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  UK Parliament - Strangford
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United Kingdom > Northern Ireland > Northern Ireland > Strangford
OfficeParliament
HonorificMember of Parliament - Abbr: MP
Type General Election
Filing Deadline April 20, 2010 - 06:00pm Central
Polls Open May 06, 2010 - 01:00am Central
Polls Close May 06, 2010 - 04:00pm Central
Term Start May 17, 2010 - 12:00pm
Term End May 17, 2015 - 12:00pm
ContributorRalphie
Last ModifiedRBH May 06, 2010 09:29pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description BBC Profile:
John Taylor, former Ulster Unionist Party security minister in the old Northern Ireland parliament, survived an attempted assassination and kept this seat for 18 years from 1983, despite latterly being strongly opposed by the DUP.

Taylor declined to stand in the 2001 general election and his UUP successor David McNarry was defeated by the DUP's Iris Robinson, whose husband Peter has been MP for neighbouring East Belfast since 1979. At the 2005 general election Robinson increased her majority to 13,049. Robinson stood down in 2010.

At this election, as well as gaining two Down District Council wards, the seat loses a significant lump of its Castlereagh wards (essentially the suburb of Dundonald) to East Belfast. To find out what might have happened had this boundary change been in force at the last election, see a notional - or estimated - result below.

The constituency surrounds Strangford Lough and dominates the Ards Peninsula.

The main town is Newtownards, overlooked by the Scrabo Tower.

Only just over an eighth of the population is Catholic. The Presbyterian community is dominant in this part of Northern Ireland.

The workforce is largely engaged in non-manual work with a relatively small manufacturing base.

The main money-earners include farming, fishing and tourism. Attractions include the Castle Espie wetland nature reserve.

Rallings & Thrasher Notional:
No Boundary Changes
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Unionist Won05/05/2005
NameIris Robinson Votes20,921 (56.49%)
Term05/17/2005 - 01/13/2010 Margin13,049 (+35.24%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Unionist Won05/07/2015
NameJim Shannon Votes15,053 (44.37%)
Term05/08/2015 - 06/08/2017 Margin10,185 (+30.02%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
03/11/2010 05/06/2010
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Jim Shannon 4 ------
Leaning Call: Jim Shannon (100.00%)
Weighted Call: Jim Shannon (100.00%)

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name MLA Jim Shannon Mike Nesbitt Deborah Girvan Claire Hanna Terry Williams Mickey Coogan Barbara Haig
PartyDemocratic Unionist Ulster Unionist Alliance Social Democratic and Labour Traditional Unionist Voice Sinn Féin Green
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes 14,926 (45.92%) 9,050 (27.84%) 2,828 (8.70%) 2,164 (6.66%) 1,814 (5.58%) 1,161 (3.57%) 562 (1.73%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -5,876 (-18.08%) -12,098 (-37.22%) -12,762 (-39.26%) -13,112 (-40.34%) -13,765 (-42.35%) -14,364 (-44.19%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website
Entry Date 03/10/2010 02/17/2010 12/03/2009 00/00/2010 02/26/2010 00/00/2010 00/00/2010
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