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NH US Senate
RACE DETAILS
Parents
>
United States
>
New Hampshire
>
Senate Class II
Office
Senate
Honorific
Senator - Abbr: Sen.
Type
General Election
Filing Deadline
June 01, 2014 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open
November 04, 2014 - 05:00am Central
Polls Close
November 04, 2014 - 07:00pm Central
Term Start
January 03, 2015 - 12:00pm
Term End
January 03, 2021 - 12:00pm
Contributor
Ashley
Last Modified
Kyle
February 25, 2019 11:03am
Data Sources
New Hampshire Secretary of State
Description
Filing deadline speculative.
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
Party
Democratic
Won
11/04/2008
Name
Jeanne Shaheen
Votes
358,438 (51.62%)
Term
01/03/2009 - 01/03/2015
Margin
44,035 (+6.34%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
Party
Democratic
Won
11/03/2020
Name
Jeanne Shaheen
Votes
450,778 (56.64%)
Term
01/03/2021 - 01/03/2027
Margin
124,549 (+15.65%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Sep 09, 2014
NH US Senate - R Primary
Scott Brown
R
119,137
LEANING PREDICTIONS
Detail
Leaning Graph
12/08/2008
11/04/2014
Candidate
Slight
Lean
Strong
Safe
Jeanne Shaheen
15
14
4
3
Scott Brown
4
2
--
--
Leaning Call: Jeanne Shaheen (89.33%)
Weighted Call: Jeanne Shaheen (97.89%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
11/14/2012
11/03/2014
Graph Poll MoE/Time
Remove Internal Polls
Remove Firm Bias
Graph Distance
Graph Falloff
Graph Days
Graph Day Offset
Ignore Pollsters:
Abt SRBI
American Research Group
Global Strategy Group (D)
Kiley & Company (D)
Magellan Data & Mapping Strategies (R)
New England College
Opinion Research Corporation (CNN)
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Public Policy Polling
Suffolk University
Survey USA
University of Massachusetts
University of New Hampshire
Vox Populi
YouGov
CANDIDATES
Photo
Name
(I)
Sen.
Jeanne Shaheen
Sen.
Scott Brown
(W)
Write-In
Party
Democratic
Republican
Nonpartisan
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes
251,184 (51.46%)
235,347 (48.21%)
1,628 (0.33%)
Margin
0 (0.00%)
-15,837 (-3.24%)
-249,556 (-51.12%)
Predict Avg.
47.50%
45.50%
0.00%
Cash On Hand
$--
$--
$--
Website
[Website]
[Website]
Entry Date
01/01/2008
03/14/2014
01/01/2014
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (38 from 15 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg
47.54%
--
46.08%
--
0.00%
--
Public Policy Polling
11/01/14-11/03/14
50.00%
1.0
48.00%
3.0
0.00%
--
New England College
10/31/14-11/01/14
48.20%
1.4
48.70%
0.4
0.00%
--
American Research Group
10/27/14-10/29/14
49.00%
--
49.00%
1.0
0.00%
--
University of New Hampshire
10/22/14-10/26/14
50.00%
3.0
42.00%
1.0
0.00%
--
New England College
10/24/14-10/24/14
46.80%
0.2
48.30%
0.3
0.00%
--
YouGov
10/16/14-10/23/14
46.00%
2.0
41.00%
--
0.00%
--
American Research Group
10/19/14-10/22/14
49.00%
4.0
48.00%
5.0
0.00%
--
Public Policy Polling
10/20/14-10/21/14
49.00%
1.0
45.00%
1.0
0.00%
--
Opinion Research Corporation (CNN)
10/18/14-10/21/14
49.00%
1.0
47.00%
1.0
0.00%
--
Abt SRBI
10/15/14-10/21/14
