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  MT Governor - R Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Montana > Governor
OfficeGovernor
HonorificGovernor - Abbr: Gov.
TypeRepublican Primary Election
Filing Deadline March 12, 2012 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open June 05, 2012 - 08:00am Central
Polls Close June 05, 2012 - 09:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2013 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2017 - 12:00pm
ContributorJ.R.
Last ModifiedCrimson June 06, 2012 11:41am
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/04/2008
NameBrian Schweitzer Votes318,670 (65.47%)
Term01/05/2009 - 01/07/2013 Margin160,402 (+32.95%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/06/2012
NameSteve Bullock Votes236,450 (48.90%)
Term01/07/2013 - 01/02/2017 Margin7,571 (+1.57%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceMT Governor 11/06/2012
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
12/16/2010 06/05/2012
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Rick Hill 11 2 1 4
Corey Stapleton --1 ----
Leaning Call: Rick Hill (94.44%)
Weighted Call: Rick Hill (97.18%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

06/16/2011 05/29/2012

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Rep. Rick Hill Minority Leader Corey Stapleton St. Sen. Ken Miller Jim O'Hara Neil C. Livingstone Jim Lynch Robert "Bob" Fanning
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes 46,369 (34.40%) 24,404 (18.10%) 24,305 (18.03%) 16,524 (12.26%) 11,911 (8.84%) 8,248 (6.12%) 3,048 (2.26%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -21,965 (-16.29%) -22,064 (-16.37%) -29,845 (-22.14%) -34,458 (-25.56%) -38,121 (-28.28%) -43,321 (-32.14%)
Predict Avg.51.10% 5.04% 13.15% 1.18% 5.06% 15.95% 1.49%
DylanSH9960.20% (-13.62 pts) 0.07% (-9.66 pts) 21.30% (+0.17 pts) 1.36% (-5.35 pts) 0.12% (-4.15 pts) 15.95% (-5.10 pts) 1.97% (+0.98 pts)
Kyle42.00% (-1.49 pts) 10.00% (-3.04 pts) 5.00% (-6.33 pts) 1.00% (-5.59 pts) 10.00% (+0.89 pts) -- 1.00% (+0.33 pts)
Cash On Hand 12/31 $96,000.00 12/31 $54,000.00 $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 00/00/2010 00/00/2010 00/00/2010 00/00/2011 00/00/2010 00/00/2011 00/00/2011
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (5 from 3 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg33.00%-- 7.00%-- 12.00%-- 4.00%-- 5.00%-- 4.00%-- 1.00%--
Public Policy Polling 
04/26/12-05/29/12		 33.00% 4.0 7.00% 5.0 12.00% 2.0 4.00% 1.0 5.00% 2.0 4.00% -- 1.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
11/28/11-11/30/11		 37.00% 2.0 2.00% 1.0 10.00% 4.0 3.00% 2.0 3.00% 12.0 4.00% -- 1.00% --
Market Research Insight 
11/12/11-11/15/11		 29.00% -- 0.00% -- 15.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Magellan Data & Mapping Strategies (R) 
07/25/11-07/26/11		 24.00% -- 5.00% -- 13.00% -- 3.00% -- 3.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
06/16/11-06/19/11		 35.00% -- 1.00% -- 6.00% -- 1.00% -- 15.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
R Jon Sonju
R Bob Keenan
R Bill Gallagher
R Scott Swingley
R Ryan Zinke 🔗
R Al Olszewski
LBT Smart
R Joel Boniek
R CincinnatiReds1990
AnFed Patient Grasshopper
IAP Chuck Baldwin 🔗


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