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FL US Senate - R Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents
>
United States
>
Florida
>
Senate Class III
Office
Senate
Honorific
Senator - Abbr: Sen.
Type
Republican Primary Election
Filing Deadline
April 30, 2010 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open
August 24, 2010 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close
August 24, 2010 - 07:00pm Central
Term Start
January 03, 2011 - 12:00pm
Term End
January 03, 2017 - 12:00pm
Contributor
Jason
Last Modified
RBH
September 14, 2010 02:17am
Data Sources
[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
Party
Republican
Won
08/27/2009
Name
George LeMieux
Votes
1 (100.00%)
Term
09/10/2009 - 01/03/2011
Margin
1 (+100.00%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
Party
Republican
Won
11/02/2010
Name
Marco A. Rubio
Votes
2,645,743 (48.89%)
Term
01/03/2011 - 01/03/2017
Margin
1,038,194 (+19.19%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
Race
FL US Senate 11/02/2010
LEANING PREDICTIONS
Detail
Leaning Graph
01/06/2009
08/24/2010
Candidate
Slight
Lean
Strong
Safe
Marco A. Rubio
15
6
2
28
Leaning Call: Marco A. Rubio (100.00%)
Weighted Call: Marco A. Rubio (100.00%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
01/14/2009
04/13/2010
Graph Poll MoE/Time
Remove Internal Polls
Remove Firm Bias
Graph Distance
Graph Falloff
Graph Days
Graph Day Offset
Ignore Pollsters:
Basswood Research (R)
Magellan Data & Mapping Strategies (R)
Mason-Dixon
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Public Policy Polling
Quinnipiac University
Rasmussen Reports
Research 2000
Schroth & Associates (D) and The Polling Company (R)
Strategic Vision (R)
CANDIDATES
Photo
Name
St. Rep.
Marco A. Rubio
William Billy Kogut
William Escoffery, III
Party
Republican
Republican
Republican
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes
1,069,936 (84.62%)
112,080 (8.86%)
82,426 (6.52%)
Margin
0 (0.00%)
-957,856 (-75.75%)
-987,510 (-78.10%)
Predict Avg.
66.25%
5.00%
18.50%
Cash On Hand
$--
$--
$--
Website
[Website]
Entry Date
00/00/2009
00/00/2010
00/00/2010
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (26 from 10 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg
55.54%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Quinnipiac University
04/08/10-04/13/10
56.00%
9.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Rasmussen Reports
04/08/10-04/08/10
57.00%
1.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Mason-Dixon
03/23/10-03/25/10
48.00%
25.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Rasmussen Reports
03/18/10-03/18/10
56.00%
2.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Research 2000
03/15/10-03/17/10
58.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Magellan Data & Mapping Strategies (R)
03/11/10-03/11/10
56.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Public Policy Polling
03/05/10-03/08/10
60.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Rasmussen Reports
02/18/10-02/18/10
54.00%
5.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Rasmussen Reports
01/27/10-01/27/10
49.00%
6.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Quinnipiac University
01/20/10-01/24/10
47.00%
12.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Rasmussen Reports
12/14/09-12/14/09
43.00%
8.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Research 2000
11/16/09-11/18/09
37.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Schroth & Associates (D) and The Polling Company (R)
10/25/09-10/28/09
28.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Rasmussen Reports
10/20/09-10/20/09
35.00%
4.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Quinnipiac University
10/12/09-10/18/09
35.00%
9.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
10/12/09-10/13/09
29.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Rasmussen Reports
08/19/09-08/19/09
31.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Quinnipiac University
08/12/09-08/17/09
26.00%
3.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Mason-Dixon
06/24/09-06/26/09
23.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Basswood Research (R)
06/13/09-06/14/09
21.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Quinnipiac University
06/02/09-06/07/09
23.00%
17.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Strategic Vision (R)
05/29/09-05/31/09
22.00%
18.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Mason-Dixon
05/14/09-05/18/09
18.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Quinnipiac University
02/11/09-02/16/09
3.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Strategic Vision (R)
02/06/09-02/08/09
4.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Quinnipiac University
01/14/09-01/19/09
6.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
R
derstad980
R
Jeb Bush
🔗
R
CAGOP
R
Dick Cheney
R
Mitt Romney
🔗
R
Hikikomori Blitzkrieg!
R
particleman
R
Rudy Giuliani
🔗
R
Thomas A. "Tom" Coburn
🔗
Club for Growth
R
ConservativeWin
R
Grover Norquist
🔗
R
Mike Pence
🔗
R
M.S. "Steve" Forbes
🔗
R
...
R
George P. Bush
R
Moving to Miami
R
Paul Ryan
R
James M. "Jim" Inhofe
🔗
R
Karl Rove
🔗
R
Virginia "Ginny" Brown-Waite
🔗
R
Dick Armey
R
Jefferson B. "Jeff" Miller
🔗
R
Jim DeMint
🔗
R
Mike Huckabee
🔗
R
SC-Conservative
D
NYDem Junior
EVENTS
Start Date
End Date
Type
Title
Contributor
VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date
Candidate
Category
Ad Tone
Lng
Title
Run Time
Contributor
04/18/2010
William Escoffery, III
Web Only Ad
Mixed
eng
SenateBill5.avi
00:00:00
Green Pigs
BOOKS
Title
Purchase
Contributor
INFORMATION LINKS
NEWS
Date
Category
Headline
Article
Contributor
Apr 27, 2010 03:00pm
News
Rubio on AZ law: “I do have concerns about this legislation”
Article
eddy 9_99
Apr 15, 2010 08:00pm
General
Former Sen. Mack withdraws as Crist campaign chair
Article
COSDem
Apr 14, 2010 01:00pm
News
Marco Rubio begins shortened bus tour as Gov. Charlie Crist releases ad against him
Article
Brandonius Maximus
Apr 08, 2010 10:00am
Speculative
Marco Rubio war chest, speculation over Charlie Crist grow
Article
RP
Mar 29, 2010 05:45pm
Endorsement
Bud Day endorses Charlie Crist
Article
Jason
Mar 26, 2010 08:00pm
Announcement
Former Senator Bob Smith Bows Out of Senate Race
Article
Craverguy
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