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  Toronto Mayor - By-election
RACE DETAILS
Parents > Canada > Ontario > ON Municipalities > Toronto > Mayor
OfficeMayor
HonorificMayor - Abbr: Mayor
TypeNonpartisan By-election
Filing Deadline May 12, 2023 - 01:00pm Central
Polls Open June 26, 2023 - 09:00am Central
Polls Close June 26, 2023 - 07:00pm Central
Term Start July 12, 2023 - 11:00am
Term End November 15, 2026 - 11:00am
ContributorCampari_007
Last ModifiedCampari_007 July 12, 2023 11:33am
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyNonpartisan Won10/24/2022
NameJohn Tory Votes342,158 (62.00%)
Term11/15/2022 - 02/17/2023 Margin243,633 (+44.15%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
04/20/2023 06/26/2023
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Olivia Chow 2 2 2 --
Leaning Call: Olivia Chow (100.00%)
Weighted Call: Olivia Chow (100.00%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

02/13/2023 06/25/2023

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name MP Olivia Chow City Councillor Ana Bailão Chief of Police Mark Saunders Anthony Furey City Councillor Josh Matlow MPP Mitzie Hunter Chloe-Marie Brown
PartyNonpartisan Nonpartisan Nonpartisan Nonpartisan Nonpartisan Nonpartisan Nonpartisan
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes 269,372 (37.17%) 235,175 (32.45%) 62,167 (8.58%) 35,899 (4.95%) 35,572 (4.91%) 21,229 (2.93%) 18,831 (2.60%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -34,197 (-4.72%) -207,205 (-28.59%) -233,473 (-32.22%) -233,800 (-32.26%) -248,143 (-34.24%) -250,541 (-34.57%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website]
Entry Date 04/17/2023 03/17/2023 03/20/2023 03/21/2023 03/21/2023 04/03/2023 02/22/2023
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (45 from 5 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg33.65%-- 18.60%-- 13.94%-- 9.47%-- 8.81%-- 5.58%-- 1.00%--
Mainstreet Research 
06/25/23-06/25/23
36.00% 2.0 30.00% 5.0 9.00% 2.0 8.00% 2.0 8.00% 1.0 5.00% -- 1.00% 1.0
Mainstreet Research 
06/24/23-06/24/23
34.00% 4.0 25.00% 3.0 11.00% 1.0 10.00% 3.0 7.00% 2.0 5.00% -- 2.00% --
Forum Research 
06/23/23-06/23/23
29.00% 3.0 20.00% 7.0 15.00% -- 11.00% 2.0 8.00% 1.0 5.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Liaison Strategies 
06/22/23-06/23/23
31.00% 1.0 17.00% 5.0 16.00% -- 11.00% 1.0 10.00% 3.0 6.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Mainstreet Research 
06/21/23-06/22/23
30.00% 6.0 22.00% 9.0 12.00% 1.0 13.00% 6.0 9.00% 3.0 5.00% 2.0 2.00% 2.0
Mainstreet Research 
06/17/23-06/19/23
36.00% 5.0 13.00% 1.0 13.00% -- 7.00% 4.0 12.00% -- 7.00% 1.0 4.00% 1.0
Viewpoints Research 
06/15/23-06/19/23
35.00% 2.0 12.00% 2.0 16.00% 1.0 10.00% 1.0 10.00% -- 6.00% -- 0.00% --
Liaison Strategies 
06/17/23-06/18/23
30.00% -- 12.00% 1.0 16.00% -- 10.00% 2.0 13.00% 3.0 7.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Forum Research 
06/16/23-06/16/23
32.00% 3.0 13.00% 3.0 15.00% 1.0 13.00% 2.0 9.00% -- 6.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Mainstreet Research 
06/15/23-06/15/23
31.00% 2.0 14.00% 3.0 13.00% 1.0 11.00% 2.0 12.00% 6.0 6.00% 2.0 5.00% --
Liaison Strategies 
06/12/23-06/13/23
30.00% 4.0 11.00% 1.0 16.00% 1.0 8.00% 1.0 16.00% 4.0 8.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Ipsos 
06/09/23-06/13/23
38.00% -- 12.00% -- 14.00% -- 7.00% -- 8.00% -- 6.00% -- 0.00% --
Liaison Strategies 
06/10/23-06/11/23
34.00% 1.0 10.00% 1.0 15.00% 1.0 9.00% 3.0 12.00% 1.0 9.00% 2.0 0.00% --
Mainstreet Research 
06/09/23-06/11/23
33.00% 4.0 17.00% 3.0 14.00% 1.0 9.00% -- 6.00% 5.0 8.00% 1.0 5.00% 2.0
Forum Research 
06/09/23-06/09/23
35.00% 3.0 10.00% 2.0 14.00% 1.0 11.00% 1.0 9.00% 3.0 7.00% -- 0.00% --
Mainstreet Research 
06/07/23-06/08/23
29.00% 6.0 20.00% 4.0 13.00% 1.0 9.00% -- 11.00% 1.0 9.00% 4.0 3.00% 1.0
Liaison Strategies 
06/03/23-06/04/23
35.00% 5.0 9.00% 1.0 14.00% -- 6.00% 3.0 11.00% -- 11.00% 3.0 0.00% --
Forum Research 
06/02/23-06/02/23
38.00% 4.0 8.00% 1.0 13.00% 1.0 10.00% -- 12.00% -- 7.00% 3.0 0.00% --
Viewpoints Research 
06/01/23-06/02/23
37.00% 5.0 10.00% -- 15.00% 4.0 9.00% -- 10.00% 1.0 6.00% -- 0.00% --
Mainstreet Research 
05/30/23-05/31/23
32.00% -- 16.00% -- 12.00% -- 9.00% -- 10.00% -- 7.00% -- 4.00% --
Forum Research 
05/26/23-05/27/23
34.00% -- 9.00% -- 14.00% -- 9.00% -- 12.00% -- 9.00% -- 0.00% --
Liaison Strategies 
05/26/23-05/27/23
30.00% 1.0 10.00% 2.0 14.00% 3.0 3.00% -- 11.00% -- 14.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Mainstreet Research 
05/24/23-05/25/23
35.00% 5.0 16.00% 5.0 12.00% 2.0 9.00% 2.0 10.00% 4.0 5.00% 4.0 2.00% --
Forum Research 
05/19/23-05/20/23
34.00% 2.0 9.00% 2.0 12.00% 6.0 0.00% -- 12.00% 2.0 10.00% -- 0.00% --
Liaison Strategies 
05/17/23-05/18/23
29.00% 1.0 8.00% 1.0 17.00% 1.0 3.00% 1.0 11.00% 4.0 15.00% 3.0 0.00% --
Mainstreet Research 
05/16/23-05/17/23
30.00% 1.0 21.00% 6.0 10.00% 2.0 7.00% -- 14.00% 4.0 9.00% -- 2.00% 3.0
Forum Research 
05/13/23-05/14/23
36.00% 3.0 7.00% -- 18.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 10.00% 4.0 10.00% 2.0 0.00% --
Liaison Strategies 
05/12/23-05/13/23
30.00% 3.0 7.00% 2.0 16.00% -- 2.00% 1.0 15.00% 1.0 12.00% 2.0 0.00% --
Mainstreet Research 
05/10/23-05/11/23
31.00% -- 15.00% 2.0 12.00% -- 7.00% -- 10.00% 5.0 9.00% -- 5.00% --
Forum Research 
05/06/23-05/07/23
33.00% 1.0 7.00% 3.0 14.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 14.00% -- 8.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Liaison Strategies 
05/05/23-05/06/23
27.00% 1.0 9.00% 2.0 16.00% 4.0 1.00% 1.0 16.00% 3.0 10.00% -- 0.00% --
Mainstreet Research 
05/02/23-05/03/23
31.00% 5.0 17.00% 5.0 12.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 15.00% 1.0 9.00% 4.0 0.00% --
Viewpoints Research 
04/29/23-05/02/23
32.00% -- 10.00% -- 19.00% -- 0.00% -- 11.00% -- 6.00% -- 0.00% --
Liaison Strategies 
04/28/23-04/29/23
26.00% 3.0 7.00% 2.0 20.00% 1.0 2.00% 1.0 19.00% 2.0 10.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Mainstreet Research 
04/25/23-04/26/23
26.00% 10.0 22.00% 5.0 11.00% 2.0 0.00% 3.0 14.00% 4.0 5.00% 2.0 0.00% --
