Home About Chat Users Issues Party Candidates Polling Firms Media News Polls Calendar Key Races United States President Senate House Governors International

New User Account
"A comprehensive, collaborative elections resource." 
Email: Password:

  UK Parliament - Belfast South
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United Kingdom > Northern Ireland > Northern Ireland > Belfast South
OfficeParliament
HonorificMember of Parliament - Abbr: MP
Type General Election
Filing Deadline April 20, 2010 - 06:00pm Central
Polls Open May 06, 2010 - 01:00am Central
Polls Close May 06, 2010 - 04:00pm Central
Term Start May 17, 2010 - 12:00pm
Term End May 17, 2015 - 12:00pm
ContributorRalphie
Last ModifiedRBH October 18, 2021 10:51pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
BBC Profile:
The Reverend Robert Bradford held the seat, first for Vanguard, then as an Ulster Unionist, from February 1974 until his assassination by the IRA in November 1981. The Reverend Martin Smyth, a long-standing leader of the Orange Order, won the resulting by-election and held the seat for the Ulster Unionist Party until 2005. He had no competition from the Democratic Unionist Party after the 1983 general election and this continued in 2001 after he opposed the Belfast Agreement and his vote increased by nearly 9% between 1997 and 2001.

The rival unionist parties failed to agree an electoral pact after Smyth's retirement in 2005 and the subsequently split unionist vote allowed the Social Democratic and Labour Party's Alasdair McDonnell to become the seat's first nationalist representative at Westminster with a majority over the DUP of 1,235.

At the election, south Belfast gains four wards: Hillfoot and Wynchurch from East Belfast, and Carryduff East and Carryduff West from Strangford. To find out what might have happened had this boundary change been in force at the last election, see a notional - or estimated - result above.

Belfast South consists of the southern quarter of the Belfast City Council area and parts of Castlereagh. As well as being home to Queen's University and its large student population, this affluent constituency is also home to many of Belfast's most historic landmarks: City Hall, the Europa Hotel, the opera house and the famous Victo

[More...]
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartySocial Democratic and Labour Won05/05/2005
NameAlasdair McDonnell Votes10,339 (32.28%)
Term05/17/2005 - 05/17/2010 Margin1,235 (+3.86%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartySocial Democratic and Labour Won05/07/2015
NameAlasdair McDonnell Votes9,560 (24.54%)
Term05/08/2015 - 06/08/2017 Margin906 (+2.33%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
03/31/2010 05/06/2010
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Alasdair McDonnell 3 1 --1
Leaning Call: Alasdair McDonnell (100.00%)
Weighted Call: Alasdair McDonnell (100.00%)

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name (I) MP Alasdair McDonnell MLA Jimmy Spratt Paula Bradshaw Anna Lo Adam Mark James McGibbon  
PartySocial Democratic and Labour Democratic Unionist Ulster Unionist Alliance Green  
Campaign Logo  
Uncertified Votes 14,026 (41.03%) 8,100 (23.69%) 5,910 (17.29%) 5,114 (14.96%) 1,036 (3.03%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -5,926 (-17.33%) -8,116 (-23.74%) -8,912 (-26.07%) -12,990 (-38.00%)  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $--  
Website [Website]  
Entry Date 00/00/2010 04/01/2010 02/23/2010 11/26/2009 00/00/2010  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (0 from 0 pollsters)
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 


EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor

DISCUSSION