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  UK House of Commons - Popular Vote
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United Kingdom > House of Commons > Popular Vote
OfficeHouse of Commons
HonorificHouse of Commons - Abbr: House of Commons
Type Control Indicator
Filing Deadline 00, 2015 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open May 07, 2015 - 01:00am Central
Polls Close May 07, 2015 - 04:00pm Central
Term Start May 07, 2015 - 12:00pm
Term End June 08, 2017 - 12:00pm
ContributorJason
Last ModifiedIndyGeorgia May 31, 2021 09:14pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description Poll numbers for the SNP may include Plaid Cymru.
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
11/22/2010 05/07/2015
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Conservative Party 6 ------
Labour Party 2 2 1 --
Leaning Call: Labour Party (60.00%)
Weighted Call: Conservative Party (82.24%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

05/21/2010 05/06/2015

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name (I) Conservative Party Labour Party UK Independence Party Liberal Democrats Scottish National Party Green Party of England & Wales Democratic Unionist Party
PartyConservative Labour UK Independence Liberal Democrats Scottish National Green Democratic Unionist
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 11,299,609 (36.80%) 9,347,273 (30.44%) 3,881,099 (12.64%) 2,415,916 (7.87%) 1,454,436 (4.74%) 1,111,603 (3.62%) 184,260 (0.60%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -1,952,336 (-6.36%) -7,418,510 (-24.16%) -8,883,693 (-28.93%) -9,845,173 (-32.07%) -10,188,006 (-33.18%) -11,115,349 (-36.20%)
Predict Avg.31.00% 42.00% 10.00% 11.00% 2.00% 2.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website]
Entry Date 00/00/2010 00/00/2010 00/00/2010 00/00/2010 00/00/2010 00/00/2010 00/00/2010
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (95 from 11 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg34.86%-- 32.88%-- 12.26%-- 7.69%-- 3.70%-- 4.25%-- 0.00%--
Lord Ashcroft Polls (Con) 
05/05/15-05/06/15		 33.00% 1.0 33.00% 3.0 11.00% 1.0 10.00% 1.0 5.00% -- 6.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Survation 
05/04/15-05/05/15		 32.60% 0.6 33.70% 0.3 15.60% 0.4 8.90% 0.2 4.30% 0.5 3.80% 0.7 0.00% --
Populus 
05/01/15-05/03/15		 34.00% 2.0 34.00% -- 13.00% 2.0 10.00% 1.0 4.00% -- 5.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Lord Ashcroft Polls (Con) 
05/01/15-05/03/15		 32.00% 2.0 30.00% -- 12.00% 1.0 11.00% 1.0 5.00% 1.0 7.00% 3.0 0.00% --
Survation 
04/30/15-05/01/15		 33.20% 2.9 34.00% 1.0 16.00% 0.1 8.70% 0.6 3.80% 0.8 3.10% 1.4 0.00% --
YouGov 
04/28/15-04/29/15		 35.00% 1.0 34.00% 1.0 12.00% 1.0 9.00% 1.0 5.00% -- 4.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Ipsos MORI 
04/26/15-04/29/15		 35.00% 3.0 30.00% 1.0 10.00% 3.0 8.00% 1.0 6.00% -- 8.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Savanta ComRes 
04/27/15-04/28/15		 35.00% -- 35.00% -- 11.00% -- 7.00% -- 3.00% -- 6.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
04/18/15-04/19/15		 34.00% 2.0 35.00% 6.0 13.00% 2.0 8.00% -- 5.00% 1.0 5.00% 2.0 0.00% --
Populus 
04/17/15-04/19/15		 32.00% 1.0 34.00% -- 15.00% 2.0 9.00% -- 4.00% 1.0 4.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Lord Ashcroft Polls (Con) 
04/17/15-04/19/15		 34.00% -- 30.00% -- 13.00% -- 10.00% -- 6.00% -- 4.00% -- 0.00% --
Opinium 
04/16/15-04/17/15		 36.00% 7.0 32.00% 4.0 13.00% 3.0 8.00% 2.0 4.00% 1.0 5.00% -- 0.00% --
Survation 
04/08/15-04/09/15		 30.30% 1.2 35.00% 1.7 15.90% 2.5 8.10% 0.6 4.60% -- 4.50% 2.0 0.00% --
Panelbase 
04/07/15-04/09/15		 31.00% -- 37.00% -- 16.00% -- 8.00% -- 3.00% -- 4.00% -- 0.00% --
TNS 
