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  AZ US President
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Arizona > President
Parent RaceUS President - Popular Vote
OfficePresident
HonorificPresident - Abbr: President
Type General Election
Filing Deadline 00, 0000 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open November 06, 2012 - 07:00am Central
Polls Close November 06, 2012 - 08:00pm Central
Term Start January 20, 2013 - 12:00pm
Term End January 20, 2017 - 12:00pm
ContributorJason
Last ModifiedRBH December 03, 2012 10:51pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/04/2008
NameJohn McCain Votes1,230,111 (53.64%)
Term01/20/2009 - 01/20/2013 Margin195,404 (+8.52%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/08/2016
NameDonald J. Trump Votes1,252,401 (48.67%)
Term01/20/2017 - 01/20/2021 Margin91,234 (+3.55%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Feb 28, 2012 AZ US President - G Primary
Jill Stein
G 561
Feb 28, 2012 AZ US President - R Primary
Mitt Romney
R 510,258
Feb 28, 2012 AZ US President - D Primary
Barack Obama
D 1
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
11/29/2008 11/06/2012
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Barack Obama 1 ------
Mitt Romney 12 34 8 3
Leaning Call: Mitt Romney (99.15%)
Weighted Call: Mitt Romney (99.99%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

01/28/2011 11/03/2012

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Gov. Mitt Romney (I) President Barack Obama Gov. Gary Johnson Councilman Jill Stein (W) Rep. Virgil H. Goode, Jr. (W) Mayor Ross C. "Rocky" Anderson (W) Jill Reed
PartyRepublican Democratic Libertarian Green Constitution Justice No Party Affiliation
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 1,233,654 (53.66%) 1,025,232 (44.59%) 32,100 (1.40%) 7,816 (0.34%) 289 (0.01%) 119 (0.01%) 17 (0.00%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -208,422 (-9.06%) -1,201,554 (-52.26%) -1,225,838 (-53.31%) -1,233,365 (-53.64%) -1,233,535 (-53.65%) -1,233,637 (-53.65%)
Predict Avg.51.69% 44.67% 2.93% 0.22% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 00/00/2012 00/00/2012 00/00/2012 00/00/2012 00/00/2012 00/00/2012 00/00/2012
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (24 from 10 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg49.63%-- 43.44%-- 2.82%-- -0.24%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
Public Policy Polling 
11/02/12-11/03/12		 53.00% 1.0 46.00% 5.0 0.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
10/31/12-11/03/12		 52.00% -- 44.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
10/21/12-10/21/12		 52.00% -- 44.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
10/04/12-10/11/12		 52.00% -- 43.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Behavior Research Center 
10/04/12-10/10/12		 42.00% -- 44.00% -- 3.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
10/01/12-10/03/12		 52.00% 1.0 41.00% 3.0 4.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Moore Information (R) 
09/25/12-09/26/12		 46.00% -- 42.00% -- 3.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
09/25/12-09/25/12		 52.00% 2.0 42.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Purple Strategies (Purple Poll) 
09/15/12-09/19/12		 48.00% -- 45.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
09/07/12-09/14/12		 51.00% -- 41.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
09/07/12-09/09/12		 53.00% -- 44.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
07/23/12-07/25/12		 52.00% 7.0 41.00% -- 0.00% 9.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
06/26/12-06/26/12		 54.00% -- 41.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Project New America (PNA) (D) 
06/04/12-06/05/12		 49.00% -- 46.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
05/17/12-05/20/12		 45.00% 2.0 41.00% 6.0 9.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Magellan Data & Mapping Strategies (R) 
04/30/12-05/02/12		 52.00% -- 43.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Behavior Research Center 
04/09/12-04/17/12		 40.00% -- 42.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
MMI Institute 
04/09/12-04/11/12		 42.00% -- 40.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Marist Institute 
02/19/12-02/20/12		 45.00% -- 40.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
02/17/12-02/19/12		 47.00% 2.0 47.00% 5.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
11/17/11-11/20/11		 49.00% 1.0 42.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Behavior Research Center 
10/13/11-10/14/11		 40.00% -- 45.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
04/28/11-05/01/11		 48.00% 1.0 44.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
01/28/11-01/30/11		 49.00% -- 43.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
  Arizona Daily Star (Tuscon)
Veg Thomas Walker
D Jason
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name (W) Will Christensen (W) Dennis Knill (W) Sheila "Samm" Tittle  
PartyIndependent American Independent Democrat No Party Affiliation  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 14 (0.00%) 7 (0.00%) 6 (0.00%)  
Margin-1,233,640 (-53.65%) -1,233,647 (-53.65%) -1,233,648 (-53.65%)  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $--  
Website [Website]  
Entry Date -- -- 00/00/2012  
MATCHUP POLLS (24 from 10 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--  
Public Policy Polling 
11/02/12-11/03/12		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
10/31/12-11/03/12		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
10/21/12-10/21/12		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
10/04/12-10/11/12		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Behavior Research Center 
10/04/12-10/10/12		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
10/01/12-10/03/12		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Moore Information (R) 
09/25/12-09/26/12		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
09/25/12-09/25/12		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Purple Strategies (Purple Poll) 
09/15/12-09/19/12		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
09/07/12-09/14/12		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
09/07/12-09/09/12		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
07/23/12-07/25/12		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
06/26/12-06/26/12		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Project New America (PNA) (D) 
06/04/12-06/05/12		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
05/17/12-05/20/12		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Magellan Data & Mapping Strategies (R) 
04/30/12-05/02/12		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Behavior Research Center 
04/09/12-04/17/12		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
MMI Institute 
04/09/12-04/11/12		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Marist Institute 
02/19/12-02/20/12		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
02/17/12-02/19/12		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
11/17/11-11/20/11		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Behavior Research Center 
10/13/11-10/14/11		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
04/28/11-05/01/11		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
01/28/11-01/30/11		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 


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NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Dec 17, 2012 03:35pm Idiocy Obama birth issue raised by 3 Arizona electors  Article Homegrown Democrat 
May 25, 2012 08:25am News Hawaii verifies Obama's birth records to Arizona  Article Jason 
May 18, 2012 10:55am Idiocy Arizona Goes Birther: Secretary of State Says It’s ‘Possible’ Obama Won’t Be on Ballot  Article Craverguy 
Feb 28, 2012 10:00am General Is Arizona in play for Team Obama?  Article Brandonius Maximus 
Feb 13, 2012 09:00am Strategy Obama campaign chief: 'We can win Arizona'  Article RP 

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