Home About Chat Users Issues Party Candidates Polling Firms Media News Polls Calendar Key Races United States President Senate House Governors International

New User Account
"A comprehensive, collaborative elections resource." 
Email: Password:

  AZ - District 08
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Arizona > AZ - District 08
OfficeHouse of Representatives
HonorificRepresentative - Abbr: Rep.
Type General Election
Filing Deadline June 14, 2006 - 12:00am Central
Polls Open November 07, 2006 - 07:00am Central
Polls Close November 07, 2006 - 08:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2007 - 01:00pm
Term End January 03, 2009 - 01:00pm
Turnout 39.56% Total Population
ContributorUser 490
Last ModifiedBarack O-blame-a January 08, 2007 12:24pm
Data Sources[Link] [Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/02/2004
NameJim Kolbe Votes183,363 (60.36%)
Term01/03/2005 - 01/03/2007 Margin73,400 (+24.16%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/04/2008
NameGabrielle Giffords Votes179,629 (54.72%)
Term01/03/2009 - 01/03/2011 Margin39,076 (+11.90%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Sep 12, 2006 AZ District 8 - R Primary
Randy Graf
R 64,076
Sep 12, 2006 AZ District 8 - D Primary
Gabrielle Giffords
D 61,409
Sep 12, 2006 AZ - District 08 - LBT Primary
David F. Nolan
LBT 516
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
03/10/2005 11/07/2006
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Gabrielle Giffords 9 21 14 2
Randy Graf 2 1 ----
Leaning Call: Gabrielle Giffords (96.19%)
Weighted Call: Gabrielle Giffords (99.99%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

09/01/2006 10/29/2006

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name St. Sen. Gabrielle Giffords St. Rep. Randy Graf Chairman David F. Nolan Jay Quick (W) Russ Dove (W) Paul Price (W) Leo F. Kimminau, Sr.
PartyDemocratic Republican Libertarian Independent Independent Independent Independent
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 137,655 (54.26%) 106,790 (42.09%) 4,849 (1.91%) 4,408 (1.74%) 7 (0.00%) 7 (0.00%) 4 (0.00%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -30,865 (-12.16%) -132,806 (-52.34%) -133,247 (-52.52%) -137,648 (-54.25%) -137,648 (-54.25%) -137,651 (-54.25%)
Predict Avg.54.98% 43.38% 0.75% 0.25% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Sarnstrom55.00% (+4.57 pts) 43.00% (+3.55 pts) 2.00% (+1.08 pts) -- -- -- --
Blue Wizzrobe56.00% (+3.91 pts) 42.00% (+4.10 pts) -- -- -- -- --
Some say...55.00% (+4.57 pts) 43.00% (+3.55 pts) 1.00% (+0.54 pts) 1.00% (+0.64 pts) -- -- --
*crickets chirp*53.90% (+4.83 pts) 45.50% (+1.88 pts) -- -- -- -- --
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 09/12/2006 09/12/2006 00/00/0001 09/12/2006 00/00/2006 00/00/2006 00/00/2006
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (8 from 4 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg48.04%-- 38.42%-- 1.43%-- 0.48%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
Reuters/Zogby 
10/24/06-10/29/06
53.00% -- 41.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Wick Communications 
10/25/06-10/28/06
50.00% 2.0 35.00% 1.0 0.00% 1.2 0.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Zimmerman & Associates 
10/20/06-10/23/06
48.00% -- 38.00% 2.0 0.00% 1.0 0.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Reuters/Zogby 
09/25/06-10/02/06
45.00% -- 37.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Wick Communications 
09/20/06-09/23/06
52.00% -- 34.00% -- 1.20% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Zimmerman & Associates 
09/16/06-09/19/06
48.00% 2.0 36.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements


EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Oct 26, 2006 05:00pm General No more debates, says (AZ) CD8 candidate  Article Thomas Walker 
Sep 27, 2006 05:00pm Press Release GIFFORDS CAMPAIGN MISREPRESENTS CANDIDATE FORUMS  Article Thomas Walker 
Sep 13, 2006 03:00pm Endorsement Kolbe will not endorse Graf in congressional race  Article RP 
Sep 07, 2006 12:00pm Poll [AZ-8] Poll: Giffords, Graf lead District 8 contenders  Article ArmyDem 
Aug 24, 2006 08:00pm Poll [AZ-8] Poll Positions  Article ArmyDem 
Dec 06, 2005 12:00am News Democrats Smell Pickup in Arizona [8th]  Article ArmyDem 

DISCUSSION