49.00%
--
46.00%
--
0.00%
--
Suffolk University
10/17/14-10/17/14
48.60%
--
45.60%
--
0.00%
--
New England College
10/16/14-10/16/14
47.00%
0.1
48.00%
--
0.00%
--
University of Massachusetts
10/10/14-10/15/14
48.00%
--
45.00%
--
0.00%
--
New England College
10/09/14-10/09/14
46.90%
1.6
48.00%
2.1
0.00%
--
Kiley & Company (D)
10/07/14-10/09/14
50.00%
1.0
44.00%
1.0
0.00%
--
Survey USA
10/04/14-10/08/14
48.00%
--
46.00%
--
0.00%
--
University of New Hampshire
09/29/14-10/05/14
47.00%
--
41.00%
--
0.00%
--
New England College
10/03/14-10/03/14
48.50%
1.4
45.90%
0.7
0.00%
--
YouGov
09/20/14-10/01/14
48.00%
1.0
41.00%
--
0.00%
--
American Research Group
09/27/14-09/29/14
53.00%
3.0
43.00%
2.0
0.00%
--
New England College
09/26/14-09/26/14
47.10%
3.0
46.60%
3.8
0.00%
--
New England College
09/19/14-09/20/14
50.10%
--
42.80%
--
0.00%
--
Public Policy Polling
09/18/14-09/19/14
50.00%
--
44.00%
--
0.00%
--
Vox Populi
09/15/14-09/16/14
43.00%
--
47.00%
--
0.00%
--
American Research Group
09/12/14-09/15/14
50.00%
--
45.00%
--
0.00%
--
New England College
09/10/14-09/11/14
51.00%
--
40.00%
--
0.00%
--
Magellan Data & Mapping Strategies (R)
09/10/14-09/11/14
44.30%
--
45.90%
--
0.00%
--
Kiley & Company (D)
09/09/14-09/11/14
51.00%
1.0
43.00%
1.0
0.00%
--
Opinion Research Corporation (CNN)
09/08/14-09/11/14
48.00%
--
48.00%
--
0.00%
--
Global Strategy Group (D)
09/10/14-09/10/14
48.00%
--
41.00%
--
0.00%
--
Kiley & Company (D)
09/02/14-09/04/14
50.00%
--
42.00%
--
0.00%
--
YouGov
08/18/14-09/02/14
47.00%
--
41.00%
--
0.00%
--
Public Policy Polling
08/27/14-08/28/14
50.00%
--
44.00%
--
0.00%
--
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
08/27/14-08/28/14
44.00%
--
41.00%
--
0.00%
--
University of New Hampshire
08/07/14-08/17/14
46.00%
--
44.00%
--
0.00%
--
Public Policy Polling
09/13/13-09/16/13
48.00%
--
44.00%
--
0.00%
--
Public Policy Polling
04/19/13-04/21/13
52.00%
1.0
41.00%
--
0.00%
--
Public Policy Polling
11/14/12-11/15/12
53.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Gardner Goldsmith (LBT)
Jan 01, 2014 - Sep 00, 2014
EVENTS
Start Date
End Date
Type
Title
Contributor
VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date
Candidate
Category
Ad Tone
Lng
Title
Run Time
Contributor
10/08/2014
Scott Brown vs Jeanne Shaheen
TVAd
Defend
eng
Shaheen's Smear
00:00:30
RP
10/07/2014
vs Scott Brown
TVAd
Attack
eng
Force
00:00:30
RP
09/30/2014
vs Jeanne Shaheen
TVAd
Issue
eng
Defend Freedom in New Hampshire, Defeat Jeanne Shaheen
00:00:30
RP
09/29/2014
vs Scott Brown
TVAd
Attack
eng
Restrict
00:00:30
RP
09/26/2014
Jeanne Shaheen
TVAd
Biography
eng
Battling
00:00:30
RP
09/24/2014
vs Jeanne Shaheen
TVAd
Attack
eng
Hidden
00:00:32
RP
09/15/2014
vs Scott Brown
TVAd
Attack
eng
Yes Man
00:00:30
RP
09/10/2014
Scott Brown vs Jeanne Shaheen
TVAd
Mixed
eng
Independent
00:00:30
RP
08/11/2014
Scott Brown vs Jeanne Shaheen
TVAd
Issue
eng
Roll Call
00:00:15
RP
BOOKS
Title
Purchase
Contributor
INFORMATION LINKS
NEWS
Date
Category
Headline
Article
Contributor
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