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  UK Parliament - Brighton Pavilion
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United Kingdom > England > South East > South East > Brighton Pavilion
OfficeParliament
HonorificMember of Parliament - Abbr: MP
Type General Election
Filing Deadline 00, 0000 - 06:00pm Central
Polls Open May 06, 2010 - 01:00am Central
Polls Close May 06, 2010 - 04:00pm Central
Term Start May 17, 2010 - 12:00pm
Term End May 17, 2015 - 12:00pm
ContributorRalphie
Last ModifiedZeus the Moose May 06, 2010 11:55pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
BBC Profile:
Once a traditional Conservative seaside town, 1995 saw David Lepper win the seat for Labour, with a swing of 16%. His majority of 13,181 was reduced by some margin in both 2001 and 2005, when the Green Party ran the Conservatives close for second place.

At the election, boundary changes transfer part of Hanover and Elm Grove into the constituency from Brighton Kemptown, in exchange for Queen's Park. Brunswick, Adelaide and Golsmid wards move entirely within Hove's boundaries. To find out what might have happened had this boundary change been in force at the last election, see a notional - or estimated - result below.

From the mid-18th Century, the town was the seaside resort of choice for fashionable Londoners. The Palace Pier and Pavilion bear testament to Brighton's past.

The constituency takes in much of visitor-orientated town centre, and stretches inland as far as the base of the South Downs at Patcham and Falmer.

Its two universities mean that the constituency houses a significant student vote. Brighton Pavilion is a more affluent constituency than the neighbouring seat of Brighton Kemptown, and has, on average, a younger population than its neighbour, with a large student population of 30,000 in the city as a whole.

Brighton and Hove has over recent years grown to be a major centre for financial services, new media, and business services. Tourism is important locally, and Brighton plays host to an impressively eclectic combination of tradit

[More...]
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyLabour Won05/05/2005
NameDavid Lepper Votes15,427 (35.40%)
Term05/17/2005 - 05/17/2010 Margin5,030 (+11.54%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyGreen Won05/07/2015
NameCaroline Lucas Votes22,871 (41.83%)
Term05/08/2015 - 06/08/2017 Margin7,967 (+14.57%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
02/07/2010 05/06/2010
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Caroline Lucas 4 1 ----
Nancy Platts 1 ------
Charlotte Vere 3 ------
Leaning Call: Caroline Lucas (60.00%)
Weighted Call: Charlotte Vere (97.07%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

12/16/2009 02/14/2010

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name MEP Caroline Lucas Nancy Platts Charlotte Vere Bernadette Millam Nigel Carter Ian Fyvie Soraya Kara
PartyGreen Labour Conservative Liberal Democrats UK Independence Socialist Labour Citizens for Undead Rights and Equality
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes 16,238 (31.33%) 14,986 (28.91%) 12,275 (23.68%) 7,159 (13.81%) 948 (1.83%) 148 (0.29%) 61 (0.12%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -1,252 (-2.42%) -3,963 (-7.65%) -9,079 (-17.52%) -15,290 (-29.50%) -16,090 (-31.04%) -16,177 (-31.21%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 00/00/2009 00/00/2009 00/00/2009 00/00/2009 00/00/2010 -- --
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (2 from 2 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg20.09%-- 39.59%-- 25.17%-- 7.96%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
Kindle Research 
02/08/10-02/14/10
19.00% -- 41.00% -- 25.00% -- 8.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ICM Research 
12/16/09-12/21/09
35.00% -- 25.00% -- 27.00% -- 11.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
LBR Old LW
D Jason
POUM Zeus the Moose
Laf-W Craverguy
IndP 6921
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Leo Atreides  
PartyIndependent  
Campaign Logo  
Uncertified Votes 19 (0.04%)  
Margin-16,219 (-31.29%)  
Predict Avg.0.00%  
Cash On Hand $--  
Website  
Entry Date --  
MATCHUP POLLS (2 from 2 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.00%--  
Kindle Research 
02/08/10-02/14/10
0.00% --
ICM Research 
12/16/09-12/21/09
0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 


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NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
May 07, 2010 03:50am Commentary Caroline Lucas lifts jinx for Green party with breakthrough victory in Brighton  Article Craverguy 
Apr 11, 2010 12:00pm Profile Four women battle for Brighton Pavillion  Article Ralphie 
Jan 11, 2010 12:00pm Poll Poll surge suggests Greens on course for first Commons seat  Article Ralphie 

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