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  MT US Senate
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Montana > Senate Class I
OfficeSenate
HonorificSenator - Abbr: Sen.
Type General Election
Filing Deadline March 12, 2012 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open November 06, 2012 - 08:00am Central
Polls Close November 06, 2012 - 09:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2013 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2019 - 12:00pm
ContributorAshley
Last ModifiedRBH December 03, 2012 03:06am
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/07/2006
NameJon Tester Votes199,845 (49.16%)
Term01/03/2007 - 01/03/2013 Margin3,562 (+0.88%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/06/2018
NameJon Tester Votes253,876 (50.33%)
Term01/03/2019 - 01/03/2025 Margin17,913 (+3.55%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Jun 05, 2012 MT US Senate - R Primary
Dennis Rehberg
R 137,291
Jun 05, 2012 MT US Senate - D Primary
Jon Tester
D 88,720
Jun 05, 2012 MT US Senate - LBT Primary
Dan Cox
LBT 1
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
12/07/2008 11/06/2012
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Jon Tester 37 1 1 --
Dennis Rehberg 28 16 ----
Leaning Call: Dennis Rehberg (58.82%)
Weighted Call: Dennis Rehberg (55.78%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

11/10/2010 11/03/2012

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name (I) Sen. Jon Tester Rep. Dennis Rehberg Dan Cox  
PartyDemocratic Republican Libertarian  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 236,123 (48.58%) 218,051 (44.86%) 31,892 (6.56%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -18,072 (-3.72%) -204,231 (-42.02%)  
Predict Avg.48.09% 49.93% 1.14%  
Cash On Hand 6/30 $3,629,212.00 6/30 $2,710,732.00 $--  
Website [Website] [Website] [Website]  
Entry Date 00/00/2010 02/05/2011 03/12/2012  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (26 from 10 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg45.45%-- 46.09%-- 2.60%--  
Public Policy Polling 
11/02/12-11/03/12		 48.00% 2.0 46.00% 2.0 4.00% 3.0
Mason-Dixon 
10/29/12-10/31/12		 45.00% -- 49.00% 1.0 1.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
10/29/12-10/29/12		 49.00% 1.0 48.00% -- 0.00% --
Pharos Research Group 
10/26/12-10/28/12		 48.20% 0.2 46.50% 0.2 0.00% --
Pharos Research Group 
10/19/12-10/21/12		 48.43% 1.7 46.26% 0.5 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
10/15/12-10/16/12		 46.00% 1.0 44.00% 1.0 7.00% 1.0
Pharos Research Group 
10/12/12-10/14/12		 46.71% -- 45.79% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
10/14/12-10/14/12		 48.00% 5.0 48.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
10/08/12-10/10/12		 45.00% -- 43.00% -- 8.00% --
Montana State University Billings 
09/27/12-09/30/12		 39.70% -- 42.60% -- 5.80% --
Global Strategy Group (D) 
09/23/12-09/25/12		 44.00% -- 42.00% -- 7.00% --
Mason-Dixon 
09/17/12-09/19/12		 45.00% -- 48.00% -- 1.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
09/10/12-09/11/12		 45.00% 3.0 43.00% -- 8.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
08/20/12-08/20/12		 43.00% 4.0 47.00% 2.0 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
06/18/12-06/18/12		 47.00% 4.0 49.00% 4.0 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
05/02/12-05/02/12		 43.00% 1.0 53.00% 6.0 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
04/26/12-04/29/12		 48.00% 3.0 43.00% 4.0 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
04/02/12-04/02/12		 44.00% -- 47.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Opinion Strategies (R) 
01/09/12-01/10/12		 42.00% -- 53.00% -- 0.00% --
McLaughlin & Associates (R) 
12/15/11-12/17/11		 40.00% -- 46.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
11/28/11-11/30/11		 45.00% -- 47.00% -- 0.00% --
Market Research Insight 
11/12/11-11/15/11		 42.00% -- 37.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
06/16/11-06/19/11		 45.00% 1.0 47.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Mason-Dixon 
03/21/11-03/21/11		 46.00% -- 45.00% -- 0.00% --
NSON Opinion Research 
02/16/11-02/17/11		 44.00% -- 47.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
11/10/10-11/13/10		 46.00% -- 48.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
D NCdem
  Bozeman Daily Chronicle
  Missoulian
Laf-W Craverguy
AENM Angry Russian
R Hikikomori Blitzkrieg!
R Maryland Republican
LBT Jed
 


EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
10/08/2012 vs Dennis Rehberg TVAd Attack eng Montana Firefighters: Dennis Rehberg Is Only Out for Himself  00:00:30 Progressive Scot 
10/07/2012 vs Dennis Rehberg TVAd Attack eng Dennis Rehberg Sued Firefighters, Cost Taxpayers $21,000  00:00:30 Progressive Scot 
10/02/2012 vs Jon Tester TVAd Attack eng Swipe  00:00:31 RP 
09/28/2012 Dennis Rehberg vs Jon Tester TVAd Attack eng Actions  00:00:30 RP 
09/28/2012 vs Jon Tester TVAd Contrast eng Choice  00:00:31 RP 
09/26/2012 vs Dennis Rehberg TVAd Attack eng Dennis Rehberg Thinks "Lobbying Is An Honorable Profession"   00:00:32 RP 
09/25/2012 Dennis Rehberg TVAd Issue eng Engine  00:00:30 RP 
09/22/2012 Jon Tester TVAd Issue eng Talking Heads  00:00:31 RP 
09/21/2012 vs Jon Tester TVAd Issue eng TURK  00:01:00 RP 
09/20/2012 vs Dennis Rehberg TVAd Attack eng Silver Platter   00:00:30 RP 
09/18/2012 vs Jon Tester TVAd Attack eng Jon Tester: Not the kind of Leader Montana needs  00:00:30 RP 
09/18/2012 Jon Tester vs Dennis Rehberg TVAd Issue eng Not For Sale   00:00:32 RP 
09/17/2012 vs Dennis Rehberg TVAd Attack eng Dennis Rehberg Gives Lobbyists What They Want   00:00:32 RP 
09/13/2012 vs Dennis Rehberg TVAd Attack eng A Lot To Say  00:00:33 RP 
09/05/2012 vs Dennis Rehberg TVAd Attack eng Dennis Rehberg Wants Higher Tax Rates For Us & Lower Tax Rates For Millionaires Like Him   00:00:32 RP 
09/04/2012 vs Dennis Rehberg TVAd Attack eng Gamble  00:00:33 RP 
08/31/2012 Dennis Rehberg vs Jon Tester TVAd Attack eng Twins  00:00:30 RP 
08/29/2012 Jon Tester TVAd Mixed eng Everytime  00:00:31 RP 
08/23/2012 vs Jon Tester TVAd Attack eng Get Up  00:00:32 RP 
08/21/2012 vs Dennis Rehberg TVAd Biography eng MEANS  00:00:31 RP 
08/14/2012 vs Jon Tester TVAd Attack eng Cost You  00:00:31 RP 
08/14/2012 Dennis Rehberg TVAd Issue eng Lost  00:00:30 RP 
08/07/2012 Jon Tester TVAd Biography eng Always  00:00:31 RP 
08/07/2012 Jon Tester vs Dennis Rehberg TVAd Attack eng Montana's Millionaire Congressman Dennis Rehberg is Only Out For Himself   00:00:32 RP 
08/02/2012 Dennis Rehberg TVAd Issue eng Montana  00:00:30 Crimson 
07/25/2012 vs Jon Tester TVAd Attack eng Jon Tester: Not the kind of Leader Montana needs   00:00:30 RP 
07/23/2012 Dennis Rehberg TVAd Attack eng Worse  00:00:31 Crimson 
07/20/2012 Dennis Rehberg TVAd Biography eng Montana First  00:00:30 Homegrown Democrat 
07/17/2012 Dennis Rehberg TVAd Issue eng Heart  00:00:31 Crimson 
07/11/2012 Jon Tester TVAd Issue eng Rehberg's Wrong Priorities   00:00:30 RP 
06/28/2012 Dennis Rehberg TVAd Issue eng Palden   00:00:30 Crimson 
06/13/2012 Dennis Rehberg TVAd Issue eng Rancher  00:00:31 Crimson 
05/30/2012 Dennis Rehberg TVAd Attack eng Baloney 2   00:00:31 Crimson 
05/17/2012 Dennis Rehberg TVAd Attack eng Bologna  00:00:31 Crimson 
05/09/2012 Dennis Rehberg TVAd Attack eng Honest  00:00:31 Crimson 
05/07/2012 Jon Tester TVAd Biography eng Jon Tester: Unprecedented Ethics & Accountability   00:00:30 RP 
04/25/2012 Jon Tester TVAd Biography eng Jon Tester: Montana Beef - Montana Proud   00:00:31 RP 
09/26/2011 Web Only Ad Attack eng Jon Tester: #1 in Lobbyist Money   00:00:32 Homegrown Democrat 

BOOKS
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INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Nov 07, 2012 09:45am News US Sen. Jon Tester wins re-election, defeating Republican challenger Denny Rehberg  Article Craverguy 
Oct 26, 2012 04:00pm News Group sympathetic to Tester drops $500K on TV ad – for Libertarian  Article Miro 
Mar 24, 2011 11:05am General NRSC: Tester was '60th vote' for ACA  Article Brandonius Maximus 

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