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  Bulgaria National Assembly - Popular Vote
RACE DETAILS
Parents > Bulgaria > National Assembly > Popular Vote
OfficeNational Assembly
HonorificNational Assembly - Abbr: Deputy
Type Control Indicator
Filing Deadline 00, 0000 - 09:30am Central
Polls Open October 26, 2024 - 11:00pm Central
Polls Close October 27, 2024 - 12:00pm Central
Term Start November 11, 2024 - 05:00am
Term End November 11, 2028 - 05:00am
ContributorBojicat
Last ModifiedBojicat March 13, 2025 06:13pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description 21 parties and nine coalitions were approved to participate by Bulgaria's Central Election Commission on September 18, 2024. These were reduced to 19 parties and 9 coalitions on September 25, 2024 [Link]
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
10/23/2024 10/27/2024
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
GERB—SDS --1 ----
Leaning Call: GERB—SDS (100.00%)
Weighted Call: GERB—SDS (100.00%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

09/18/2024 10/23/2024

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name GERB—SDS PP–DB Revival DPS - A New Beginning BSP – United Left Alliance for Rights and Freedoms There Is Such a People
PartyGERB—SDS PP-DB Revival DPS - A New Beginning BSP – United Left Alliance for Rights and Freedoms There Is Such a People
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes 642,931 (25.52%) 346,063 (13.74%) 325,468 (12.92%) 281,366 (11.17%) 184,403 (7.32%) 182,263 (7.24%) 165,160 (6.56%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -296,868 (-11.78%) -317,463 (-12.60%) -361,565 (-14.35%) -458,528 (-18.20%) -460,668 (-18.29%) -477,771 (-18.97%)
Fusion Votes
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website
Entry Date -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (2 from 1 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg27.82%-- 14.90%-- 14.30%-- 7.40%-- 7.20%-- 7.90%-- 7.68%--
Alpha Research 
10/20/24-10/23/24		 26.50% 1.2 14.90% 0.3 14.20% 0.8 7.40% 0.9 7.20% 0.5 7.90% 0.5 6.10% 0.4
Alpha Research 
09/18/24-09/24/24		 25.30% -- 15.20% -- 15.00% -- 6.50% -- 6.70% -- 8.40% -- 5.70% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
PP We Continue the Change
DSB Democrats for a Strong Bulgaria
DA Yes, Bulgaria
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Morality, Unity, Honour Velichie None of the Above Blue Bulgaria Bulgarian Rise Russophiles for Bulgaria Direct Democracy
PartyMorale, Unity, Honour Velichie Independent Blue Bulgaria Bulgarian Rise Russophiles for Bulgaria Direct Democracy
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes 111,946 (4.44%) 97,430 (3.87%) 82,618 (3.28%) 26,066 (1.04%) 10,308 (0.41%) 8,858 (0.35%) 7,948 (0.32%)
Margin-530,985 (-21.08%) -545,501 (-21.65%) -560,313 (-22.24%) -616,865 (-24.49%) -632,623 (-25.11%) -634,073 (-25.17%) -634,983 (-25.21%)
Fusion Votes
BKP Bulgarian Communist Party (Vladimir Spasov)0
PBK Party of the Bulgarian Communists0
RM Russophiles for the Revival of the Fatherland0
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website
Entry Date -- -- -- -- -- -- --
MATCHUP POLLS (2 from 1 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg3.80%-- 2.60%-- 0.00%-- 2.70%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
Alpha Research 
10/20/24-10/23/24		 3.80% 0.8 2.60% 0.8 0.00% -- 2.70% 0.1 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Alpha Research 
09/18/24-09/24/24		 3.00% -- 3.40% -- 0.00% -- 2.80% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
RM Russophiles for the Revival of the Fatherland
VIEW 17 MORE CANDIDATES

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Bulgarian National Unification (BNO)
Sep 25, 2024 		Edinenie (Edine)
Sep 25, 2024 		People's Party of Freedom and Dignity (NPSD)
Sep 25, 2024 		VMRO – Bulgarian National Movement (IMRO)
Sep 25, 2024 		Volt Europa (VE)
Sep 25, 2024

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