Forum Research 
04/25/23-04/26/23
32.00% -- 10.00% 1.0 13.00% -- 0.00% -- 14.00% -- 7.00% -- 0.00% 13.0
Liaison Strategies 
04/22/23-04/22/23
23.00% -- 9.00% -- 19.00% -- 1.00% -- 21.00% -- 9.00% -- 0.00% --
Mainstreet Research 
04/10/23-04/20/23
23.00% -- 19.00% -- 14.00% -- 0.00% -- 18.00% -- 7.00% -- 0.00% --
Mainstreet Research 
04/12/23-04/13/23
16.00% 8.0 17.00% 6.0 13.00% -- 3.00% -- 18.00% 9.0 7.00% -- 0.00% --
Mainstreet Research 
04/02/23-04/03/23
24.00% -- 23.00% 6.0 13.00% -- 0.00% -- 9.00% 4.0 7.00% 8.0 0.00% --
Forum Research 
03/23/23-03/23/23
24.00% -- 11.00% -- 22.00% -- 0.00% -- 18.00% -- 12.00% -- 0.00% --
Mainstreet Research 
03/17/23-03/19/23
0.00% -- 22.00% -- 8.00% -- 0.00% -- 17.00% -- 11.00% -- 0.00% --
Mainstreet Research 
02/19/23-02/19/23
0.00% -- 17.00% 8.0 13.00% -- 0.00% -- 13.00% 3.0 15.00% -- 0.00% --
Forum Research 
02/14/23-02/14/23
0.00% -- 11.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 13.00% --
Mainstreet Research 
02/13/23-02/14/23
0.00% -- 9.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 10.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name City Councillor Brad Bradford Chris Saccoccia City Councillor Anthony Perruzza Xiao Hua Gong Lyall Sanders City Councillor Giorgio Mammoliti Bahira Abdulsalam
PartyNonpartisan Nonpartisan Nonpartisan Nonpartisan Nonpartisan Nonpartisan Nonpartisan
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes 9,254 (1.28%) 8,001 (1.10%) 3,025 (0.42%) 2,983 (0.41%) 2,775 (0.38%) 1,105 (0.15%) 913 (0.13%)
Margin-260,118 (-35.90%) -261,371 (-36.07%) -266,347 (-36.76%) -266,389 (-36.76%) -266,597 (-36.79%) -268,267 (-37.02%) -268,459 (-37.05%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website
Entry Date 03/29/2023 02/18/2023 04/12/2023 05/12/2023 05/12/2023 03/15/2023 04/03/2023
MATCHUP POLLS (45 from 5 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg4.27%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
Mainstreet Research 
06/25/23-06/25/23
1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mainstreet Research 
06/24/23-06/24/23
1.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Forum Research 
06/23/23-06/23/23
3.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Liaison Strategies 
06/22/23-06/23/23
4.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mainstreet Research 
06/21/23-06/22/23
2.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mainstreet Research 
06/17/23-06/19/23
3.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Viewpoints Research 
06/15/23-06/19/23
8.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Liaison Strategies 
06/17/23-06/18/23
4.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Forum Research 
06/16/23-06/16/23
4.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mainstreet Research 
06/15/23-06/15/23
4.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Liaison Strategies 
06/12/23-06/13/23
5.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Ipsos 
06/09/23-06/13/23
6.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Liaison Strategies 
06/10/23-06/11/23
6.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mainstreet Research 
06/09/23-06/11/23
3.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Forum Research 
06/09/23-06/09/23
5.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mainstreet Research 
06/07/23-06/08/23
4.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Liaison Strategies 
06/03/23-06/04/23
7.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Forum Research 
06/02/23-06/02/23
5.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Viewpoints Research 
06/01/23-06/02/23
10.00% 5.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mainstreet Research 
05/30/23-05/31/23
4.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Forum Research 
05/26/23-05/27/23
5.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Liaison Strategies 
05/26/23-05/27/23
10.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mainstreet Research 
05/24/23-05/25/23
6.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Forum Research 
05/19/23-05/20/23
7.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Liaison Strategies 
05/17/23-05/18/23
10.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mainstreet Research 
05/16/23-05/17/23
4.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Forum Research 
05/13/23-05/14/23
6.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Liaison Strategies 
05/12/23-05/13/23
12.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mainstreet Research 
05/10/23-05/11/23
6.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Forum Research 
05/06/23-05/07/23
7.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Liaison Strategies 
05/05/23-05/06/23
12.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mainstreet Research 
05/02/23-05/03/23
6.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Viewpoints Research 
04/29/23-05/02/23
15.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Liaison Strategies 
04/28/23-04/29/23
10.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mainstreet Research 
04/25/23-04/26/23
9.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Forum Research 
04/25/23-04/26/23
7.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Liaison Strategies 
04/22/23-04/22/23
11.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mainstreet Research 
04/10/23-04/20/23
7.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mainstreet Research 
04/12/23-04/13/23
7.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mainstreet Research 
04/02/23-04/03/23
8.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Forum Research 
03/23/23-03/23/23
5.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mainstreet Research 
03/17/23-03/19/23
6.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mainstreet Research 
02/19/23-02/19/23
9.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Forum Research 
02/14/23-02/14/23
11.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mainstreet Research 
02/13/23-02/14/23
7.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
VIEW 88 MORE CANDIDATES