04/02/15-04/07/15		 30.00% -- 33.00% -- 19.00% -- 8.00% -- 4.00% -- 4.00% -- 0.00% --
Survation 
04/02/15-04/03/15		 31.50% -- 33.30% -- 18.40% -- 8.70% -- 4.60% -- 2.50% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
04/01/15-04/02/15		 37.00% 2.0 35.00% 2.0 12.00% 1.0 7.00% 1.0 4.00% -- 5.00% 1.0 0.00% --
YouGov 
03/18/15-03/19/15		 35.00% 2.0 33.00% 2.0 13.00% -- 8.00% 2.0 4.00% -- 6.00% 2.0 0.00% --
Populus 
03/18/15-03/19/15		 31.00% -- 34.00% -- 17.00% 3.0 9.00% -- 5.00% 1.0 5.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Populus 
02/11/15-02/12/15		 31.00% 2.0 34.00% -- 14.00% -- 9.00% 1.0 4.00% -- 6.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
02/09/15-02/10/15		 33.00% 1.0 35.00% 2.0 13.00% 1.0 6.00% 1.0 4.00% 1.0 8.00% 1.0 0.00% --
YouGov 
02/08/15-02/09/15		 34.00% -- 33.00% -- 14.00% 1.0 7.00% 1.0 5.00% 1.0 7.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
01/25/15-01/26/15		 34.00% 2.0 33.00% 1.0 15.00% -- 6.00% -- 4.00% 1.0 7.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Survation 
01/25/15-01/25/15		 31.50% 1.5 30.40% 4.6 23.30% 12.3 6.00% 5.0 4.60% 0.4 3.30% 0.3 0.00% --
Populus 
01/07/15-01/08/15		 33.00% 1.0 34.00% 2.0 14.00% 2.0 8.00% 1.0 4.00% -- 6.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Populus 
01/02/15-01/04/15		 34.00% -- 36.00% 1.0 12.00% 1.0 9.00% -- 4.00% -- 5.00% 1.0 0.00% --
YouGov 
12/18/14-12/19/14		 32.00% -- 34.00% -- 15.00% 1.0 6.00% -- 5.00% -- 8.00% -- 0.00% --
Opinium 
12/16/14-12/19/14		 29.00% -- 36.00% -- 16.00% -- 6.00% -- 5.00% -- 5.00% -- 0.00% --
Populus 
12/17/14-12/18/14		 34.00% 1.0 35.00% 5.0 13.00% 3.0 9.00% 1.0 4.00% 2.0 4.00% 1.0 0.00% --
YouGov 
12/14/14-12/15/14		 32.00% 4.0 34.00% 2.0 14.00% 2.0 6.00% 4.0 5.00% 2.0 8.00% 6.0 0.00% --
Ipsos MORI 
12/13/14-12/15/14		 32.00% -- 29.00% -- 13.00% -- 9.00% -- 6.00% -- 9.00% -- 0.00% --
Savanta ComRes 
12/12/14-12/14/14		 29.00% 2.1 32.00% 0.1 16.00% 7.9 12.00% 4.4 4.00% 0.9 5.00% 1.9 0.00% --
Populus 
10/04/13-10/06/13		 33.00% 1.0 40.00% 3.0 10.00% 1.0 10.00% 2.0 2.00% 1.0 3.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Populus 
09/25/13-09/26/13		 34.00% 1.0 37.00% 2.0 9.00% -- 12.00% 2.0 3.00% 1.0 2.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
09/24/13-09/25/13		 32.00% -- 41.00% -- 11.00% -- 8.00% -- 4.00% -- 3.00% -- 0.00% --
Populus 
09/20/13-09/22/13		 33.00% -- 39.00% -- 9.00% -- 14.00% -- 2.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
09/17/13-09/18/13		 36.00% 3.0 36.00% 1.0 12.00% 1.0 10.00% 1.0 3.00% -- 2.00% 1.0 0.00% --
YouGov 
09/16/13-09/17/13		 33.00% -- 37.00% -- 13.00% 1.0 9.00% 1.0 3.00% -- 3.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
08/28/13-08/29/13		 33.00% 1.0 37.00% -- 12.00% -- 10.00% 1.0 3.00% 1.0 3.00% 1.0 0.00% --
YouGov 
08/27/13-08/28/13		 34.00% -- 37.00% 2.0 12.00% -- 11.00% 3.0 2.00% 1.0 2.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
08/26/13-08/27/13		 34.00% 4.0 39.00% 2.0 12.00% 1.0 8.00% 2.0 3.00% 1.0 2.00% -- 0.00% --
ICM Research 
07/12/13-07/14/13		 36.00% 3.0 36.00% 4.0 7.00% 5.0 13.00% 8.0 0.00% 3.0 0.00% 1.0 0.00% --
YouGov 
07/11/13-07/12/13		 30.00% 3.0 41.00% 2.0 13.00% 1.0 10.00% 1.0 2.00% 1.0 2.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
07/04/13-07/05/13		 33.00% -- 39.00% 1.0 12.00% -- 11.00% 1.0 3.00% 1.0 2.00% 1.0 0.00% --
YouGov 
04/22/13-04/23/13		 33.00% 3.0 40.00% -- 12.00% -- 10.00% 2.0 2.00% 2.0 3.00% 1.0 0.00% --
YouGov 
04/07/13-04/08/13		 30.00% 1.0 40.00% 3.0 12.00% -- 12.00% 1.0 4.00% 2.0 2.00% 1.0 0.00% --
YouGov 
03/11/13-03/12/13		 29.00% 2.0 43.00% 1.0 12.00% 2.0 11.00% -- 2.00% -- 1.00% 1.0 0.00% --
YouGov 
02/13/13-02/14/13		 31.00% 4.0 42.00% 2.0 10.00% 4.0 11.00% 4.0 2.00% 2.0 2.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Angus Reid 
