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  IA US President - D Caucus
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Iowa > President
Parent RaceUS President - D Primaries
OfficePresident
HonorificPresident - Abbr: President
TypeDemocratic Primary Election
Filing Deadline January 19, 2004 - 06:30pm Central
Polls Open January 19, 2004 - 06:30pm Central
Polls Close January 19, 2004 - 07:00pm Central
Term Start January 20, 2005 - 12:00pm
Term End January 20, 2009 - 12:00pm
Contributor411 Name Removed
Last ModifiedRBH February 16, 2019 12:53am
Data Sources
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/07/2000
NameAl Gore Votes638,517 (48.54%)
Term01/20/2001 - 01/20/2005 Margin4,144 (+0.31%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/02/2004
NameGeorge W. Bush Votes751,957 (49.90%)
Term01/20/2005 - 01/20/2009 Margin10,059 (+0.67%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceIA US President 11/02/2004
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
01/16/2003 01/19/2004
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Richard A. "Dick" Gephardt 9 3 1 --
John F. Kerry 12 ------
Howard Dean 21 10 2 --
John Edwards 2 ------
Leaning Call: Howard Dean (59.49%)
Weighted Call: Howard Dean (98.81%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

00/00/0000 01/18/2004

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Sen. John F. Kerry Sen. John Edwards Gov. Howard Dean Rep. Richard A. "Dick" Gephardt Rep. Dennis J. Kucinich Others Uncommitted
PartyDemocratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 5,002 (37.09%) 4,393 (32.57%) 2,342 (17.37%) 1,507 (11.17%) 139 (1.03%) 65 (0.48%) 24 (0.18%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -609 (-4.52%) -2,660 (-19.72%) -3,495 (-25.91%) -4,863 (-36.06%) -4,937 (-36.61%) -4,978 (-36.91%)
Predict Avg.21.93% 18.34% 25.76% 23.81% 2.57% 0.00% 0.00%
PaGuy25.00% (-4.28 pts) 23.00% (-2.94 pts) 27.00% (-4.12 pts) 24.00% (-6.71 pts) -- -- --
Berserkeley24.00% (-4.94 pts) 19.00% (-5.61 pts) 27.00% (-4.12 pts) 23.00% (-6.05 pts) 2.00% (+0.43 pts) -- --
Bad Hacker18.50% (-8.61 pts) 7.50% (-13.27 pts) 5.00% (-5.94 pts) 35.00% (-14.05 pts) -- -- --
Not in Public Domain15.00% (-10.94 pts) 6.00% (-14.27 pts) 30.00% (-6.12 pts) 26.00% (-8.05 pts) 3.00% (-0.24 pts) -- --
...20.00% (-7.61 pts) 18.00% (-6.27 pts) 22.00% (-0.79 pts) 20.00% (-4.05 pts) 3.00% (-0.24 pts) -- --
Joseph Somebody14.00% (-11.61 pts) 12.00% (-10.27 pts) 8.00% (-3.94 pts) 25.00% (-7.38 pts) 1.00% (+1.06 pts) -- --
CA Pol Junkie25.00% (-4.28 pts) 14.00% (-8.94 pts) 31.00% (-6.79 pts) 22.00% (-5.38 pts) 2.00% (+0.43 pts) -- --
Qbanito26.00% (-3.61 pts) 20.00% (-4.94 pts) 30.00% (-6.12 pts) 24.00% (-6.71 pts) -- -- --
InspectorMorse9.00% (-14.94 pts) 10.00% (-11.61 pts) 38.00% (-11.45 pts) 25.00% (-7.38 pts) 19.00% (-10.90 pts) -- --
SC-Conservative23.00% (-5.61 pts) 18.00% (-6.27 pts) 29.00% (-5.45 pts) 26.00% (-8.05 pts) 1.00% (+1.06 pts) -- --
Barack O-blame-a24.00% (-4.94 pts) 18.00% (-6.27 pts) 30.00% (-6.12 pts) 27.00% (-8.71 pts) 1.00% (+1.06 pts) -- --
Ripzaw24.00% (-4.94 pts) 24.00% (-2.27 pts) 28.00% (-4.79 pts) 24.00% (-6.71 pts) -- -- --
New York Democrat22.00% (-6.28 pts) 21.00% (-4.27 pts) 25.00% (-2.79 pts) 26.00% (-8.05 pts) 2.00% (+0.43 pts) -- --
73724.00% (-4.94 pts) 23.00% (-2.94 pts) 24.00% (-2.12 pts) 22.00% (-5.38 pts) 3.00% (-0.24 pts) -- --
