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  AZ US Senate - R Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Arizona > Senate Class I
OfficeSenate
TypeRepublican Primary Election
Filing Deadline June 01, 2012 - 12:00am Central
Polls Open August 28, 2012 - 07:00am Central
Polls Close August 28, 2012 - 08:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2013 - 01:00pm
Term End January 03, 2019 - 01:00pm
Turnout 45.50% Registered 8.07% Total Population
ContributorThomas Walker
Last ModifiedRBH September 11, 2012 12:15am
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/07/2006
NameJon Kyl Votes814,398 (53.34%)
Term01/03/2007 - 01/03/2013 Margin150,257 (+9.84%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/06/2012
NameJeff Flake Votes1,104,457 (49.23%)
Term01/03/2013 - 01/03/2019 Margin67,915 (+3.03%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceAZ US Senate 11/06/2012
MAP

Curve
Embed Code Data
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
02/10/2011 08/28/2012
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Jeff Flake 6 4 --14
Leaning Call: Jeff Flake (100.00%)
Weighted Call: Jeff Flake (100.00%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

02/10/2011 07/17/2012

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Rep. Jeff Flake Wilford R "Wil" Cardon Clair Van Steenwyk Mayor Bryan Hackbarth (W) John Jeffrey Lyon (W) Luis Acle  
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes357,360 (69.25%) 110,150 (21.35%) 29,159 (5.65%) 19,174 (3.72%) 126 (0.02%) 56 (0.01%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -247,210 (-47.91%) -328,201 (-63.60%) -338,186 (-65.54%) -357,234 (-69.23%) -357,304 (-69.24%)  
Predict Avg.61.67% 22.00% 0.00% 3.33% 0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand 12/31 $627,851.62 8/8 $317,649.00 $-- 10/15 $46.00 $-- $--  
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]  
Entry Date 00/00/2011 00/00/2011 00/00/2011 00/00/2011 -- 00/00/2012  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (7 from 3 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg44.90%-- 22.90%-- 2.00%-- 3.00%-- 1.00%-- 0.00%--  
Magellan Data & Mapping Strategies (R) 
07/16/12-07/17/12
45.00% -- 23.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
05/17/12-05/20/12
42.00% 14.0 20.00% 13.0 2.00% 1.0 3.00% 2.0 1.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
02/17/12-02/19/12
56.00% 3.0 7.00% -- 1.00% 1.0 5.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
11/17/11-11/20/11
53.00% 20.0 7.00% -- 2.00% -- 5.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Magellan Data & Mapping Strategies (R) 
11/14/11-11/15/11
52.00% -- 4.00% -- 2.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
04/28/11-05/01/11
33.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 


EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
07/31/2012 Jeff Flake TVAd Mixed eng Jeff Flake, Arizona Conservative   00:00:31 Jason 
07/25/2012 Wilford R "Wil" Cardon TVAd Attack eng Jeff Flake Attacks Honest Businessman Wil Cardon, Just Like Obama   00:00:31 Crimson 
07/24/2012 Jeff Flake TVAd Endorsement eng Jon Kyl Endorses Jeff Flake for U.S. Senate   00:00:30 Crimson 
06/23/2012 Wilford R "Wil" Cardon TVAd Mixed eng Wil Cardon Has the Skills to Fix Our Economy   00:00:31 Crimson 
06/22/2012 Wilford R "Wil" Cardon TVAd Mixed eng Trent Franks Sets the Record Straight   00:00:30 Crimson 
06/13/2012 Jeff Flake TVAd Mixed eng Arizona‚Äôs Battle-Tested Conservative  00:00:31 Crimson 
06/12/2012 Jeff Flake Radio Ad Mixed eng Arizona's battle-tested conservative is Jeff Flake   00:01:01 RP 
05/07/2012 Wilford R "Wil" Cardon TVAd Contrast eng New Direction  00:00:30 Crimson 
04/09/2012 Wilford R "Wil" Cardon TVAd Issue eng Rule of Law  00:00:31 Crimson 
03/22/2012 Wilford R "Wil" Cardon TVAd Issue eng Jobs  00:00:30 Crimson 
03/21/2012 Jeff Flake TVAd Issue eng Worst. Birthday. Ever.  00:00:51 Craverguy 
03/13/2012 Wilford R "Wil" Cardon TVAd Biography eng Outsider  00:00:31 Crimson 

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Aug 12, 2012 07:30pm Endorsement Jeff Flake, Arizona Senate Candidate, Calls For Ending Direct Election Of Senators   Article RP 
Jul 12, 2012 07:00pm Commentary Support Lags for Jeff Flake in Primary  Article RP 
Jun 26, 2012 04:40pm General Did Arizona Senate Candidate Jeff Flake Lobby For Apartheid In South Africa?  Article RP 
Aug 05, 2011 05:05pm Announcement Self funder to primary Jeff Flake  Article TX DEM 
Jun 07, 2011 11:15am News Palin says she's not planning Senate run in Arizona  Article IndyGeorgia 
Apr 01, 2011 03:45pm Announcement Trent Franks Won't Run for Senate  Article RP 

DISCUSSION