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  UK Parliament - Birmingham Hodge Hill
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United Kingdom > England > West Midlands > West Midlands > Birmingham Hodge Hill
OfficeParliament
HonorificMember of Parliament - Abbr: MP
Type General Election
Filing Deadline April 19, 2005 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open May 05, 2005 - 01:00am Central
Polls Close May 05, 2005 - 05:00pm Central
Term Start May 17, 2005 - 12:00pm
Term End May 17, 2010 - 11:00am
ContributorWishful Thinking
Last ModifiedWishful Thinking May 28, 2005 05:02pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description Labour came within a whisker of losing the seat to the Liberal Democrats. (On the same day the Lib Dems won Leicester South.) The seat has a habit of losing its MPs to Europe. Originally called Stetchford, this was the fiefdom of former Labour chancellor, the late Roy Jenkins, from 1950 to 1977 when he resigned to become European Commission President. That by-election resulted in a Conservative victory but Terry Davis won in it back for Labour in 1979. Hodge Hill sits on the eastern side of Birmingham in a wedge shape running from the city centre out towards Solihull and consists of the wards of Washwood Heath, Shard End and Hodge Hill. It is ethnically diverse: according to the 2001 Census, more than 20% of the population are Asian and a further 4% are black. The Census also shows that there are high levels of long-term unemployment. However, in recent years two large local manufacturers, LDV vans and Alstom (train stock) have undergone something of a renaissance.
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyLabour Won07/15/2004
NameLiam Byrne Votes7,451 (36.45%)
Term07/16/2004 - 04/11/2005 Margin460 (+2.25%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyLabour Won05/06/2010
NameLiam Byrne Votes22,077 (51.98%)
Term05/17/2010 - 05/17/2015 Margin10,302 (+24.26%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
04/29/2005 05/05/2005
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Nicola Davies 3 ------
Leaning Call: Nicola Davies (100.00%)
Weighted Call: Nicola Davies (100.00%)

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name (I) MP Liam Byrne Nicola Davies Deborah Thomas Denis Adams Adrian Duffen Azmat Begg  
PartyLabour Liberal Democrats Conservative British National UK Independence Peace and Progress  
Campaign Logo  
Uncertified Votes 13,822 (48.64%) 8,373 (29.47%) 3,768 (13.26%) 1,445 (5.09%) 680 (2.39%) 329 (1.16%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -5,449 (-19.18%) -10,054 (-35.38%) -12,377 (-43.55%) -13,142 (-46.25%) -13,493 (-47.48%)  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--  
Website  
Entry Date -- -- -- -- -- --  
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