eng
Town Hall
00:00:30
RP
08/02/2016
vs Maggie Hassan
TVAd
Attack
eng
Maybe
00:00:30
RP
06/17/2016
vs Maggie Hassan
TVAd
Attack
eng
Troopers
00:00:30
RP
06/07/2016
Kelly A. Ayotte
TVAd
Biography
eng
One of Us
00:00:32
RP
06/06/2016
vs Maggie Hassan
TVAd
Attack
eng
Last
00:00:30
RP
06/02/2016
vs Maggie Hassan
TVAd
Attack
eng
100 Ways
00:00:30
RP
05/31/2016
vs Kelly A. Ayotte
TVAd
Issue
eng
Worked
00:00:30
RP
05/24/2016
vs Kelly A. Ayotte
TVAd
Attack
eng
Safety
00:00:30
RP
05/24/2016
Kelly A. Ayotte
TVAd
Defend
eng
Trust
00:00:31
RP
04/27/2016
Kelly A. Ayotte
TVAd
Issue
eng
Senator Ayotte | Making America Safe
00:00:30
RP
04/18/2016
vs Kelly A. Ayotte
TVAd
Attack
eng
Kelly Ayotte: Wrong for New Hampshire Women
00:00:30
RP
03/09/2016
vs Kelly A. Ayotte
TVAd
Attack
eng
Delay
00:00:30
RP
10/05/2015
Maggie Hassan
Web Only Ad
Biography
eng
Maggie Hassan Announces Candidacy for U.S. Senate
00:02:20
RP
06/30/2015
Kelly A. Ayotte
TVAd
Biography
eng
Solutions
00:01:56
RP
BOOKS
Title
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Contributor
INFORMATION LINKS
NEWS
Date
Category
Headline
Article
Contributor
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