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Alejandra Bravo (N)
May 02, 2023
Michael Coteau (N)
May 02, 2023
Michael Ford (N)
May 02, 2023
Ari Goldkind (N)
May 02, 2023
Stephen Holyday (N)
Apr 27, 2023
James Maloney (N)
Apr 23, 2023
Gil Peñalosa (N)
Feb 11, 2023 - Apr 19, 2023
Kristyn Wong-Tam (N)
Apr 19, 2023
Josh Colle (N)
Apr 02, 2023
Bhutila Karpoche (N)
Mar 16, 2023
Mike Layton (N)
Mar 02, 2023
Denzil Minnan-Wong (N)
Feb 23, 2023
Ahmed Hussen (N)
Feb 15, 2023
Stan Cho (N)
Feb 13, 2023
Nathaniel Erskine-Smith (N)
Feb 13, 2023
Joe Cressy (N)
Feb 12, 2023
Doug Ford (N)
Feb 11, 2023
Kathleen Wynne (N)
Feb 11, 2023
Michael Clemons (N)
 00, 2023
Jennifer Keesmaat (N)
 00, 2023
Jennifer McKelvie (N)
 00, 2023
Marco Mendicino (N)
 00, 2023
Rod Phillips (N)
 00, 2023

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Mar 04, 2023 09:00am Analysis With Layton out, who is the great left hope in [Toronto] mayor's race?  Article BrentinCO 

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