*crickets chirp*26.00% (-3.61 pts) 24.20% (-2.14 pts) 24.10% (-2.19 pts) 20.20% (-4.18 pts) 1.90% (+0.50 pts) -- --
William McKinley25.00% (-4.28 pts) 22.00% (-3.61 pts) 21.00% (-0.12 pts) 19.00% (-3.38 pts) -- -- --
Joshua L.25.00% (-4.28 pts) 27.00% (-0.27 pts) 30.00% (-6.12 pts) 18.00% (-2.71 pts) -- -- --
JR72522.00% (-6.28 pts) 23.00% (-2.94 pts) 28.00% (-4.79 pts) 21.00% (-4.71 pts) 5.00% (-1.57 pts) -- --
User #2328.00% (-2.28 pts) 22.00% (-3.61 pts) 26.00% (-3.45 pts) 19.00% (-3.38 pts) 3.00% (-0.24 pts) -- --
Blue Wizzrobe19.00% (-8.28 pts) 15.00% (-8.27 pts) 32.00% (-7.45 pts) 30.00% (-10.71 pts) 2.00% (+0.43 pts) -- --
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date -- -- -- -- -- 01/19/2004 --
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (44 from 18 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg21.00%-- 17.14%-- 23.68%-- 19.21%-- 3.40%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
Zogby International 
01/16/04-01/18/04
25.00% 1.0 21.00% 3.0 22.00% 1.0 18.00% 1.0 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Zogby International 
01/15/04-01/17/04
24.00% 1.0 18.00% -- 23.00% 1.0 19.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Selzer & Co. 
01/13/04-01/16/04
26.00% 11.0 23.00% 18.0 20.00% -- 18.00% 9.0 3.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Zogby International 
01/14/04-01/16/04
23.00% 1.0 18.00% 1.0 22.00% 3.0 19.00% -- 2.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
01/13/04-01/15/04
21.00% -- 22.00% -- 24.00% -- 20.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
01/13/04-01/15/04
23.00% 2.0 24.00% 7.0 22.00% 7.0 20.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name (W) Supreme Allied Commander Wesley Clark  
PartyDemocratic  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 15 (0.11%)  
Margin-4,987 (-36.98%)  
Predict Avg.0.92%  
PaGuy --
Berserkeley3.00% (-0.92 pts)
Bad Hacker --
Not in Public Domain --
... --
Joseph Somebody --
CA Pol Junkie --
Qbanito --
InspectorMorse1.00% (+0.42 pts)
SC-Conservative2.00% (-0.25 pts)
Barack O-blame-a --
Ripzaw --
New York Democrat2.00% (-0.25 pts)
7372.00% (-0.25 pts)
*crickets chirp*2.60% (-0.65 pts)
William McKinley --
Joshua L. --
JR7252.00% (-0.25 pts)
User #23 --
Blue Wizzrobe1.00% (+0.42 pts)
Cash On Hand $--  
Website [Website]  
Entry Date --  
MATCHUP POLLS (44 from 18 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg2.40%--  
Zogby International 
01/16/04-01/18/04
2.00% 1.0
Zogby International 
01/15/04-01/17/04
3.00% --
Selzer & Co. 
01/13/04-01/16/04
2.00% 2.0
Zogby International 
01/14/04-01/16/04
3.00% --
Survey USA 
01/13/04-01/15/04
0.00% --
Survey USA 
01/13/04-01/15/04
0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Bob Graham (D)
 00, 2004

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NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Jan 21, 2004 12:00am News Televised tirade in Iowa dogs Dean after caucuses  Article New York Democrat 
Jan 20, 2004 12:00am Statement Dean Places Third in Iowa Caucuses  Article Tony82 
Jan 19, 2004 12:00am Analysis John Edwards could walk away with the big win in Iowa  Article Tony82 
Jan 19, 2004 12:00am News Edwards and Kucinich Cut Deal  Article *crickets chirp* 
Jan 18, 2004 12:00am News Dean's Wife Joins Him on Iowa Campaign  Article New York Democrat 
Jan 16, 2004 12:00am News Free-for-all among Democrats in Iowa  Article New York Democrat 

DISCUSSION