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  PA US Senate - R Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Pennsylvania > Senate Class III
OfficeSenate
TypeRepublican Primary Election
Filing Deadline February 17, 2004 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open April 27, 2004 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close April 27, 2004 - 07:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2005 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2011 - 12:00pm
Turnout 33.11% Registered 8.51% Total Population
ContributorNone Entered
Last ModifiedNone Entered September 27, 2004 06:38am
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/03/1998
NameArlen Specter Votes1,814,180 (61.34%)
Term01/03/1999 - 01/03/2005 Margin785,341 (+26.55%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/02/2004
NameArlen Specter Votes2,925,080 (52.62%)
Term01/03/2005 - 04/28/2009 Margin590,954 (+10.63%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RacePA US Senate 11/02/2004
MAP

Curve
Embed Code Data
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
01/09/2003 04/27/2004
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Arlen Specter 11 13 15 1
Pat Toomey 26 7 ----
Leaning Call: Arlen Specter (68.25%)
Weighted Call: Arlen Specter (53.25%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

10/22/2003 04/25/2004

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name (I) Sen. Arlen Specter Rep. Pat Toomey  
PartyRepublican Republican  
Campaign Logo  
Uncertified Votes530,839 (50.82%) 513,693 (49.18%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -17,146 (-1.64%)  
Predict Avg.50.85% 49.10%  
Cash On Hand 12/31 $9,235,112.00 12/31 $2,091,083.00  
Website [Website] [Website]  
Entry Date 00/00/2004 00/00/2004  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (15 from 7 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg47.28%-- 42.33%--  
Survey USA 
04/23/04-04/25/04
48.00% -- 48.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
04/20/04-04/24/04
48.00% 1.0 42.00% 2.0
the polling company™ (R) 
04/22/04-04/23/04
47.00% -- 39.00% --
Survey USA 
04/20/04-04/20/04
50.00% 4.0 44.00% 4.0
Keystone Poll 
04/13/04-04/20/04
46.00% -- 40.00% 7.0
Quinnipiac University 
04/12/04-04/18/04
49.00% 3.0 44.00% 7.0
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements  


EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
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INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Apr 17, 2005 07:00pm News Campaign against Specter helped GOP, Toomey claims  Article Tony82 
May 06, 2004 12:00am Commentary Polar Politics  Article None Entered 
May 06, 2004 12:00am News Toomey back on job after primary loss  Article None Entered 
Apr 27, 2004 12:00am News Sen. Specter Faces Tough Challenge in Pennsylvania  Article None Entered 
Apr 27, 2004 12:00am News Unscientific Lancaster New Era Exit Poll Has Toomey Leading Specter, 52-48 (not enough to win statewide)  Article PragCon 3.0 
Apr 27, 2004 12:00am News Pa. Conservative Seeks Upset in Senate  Article None Entered 
Apr 27, 2004 12:00am News Specter Takes Early Lead in Pa. Primary  Article None Entered 
Apr 27, 2004 12:00am News Specter-Toomey Race Still Too Close To Call  Article None Entered 
Apr 26, 2004 12:00am News [PA] Primary turnout expected to be moderate  Article Tony82 
Apr 26, 2004 12:00am Commentary An Awful Specter: Pennsylvania matters for conservatives nationwide  Article Tony82 
Apr 23, 2004 12:00am News The great Specter collapse  Article None Entered 
Apr 22, 2004 12:00am Perspective Toomey backers doubt he can beat Sen. Specter  Article User 490 
Apr 22, 2004 12:00am Commentary Lift the Specter from Pennsylvania  Article SC-Conservative 
Apr 21, 2004 12:00am News Pennsylvania Congressman May Knock Out Spector  Article Gerald Farinas 
Apr 20, 2004 12:00am Poll Poll shows Toomey surging as GOP Senate primary nears  Article Servo 
Apr 20, 2004 12:00am News Toomey targets wasteful federal pork, except in Pennsylvania  Article Gerald Farinas 
Apr 19, 2004 12:00am News Bush Stumps for Specter in Final Senate Primary Stretch  Article Gerald Farinas 
Apr 18, 2004 12:00am Endorsement Philadelphia Inquirer: Endorses Specter  Article Reporting for Duty 
Apr 17, 2004 12:00am News Rebel Republicans rally with Toomey  Article Gerald Farinas 
Apr 16, 2004 12:00am News Specter has millions to spend  Article Scott³ 
Apr 16, 2004 12:00am News Ann Coulter blasts Specter at Penn State forum  Article Gerald Farinas 
Apr 15, 2004 12:00am News Specter Gets Mixed Reaction at Penn State Forum  Article Gerald Farinas 
Apr 15, 2004 12:00am Commentary Santorums Shame - Say it ain't so, Rick - Santorum backs Specter  Article Gerald Farinas 
Apr 13, 2004 12:00am Editorial Specter deserves support; those opposing incumbent are asking for trouble  Article Gerald Farinas 
Apr 13, 2004 12:00am News Moderate GOP pour soft money into final two weeks of Specter US Senate campaign  Article Gerald Farinas 
Apr 12, 2004 12:00am News Sen. Specter Defends Record  Article Gerald Farinas 
Apr 06, 2004 12:00am Scandal PENNDOT Taking ONLY Toomey Signs Off Highways [PA US Senate Primary]  Article Tony82 
Apr 04, 2004 12:00am News Specter, Toomey trade barbs in debate  Article Tony82 
Apr 03, 2004 12:00am Commentary Specter Hits New Low  Article Tony82 
Apr 03, 2004 12:00am Commentary Toomey Gains on Specter In Pennsylvania Primary  Article Tony82 
Mar 29, 2004 12:00am Commentary Darlin' Arlen  Article Tony82 
Mar 24, 2004 12:00am News Union Urges Democrats [PA] to Switch Parties  Article Eddie 
Mar 23, 2004 12:00am Commentary The Specter of Defeat  Article Tony82 
Feb 18, 2004 12:00am Commentary John Kerrys Perfect Running Mate: Kerry-Specter 2004  Article Tony82 
Jan 21, 2004 12:00am News Toomey says he will skip the Pa. GOP convention  Article *crickets chirp* 
Jan 19, 2004 12:00am News Conservative Toomey follows Democratic lead in tapping online supporters  Article Tony82 
Jan 11, 2004 12:00am News GOP's right has Specter in its sights  Article Scott³ 
Jan 05, 2004 12:00am Analysis Specter Defies Ranks and Expectations  Article ArmyDem 
Dec 10, 2003 12:00am Poll Poll: Toomey leads Specter only in Valley  Article Tony82 
Nov 25, 2003 12:00am Speculative Pennsylvania's U. S. Senate Primary: Can Pat Toomey Upset Arlen Specter?  Article User 490 
Nov 18, 2003 12:00am News The Specter problem  Article karin1492 
Sep 29, 2003 12:00am Analysis Pennsylvania's U. S. Senate Primary: Can Pat Toomey Upset Arlen Specter?  Article *crickets chirp* 
Sep 27, 2003 12:00am Commentary Toomey's Test  Article Tony82 
Sep 27, 2003 12:00am Analysis Can Pat Toomey Upset Arlen Specter?  Article Tony82 
Sep 27, 2003 12:00am News St. Patrick, Martyr  Article *crickets chirp* 
Aug 24, 2003 12:00am News Toomey, Hoeffel turn heat on Specter  Article Stephen Yellin 
Aug 15, 2003 12:00am Opinion The Worst Republican Senator: Why Pennsylvania should get rid of Arlen Specter  Article Tony82 
Apr 06, 2003 02:25pm General Specter Seeks Support From Religious Right  Article COSDem 

DISCUSSION