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  IL US Senate
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Illinois > Senate Class III
OfficeSenate
HonorificSenator - Abbr: Sen.
Type General Election
Filing Deadline June 27, 2016 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open November 08, 2016 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close November 08, 2016 - 07:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2017 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2023 - 12:00pm
ContributorJason
Last ModifiedIndyGeorgia March 12, 2017 04:30pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/02/2010
NameMark Kirk Votes1,778,698 (48.01%)
Term01/03/2011 - 01/03/2017 Margin59,220 (+1.60%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/08/2022
NameTammy Duckworth Votes2,329,136 (56.82%)
Term01/03/2023 - 01/03/2029 Margin628,081 (+15.32%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Mar 15, 2016 IL US Senate - D Primary
Tammy Duckworth
D 1,895,144
Mar 15, 2016 IL US Senate - R Primary
Mark Kirk
R 1,320,190
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
11/04/2010 11/08/2016
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Tammy Duckworth 11 6 3 1
Mark Kirk 4 ------
Leaning Call: Tammy Duckworth (90.00%)
Weighted Call: Tammy Duckworth (74.81%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

03/21/2014 11/07/2016

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Rep. Tammy Duckworth (I) Sen. Mark Kirk Kent McMillen Scott Summers (W) Chad Koppie (W) Jim Brown (W) Christopher Aguayo
PartyDemocratic Republican Libertarian Green Constitution Independent Veterans'
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 3,012,940 (54.86%) 2,184,692 (39.78%) 175,988 (3.21%) 117,619 (2.14%) 408 (0.01%) 106 (0.00%) 77 (0.00%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -828,248 (-15.08%) -2,836,952 (-51.66%) -2,895,321 (-52.72%) -3,012,532 (-54.85%) -3,012,834 (-54.86%) -3,012,863 (-54.86%)
Predict Avg.51.50% 47.50% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand 3/31 $4,029,827.25 6/30 $1,019,646.62 $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 03/30/2015 00/00/2015 05/00/2015 06/27/2016 06/27/2016 06/27/2016 06/27/2016
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (17 from 12 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg48.60%-- 37.57%-- 1.46%-- 1.23%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
SurveyMonkey 
11/01/16-11/07/16		 56.00% 1.0 39.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
SurveyMonkey 
10/25/16-10/31/16		 57.00% -- 38.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Emerson College 
10/27/16-10/30/16		 54.00% 13.0 36.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Loras College 
10/26/16-10/27/16		 42.00% 1.0 34.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Victory Research 
10/16/16-10/18/16		 49.80% -- 39.10% -- 2.00% -- 1.20% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
GS Strategy Group (R) 
10/04/16-10/05/16		 41.00% 1.7 37.00% 2.6 4.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Southern Illinois University 
09/27/16-10/02/16		 48.00% -- 34.00% -- 3.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Normington, Petts & Associates (D) 
09/27/16-09/29/16		 46.00% 2.0 37.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Emerson College 
09/19/16-09/21/16		 41.00% -- 39.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Loras College 
09/13/16-09/16/16		 41.00% -- 36.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Normington, Petts & Associates (D) 
08/01/16-08/04/16		 44.00% -- 37.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Basswood Research (R) 
07/11/16-06/12/16		 40.40% -- 41.90% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
GS Strategy Group (R) 
03/30/16-03/31/16		 42.70% -- 39.60% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
07/20/15-07/21/15		 42.00% -- 36.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Ogden & Fry 
06/23/15-06/23/15		 43.80% -- 27.30% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
We Ask America 
12/22/14-12/22/14		 46.00% -- 45.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Gravis Marketing 
03/21/14-03/22/14		 0.00% -- 47.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
D BLUEDOGS
  Chicago Tribune
  St. Louis Post Dispatch
D Gabrielle Giffords 🔗
I Charlotte Rose
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name (W) Susana Sandoval (W) Eric K. J. Stewart (W) Patricia Elaine Beard  
PartyIndependent Independent Independent  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 42 (0.00%) 5 (0.00%) 1 (0.00%)  
Margin-3,012,898 (-54.86%) -3,012,935 (-54.86%) -3,012,939 (-54.86%)  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $--  
Website  
Entry Date 06/27/2016 06/27/2016 06/27/2016  
MATCHUP POLLS (17 from 12 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--  
SurveyMonkey 
11/01/16-11/07/16		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
SurveyMonkey 
10/25/16-10/31/16		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Emerson College 
10/27/16-10/30/16		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Loras College 
10/26/16-10/27/16		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Victory Research 
10/16/16-10/18/16		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
GS Strategy Group (R) 
10/04/16-10/05/16		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Southern Illinois University 
09/27/16-10/02/16		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Normington, Petts & Associates (D) 
09/27/16-09/29/16		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Emerson College 
09/19/16-09/21/16		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Loras College 
09/13/16-09/16/16		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Normington, Petts & Associates (D) 
08/01/16-08/04/16		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Basswood Research (R) 
07/11/16-06/12/16		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
GS Strategy Group (R) 
03/30/16-03/31/16		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
07/20/15-07/21/15		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Ogden & Fry 
06/23/15-06/23/15		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
We Ask America 
12/22/14-12/22/14		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Gravis Marketing 
03/21/14-03/22/14		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 


EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
09/19/2016 vs Tammy Duckworth TVAd Attack eng Priorities  00:00:36 RP 
08/29/2016 Tammy Duckworth vs Mark Kirk TVAd Issue eng Granite City  00:00:30 RP 
07/31/2016 Tammy Duckworth vs Mark Kirk TVAd Mixed eng Uniform  00:00:30 RP 
07/29/2016 vs Tammy Duckworth TVAd Attack eng 200K  00:00:30 RP 
06/23/2016 Mark Kirk TVAd Defend eng Even More  00:00:32 RP 
05/16/2016 vs Mark Kirk TVAd Defend eng Repeatedly  00:00:30 RP 
05/13/2016 vs Tammy Duckworth TVAd Attack eng Court  00:00:32 RP 
02/26/2016 Tammy Duckworth vs Mark Kirk TVAd Endorsement eng Blackhawk  00:00:30 RP 
12/01/2015 Mark Kirk vs Tammy Duckworth TVAd Attack eng Big Differences   00:00:30 RP 

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Aug 10, 2016 02:35pm Endorsement Sen. Kirk plans to write in Colin Powell for president  Article RP 
Jul 28, 2016 05:45am General Women reject settlement in Duckworth workplace retaliation lawsuit  Article RP 
Jun 24, 2016 06:10pm Legal Ruling Workplace lawsuit against Tammy Duckworth settled   Article RP 
Jul 19, 2015 02:00am Editorial Voice of The Southern: Illinois will pay for Mark Kirk's nonsense  Article RP 
Dec 06, 2012 06:40pm Poll Michelle Obama for Senate? PPP Says Yes  Article Homegrown Democrat 

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