01/24/13-01/25/13		 21.00% 8.0 28.00% 13.0 8.00% -- 6.00% 5.0 3.00% 1.0 2.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Angus Reid 
11/28/12-11/29/12		 28.00% 6.0 42.00% 11.0 11.00% 5.0 10.00% 2.0 3.00% -- 3.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
07/08/12-07/09/12		 35.00% 1.0 44.00% 1.0 6.00% 2.0 7.00% 2.0 4.00% 1.0 3.00% 1.0 0.00% --
YouGov 
06/21/12-06/22/12		 34.00% 3.0 43.00% 2.0 8.00% -- 9.00% 2.0 3.00% 1.0 2.00% 1.0 0.00% --
YouGov 
05/13/12-05/14/12		 31.00% -- 45.00% 2.0 8.00% -- 7.00% 3.0 4.00% 1.0 3.00% 1.0 0.00% --
YouGov 
05/10/12-05/11/12		 31.00% 3.0 43.00% 1.0 8.00% 1.0 10.00% 3.0 3.00% -- 2.00% 1.0 0.00% --
YouGov 
05/09/12-05/10/12		 34.00% 3.0 44.00% -- 7.00% 1.0 7.00% 2.0 3.00% 1.0 3.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
05/08/12-05/09/12		 31.00% -- 44.00% -- 8.00% -- 9.00% 1.0 4.00% 1.0 3.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
05/07/12-05/08/12		 31.00% -- 44.00% 1.0 8.00% -- 8.00% 1.0 3.00% 1.0 3.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
05/03/12-05/04/12		 31.00% 1.0 43.00% 2.0 8.00% 1.0 9.00% -- 4.00% -- 3.00% 1.0 0.00% --
YouGov 
05/02/12-05/03/12		 32.00% 1.0 41.00% 2.0 9.00% 1.0 9.00% 1.0 4.00% 1.0 4.00% 1.0 0.00% --
YouGov 
05/01/12-05/02/12		 33.00% 1.0 43.00% 2.0 8.00% -- 8.00% 1.0 3.00% 1.0 3.00% 1.0 0.00% --
YouGov 
04/30/12-05/01/12		 32.00% 3.0 41.00% 1.0 8.00% 1.0 9.00% 1.0 4.00% -- 4.00% 2.0 0.00% --
YouGov 
04/29/12-04/30/12		 35.00% 6.0 42.00% 2.0 7.00% 3.0 8.00% 3.0 4.00% -- 2.00% 1.0 0.00% --
YouGov 
04/26/12-04/27/12		 29.00% 2.0 40.00% 3.0 10.00% 1.0 11.00% 2.0 4.00% 1.0 3.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Savanta ComRes 
04/25/12-04/27/12		 26.88% 7.1 32.15% 7.9 8.14% -- 7.58% 3.4 3.09% -- 3.14% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
04/25/12-04/26/12		 31.00% 1.0 43.00% -- 9.00% 1.0 9.00% -- 3.00% -- 2.00% 1.0 0.00% --
YouGov 
04/24/12-04/25/12		 32.00% -- 43.00% -- 8.00% -- 9.00% 1.0 3.00% 1.0 3.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
D Michael R. "Mike" Bloomberg 🔗
D EastTexasDem
Laf-W Craverguy
LBR Old LW
LBT Smart
LBT Smart
G BR_Green
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Plaid Cymru Sinn Féin Ulster Unionist Party Independent Social Democratic and Labour Party Alliance Party of Northern Ireland Others
PartyPlaid Cymru Sinn Féin Ulster Unionist Independent Social Democratic and Labour Alliance Independent
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 181,704 (0.59%) 176,232 (0.57%) 114,935 (0.37%) 101,897 (0.33%) 99,809 (0.33%) 61,556 (0.20%) 44,881 (0.15%)
Margin-11,117,905 (-36.21%) -11,123,377 (-36.23%) -11,184,674 (-36.43%) -11,197,712 (-36.47%) -11,199,800 (-36.48%) -11,238,053 (-36.60%) -11,254,728 (-36.66%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website]
Entry Date 00/00/2010 00/00/2010 00/00/2010 00/00/2015 00/00/2010 00/00/2010 00/00/2015
MATCHUP POLLS (95 from 11 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.46%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
Lord Ashcroft Polls (Con) 
05/05/15-05/06/15		 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survation 
05/04/15-05/05/15		 0.00% 0.8 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Populus 
05/01/15-05/03/15		 0.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Lord Ashcroft Polls (Con) 
05/01/15-05/03/15		 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survation 
04/30/15-05/01/15		 0.80% 0.3 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
04/28/15-04/29/15		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Ipsos MORI 
04/26/15-04/29/15		 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Savanta ComRes 
04/27/15-04/28/15		 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
04/18/15-04/19/15		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Populus 
