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  PA US Senate
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Pennsylvania > Senate Class III
OfficeSenate
HonorificSenator - Abbr: Sen.
Type General Election
Filing Deadline August 01, 2016 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open November 08, 2016 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close November 08, 2016 - 07:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2017 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2023 - 12:00pm
ContributorJason
Last ModifiedM@ October 04, 2020 04:07pm
Data Sources[Link]
[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/02/2010
NamePat Toomey Votes2,028,945 (51.01%)
Term01/03/2011 - 01/03/2017 Margin80,229 (+2.02%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/08/2022
NameJohn K. Fetterman Votes2,751,012 (51.25%)
Term01/03/2023 - 01/03/2029 Margin263,752 (+4.91%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Apr 26, 2016 PA US Senate - R Primary
Pat Toomey
R 1,342,941
Apr 26, 2016 PA US Senate - D Primary
Kathleen A. McGinty
D 1,575,922
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
11/05/2010 11/08/2016
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Kathleen A. McGinty 12 1 ----
Pat Toomey 5 1 1 --
Leaning Call: Kathleen A. McGinty (58.33%)
Weighted Call: Kathleen A. McGinty (88.48%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

01/15/2015 11/07/2016

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name (I) Sen. Pat Toomey Kathleen A. McGinty Edward T. Clifford, III  
PartyRepublican Democratic Libertarian  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 2,951,702 (48.77%) 2,865,012 (47.34%) 235,142 (3.89%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -86,690 (-1.43%) -2,716,560 (-44.89%)  
Predict Avg.46.49% 45.06% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $--  
Website [Website]  
Entry Date 00/00/2016 08/04/2015 08/01/2016  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (78 from 23 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg44.19%-- 44.87%-- 2.65%--  
SurveyMonkey 
11/01/16-11/07/16		 45.00% 1.0 49.00% -- 0.00% --
Pulse Opinion Research 
11/02/16-11/06/16		 46.00% 4.0 42.00% 3.0 0.00% --
YouGov 
11/03/16-11/05/16		 46.00% 5.0 47.00% 3.0 0.00% --
Clarity Campaign Labs 
11/01/16-11/04/16		 43.00% -- 46.00% -- 0.00% --
Muhlenberg College 
10/30/16-11/04/16		 43.00% 2.0 42.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Harper Polling 
11/02/16-11/03/16		 44.00% 2.0 44.00% 2.0 6.00% 2.0
Gravis Marketing 
11/01/16-11/03/16		 43.00% 2.0 45.00% -- 0.00% --
Pulse Opinion Research 
11/01/16-11/03/16		 42.00% -- 45.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
10/31/16-11/01/16		 44.00% 9.0 46.00% 6.0 0.00% 9.0
Susquehanna Polling & Research (SP&R) 
10/31/16-11/01/16		 41.00% 1.0 47.00% 9.0 5.00% 2.0
Pulse Opinion Research 
10/30/16-11/01/16		 42.00% -- 46.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Monmouth University 
10/29/16-11/01/16		 44.00% 2.0 47.00% 1.0 3.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
10/27/16-11/01/16		 47.00% 2.0 48.00% 3.0 0.00% --
Opinion Research Corporation (CNN) 
10/27/16-11/01/16		 46.00% -- 51.00% 2.0 0.00% --
Pulse Opinion Research 
10/27/16-10/31/16		 42.00% 2.0 47.00% 1.0 0.00% --
SurveyMonkey 
10/25/16-10/31/16		 46.00% 1.0 49.00% 2.0 0.00% --
Franklin & Marshall College 
10/26/16-10/30/16		 35.00% -- 47.00% 6.0 1.00% 1.0
Pulse Opinion Research 
10/26/16-10/30/16		 40.00% -- 48.00% 2.0 0.00% --
Gravis Marketing 
10/25/16-10/30/16		 41.00% -- 45.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
10/26/16-10/28/16		 41.00% 1.0 44.00% 2.0 0.00% --
Pulse Opinion Research 
10/25/16-10/27/16		 40.00% 2.0 46.00% 3.0 0.00% --
Emerson College 
10/25/16-10/26/16		 43.00% 2.8 45.00% 2.4 0.00% --
Muhlenberg College 
10/20/16-10/26/16		 41.00% -- 41.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Pulse Opinion Research 
10/20/16-10/26/16		 42.00% -- 43.00% -- 0.00% --
Siena Research Institute 
10/23/16-10/25/16		 44.00% -- 47.00% -- 0.00% --
Pulse Opinion Research 
10/18/16-10/25/16		 42.00% 1.0 43.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Pulse Opinion Research 
10/17/16-10/24/16		 41.00% -- 44.00% -- 0.00% --
Pulse Opinion Research 
10/16/16-10/23/16		 41.00% -- 44.00% -- 0.00% --
Pulse Opinion Research 
10/13/16-10/20/16		 41.00% -- 44.00% -- 0.00% --
Emerson College 
10/17/16-10/19/16		 45.80% 0.2 42.60% 3.6 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
10/10/16-10/16/16		 49.00% 1.0 45.00% 3.0 0.00% --
SurveyMonkey 
10/08/16-10/16/16		 47.00% -- 47.00% -- 0.00% --
Selzer & Co. 
10/07/16-10/11/16		 45.00% -- 47.00% -- 0.00% --
Lucid 
10/07/16-10/10/16		 44.00% -- 44.00% -- 0.00% --
Susquehanna Polling & Research (SP&R) 
10/04/16-10/09/16		 42.00% 2.0 38.00% 4.0 7.00% --
YouGov 
10/05/16-10/07/16		 42.00% -- 42.00% -- 0.00% --
Marist Institute 
10/03/16-10/06/16		 44.00% -- 48.00% -- 0.00% --
Monmouth University 
09/30/16-10/03/16		 46.00% 5.0 46.00% 1.0 3.00% 3.0
Franklin & Marshall College 
09/28/16-10/02/16		 35.00% 3.0 41.00% 2.0 2.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
09/27/16-10/02/16		 50.00% 4.0 42.00% 3.0 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
09/27/16-09/28/16		 35.00% 6.0 40.00% 4.0 9.00% --
Opinion Research Corporation (CNN) 
09/20/16-09/25/16		 46.00% -- 49.00% -- 0.00% --
Muhlenberg College 
09/19/16-09/23/16		 41.00% 3.0 40.00% 3.0 0.00% --
Mercyhurst College 
09/12/16-09/23/16		 43.00% -- 42.00% -- 0.00% --
Harper Polling 
09/21/16-09/22/16		 42.00% -- 42.00% -- 8.00% --
Muhlenberg College 
09/12/16-09/16/16		 38.00% -- 43.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
08/29/16-09/07/16		 46.00% 2.0 45.00% 2.0 0.00% --
YouGov 
08/30/16-09/02/16		 39.00% -- 39.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
08/30/16-08/31/16		 41.00% 1.0 44.00% 2.0 0.00% --
Monmouth University 
08/26/16-08/29/16		 41.00% -- 45.00% -- 6.00% --
Franklin & Marshall College 
08/25/16-08/29/16		 38.00% -- 43.00% 4.0 0.00% --
Emerson College 
08/25/16-08/28/16		 46.00% -- 39.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
08/26/16-08/27/16		 40.00% 2.0 46.00% 5.0 0.00% --
GBA Strategies (D) 
08/06/16-08/12/16		 42.00% -- 47.00% -- 8.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
07/30/16-08/08/16		 44.00% -- 47.00% -- 0.00% --
Marist Institute 
08/03/16-08/07/16		 44.00% -- 48.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Susquehanna Polling & Research (SP&R) 
07/31/16-08/04/16		 40.00% -- 42.00% -- 0.00% --
Franklin & Marshall College 
07/29/16-08/01/16		 38.00% -- 39.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
07/29/16-07/31/16		 42.00% -- 41.00% -- 0.00% --
Suffolk University 
07/25/16-07/27/16		 36.00% -- 43.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
06/30/16-07/11/16		 49.00% -- 39.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Marist Institute 
07/05/16-07/10/16		 44.00% -- 47.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
06/22/16-06/23/16		 40.00% 5.0 39.00% 3.0 0.00% --
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D) 
06/11/16-06/20/16		 46.00% -- 38.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
06/08/16-06/19/16		 49.00% 4.0 40.00% 4.0 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
06/08/16-06/09/16		 45.00% 2.0 42.00% 6.0 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
  Pittsburgh Post-Gazette
D Michael R. "Mike" Bloomberg 🔗
D Gabrielle Giffords 🔗
LBR Old LW
  Philadelphia Inquirer
LBT PA Historian
 


EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
09/15/2016 Kathleen A. McGinty vs Pat Toomey TVAd Mixed eng Working  00:00:30 RP 
08/12/2016 vs Pat Toomey TVAd Issue eng In His Own Words.  00:00:30 RP 
08/11/2016 Kathleen A. McGinty vs Pat Toomey TVAd Attack eng Perfect Record  00:00:30 RP 
08/09/2016 vs Kathleen A. McGinty TVAd Attack eng Risk With No Reward  00:00:31 RP 
08/05/2016 Kathleen A. McGinty TVAd Issue eng I Am  00:00:30 RP 
08/01/2016 vs Kathleen A. McGinty TVAd Attack eng Favored Few  00:00:30 RP 
05/26/2016 Pat Toomey vs Kathleen A. McGinty TVAd Mixed eng Ethics  00:00:30 RP 
05/26/2016 vs Kathleen A. McGinty TVAd Attack eng Whose Job  00:00:35 RP 
04/12/2016 Kathleen A. McGinty TVAd Biography eng KDKA 04 12 2016 06 37 24   00:00:30 RP 
04/11/2016 Kathleen A. McGinty TVAd Endorsement eng Endorsed   00:00:30 RP 
06/30/2015 Pat Toomey TVAd Issue eng Safer  00:00:30 RP 
06/06/2015 Pat Toomey TVAd Feel Good eng U.S. Chamber Supports Pat Toomey   00:00:30 RP 

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