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AUS Prime Minister
RACE DETAILS
Parents
>
Australia
>
Government
Office
Prime Minister
Honorific
Prime Minister - Abbr: PM
Type
General Election
Filing Deadline
October 31, 2007 - 08:00pm Central
Polls Open
November 23, 2007 - 03:00pm Central
Polls Close
November 24, 2007 - 01:00am Central
Term Start
December 02, 2007 - 07:00pm
Term End
June 25, 2010 - 07:00pm
Contributor
Karma Policeman
Last Modified
Karma Policeman
June 23, 2010 04:47pm
Data Sources
[Link]
Description
Term end due to defeat in the party room.
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
Party
Liberal
Won
10/09/2004
Name
John Howard
Votes
87 (58.00%)
Term
10/25/2004 - 11/15/2007
Margin
27 (+18.00%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
Party
Labor
Won
06/23/2010
Name
Julia Gillard
Votes
1 (100.00%)
Term
06/24/2010 - 12/24/2010
Margin
1 (+100.00%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
LEANING PREDICTIONS
Detail
Leaning Graph
02/13/2007
11/24/2007
Candidate
Slight
Lean
Strong
Safe
Kevin Rudd
10
2
--
--
John Howard
3
--
--
1
Leaning Call: Kevin Rudd (66.67%)
Weighted Call: Kevin Rudd (98.92%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
12/08/2006
09/30/2007
Graph Poll MoE/Time
Remove Internal Polls
Remove Firm Bias
Graph Distance
Graph Falloff
Graph Days
Graph Day Offset
Ignore Pollsters:
ACNielson
Newspoll (Australia)
CANDIDATES
Photo
Name
Leader of the Opposition
Kevin Rudd
(I)
MP
John Howard
Others
Party
Labor
Liberal
Independent
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes
83 (55.33%)
65 (43.33%)
2 (1.33%)
Margin
0 (0.00%)
-18 (-12.00%)
-81 (-54.00%)
Predict Avg.
47.17%
46.50%
0.00%
Cash On Hand
$--
$--
$--
Website
[Website]
Entry Date
00/00/2006
00/00/2004
--
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (15 from 2 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg
46.23%
--
40.92%
--
0.00%
--
Newspoll (Australia)
09/28/07-09/30/07
46.00%
2.0
39.00%
--
0.00%
--
Newspoll (Australia)
08/03/07-08/05/07
44.00%
1.0
39.00%
1.0
0.00%
--
Newspoll (Australia)
07/20/07-07/22/07
43.00%
--
40.00%
2.0
0.00%
--
ACNielson
07/12/07-07/14/07
49.00%
--
41.00%
--
0.00%
--
Newspoll (Australia)
07/06/07-07/08/07
43.00%
3.0
42.00%
2.0
0.00%
--
Newspoll (Australia)
06/15/07-06/17/07
46.00%
1.0
40.00%
2.0
0.00%
--
Newspoll (Australia)
05/25/07-05/27/07
47.00%
2.0
38.00%
1.0
0.00%
--
Newspoll (Australia)
05/11/07-05/13/07
49.00%
1.0
37.00%
1.0
0.00%
--
Newspoll (Australia)
04/13/07-04/15/07
48.00%
1.0
36.00%
--
0.00%
--
Newspoll (Australia)
03/16/07-03/18/07
49.00%
4.0
36.00%
2.0
0.00%
--
Newspoll (Australia)
03/02/07-03/04/07
45.00%
2.0
38.00%
1.0
0.00%
--
Newspoll (Australia)
02/16/07-02/18/07
47.00%
8.0
37.00%
3.0
0.00%
--
Newspoll (Australia)
02/02/07-02/04/07
39.00%
--
40.00%
1.0
0.00%
--
Newspoll (Australia)
01/19/07-01/21/07
39.00%
3.0
41.00%
2.0
0.00%
--
Newspoll (Australia)
12/08/06-12/10/06
36.00%
--
39.00%
--
0.00%
--
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
LBR
Old LW
I
M@
D
6 KM
Daily Telegraph
G
BR_Green
D
Bob
D
Ashley
IND
Monsieur
LAB
New Jerusalem
D
Some say...
D
PaGuy
NAT
National Party of Australia
R
CAGOP
D
NYDem Junior
R
SC-Conservative
EVENTS
Start Date
End Date
Type
Title
Contributor
VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date
Candidate
Category
Ad Tone
Lng
Title
Run Time
Contributor
BOOKS
Title
Purchase
Contributor
INFORMATION LINKS
NEWS
Date
Category
Headline
Article
Contributor
Nov 24, 2007 03:25am
News
Labor sweeps to victory
Article
Ashley
Nov 24, 2007 03:00am
News
Labor close to victory, Howard in trouble
Article
Ashley
Nov 24, 2007 02:20am
News
Early swing has Labor on track for government
Article
Ashley
Nov 24, 2007 12:40am
News
Exit poll predicts Labor win
Article
Ashley
Nov 23, 2007 08:00pm
Poll
Late surge to Howard
Article
particleman
Nov 19, 2007 05:00pm
Blog Entry
Hubris and Nemesis: Five reasons why the Coalition will lose
Article
Karma Policeman
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