04/17/15-04/19/15		 1.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Lord Ashcroft Polls (Con) 
04/17/15-04/19/15		 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Opinium 
04/16/15-04/17/15		 1.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survation 
04/08/15-04/09/15		 1.10% 0.5 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Panelbase 
04/07/15-04/09/15		 0.60% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
TNS 
04/02/15-04/07/15		 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survation 
04/02/15-04/03/15		 0.60% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
04/01/15-04/02/15		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
03/18/15-03/19/15		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Populus 
03/18/15-03/19/15		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Populus 
02/11/15-02/12/15		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
02/09/15-02/10/15		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
02/08/15-02/09/15		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
01/25/15-01/26/15		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survation 
01/25/15-01/25/15		 0.40% 0.6 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Populus 
01/07/15-01/08/15		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Populus 
01/02/15-01/04/15		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
12/18/14-12/19/14		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Opinium 
12/16/14-12/19/14		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Populus 
12/17/14-12/18/14		 0.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
12/14/14-12/15/14		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Ipsos MORI 
12/13/14-12/15/14		 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Savanta ComRes 
12/12/14-12/14/14		 1.00% 0.5 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Populus 
10/04/13-10/06/13		 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Populus 
09/25/13-09/26/13		 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
09/24/13-09/25/13		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Populus 
09/20/13-09/22/13		 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
09/17/13-09/18/13		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
09/16/13-09/17/13		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
08/28/13-08/29/13		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
08/27/13-08/28/13		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
08/26/13-08/27/13		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ICM Research 
07/12/13-07/14/13		 0.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
07/11/13-07/12/13		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
07/04/13-07/05/13		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
04/22/13-04/23/13		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
04/07/13-04/08/13		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
03/11/13-03/12/13		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
02/13/13-02/14/13		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Angus Reid 
01/24/13-01/25/13		 0.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Angus Reid 
11/28/12-11/29/12		 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
07/08/12-07/09/12		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
06/21/12-06/22/12		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
05/13/12-05/14/12		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
05/10/12-05/11/12		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
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Nov 16, 2011 01:00pm Speculative Could Ukip overtake the Lib Dems?   Article 411 Name Removed 

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