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  NZ House of Representatives - Popular Vote
RACE DETAILS
Parents > New Zealand > House of Representatives > Popular Vote
OfficeHouse of Representatives
HonorificRepresentative - Abbr: Rep.
Type Control Indicator
Filing Deadline September 14, 2023 - 07:00pm Central
Polls Open October 13, 2023 - 04:00pm Central
Polls Close October 14, 2023 - 01:00am Central
Term Start December 04, 2023 - 04:00pm
Term End November 15, 2026 - 04:00pm
ContributorBojicat
Last ModifiedBojicat January 04, 2024 07:14pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description [Link]
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
01/22/2023 10/14/2023
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
New Zealand National Party 1 2 ----
Leaning Call: New Zealand National Party (100.00%)
Weighted Call: New Zealand National Party (100.00%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

09/03/2023 10/10/2023

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name New Zealand National Party New Zealand Labour Party Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand ACT New Zealand New Zealand First Te Pāti Māori The Opportunities Party
PartyNational Labour Green Aotearoa ACT New Zealand New Zealand First Te Pāti Māori Opportunities
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes 878,288 (38.96%) 606,663 (26.91%) 242,845 (10.77%) 202,664 (8.99%) 145,649 (6.46%) 58,949 (2.62%) 46,677 (2.07%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -271,625 (-12.05%) -635,443 (-28.19%) -675,624 (-29.97%) -732,639 (-32.50%) -819,339 (-36.34%) -831,611 (-36.89%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website
Entry Date -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (7 from 2 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg35.75%-- 27.75%-- 14.45%-- 8.90%-- 6.40%-- 2.35%-- 2.10%--
1 News-Verian 
10/07/23-10/10/23
37.00% 1.0 28.00% 2.0 14.00% 1.0 9.00% 7.0 6.00% -- 2.00% -- 2.00% --
Reid Research 
10/05/23-10/10/23
34.50% 4.6 27.50% 1.0 14.90% 0.7 8.80% -- 6.80% 1.6 2.70% 0.5 2.20% 0.3
1 News-Verian 
09/30/23-10/03/23
36.00% 1.0 26.00% 1.0 13.00% 1.0 2.00% 10.0 6.00% 1.0 2.00% 1.0 2.00% 1.0
Reid Research 
09/17/23-09/23/23
39.10% 1.8 26.50% 0.3 14.20% 1.9 8.80% 1.3 5.20% 0.6 2.20% 0.9 1.90% 1.2
1 News-Verian 
09/16/23-09/19/23
37.00% 2.0 27.00% 1.0 12.00% 2.0 12.00% 2.0 5.00% -- 3.00% 0.4 1.00% 0.4
1 News-Verian 
09/09/23-09/12/23
39.00% -- 28.00% -- 10.00% -- 10.00% -- 5.00% -- 2.60% -- 1.40% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name New Zealand Loyal NewZeal Aotearoa Legalise Cannabis Party Freedoms New Zealand DemocracyNZ Animal Justice Party Aotearoa New Zealand New Conservatives
PartyNew Zealand Loyal NewZeal Aotearoa Legalise Cannabis Freedoms NZ DemocracyNZ Animal Justice New Conservatives
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes 26,141 (1.16%) 12,701 (0.56%) 8,844 (0.39%) 7,031 (0.31%) 5,544 (0.25%) 3,920 (0.17%) 3,567 (0.16%)
Margin-852,147 (-37.80%) -865,587 (-38.40%) -869,444 (-38.57%) -871,257 (-38.65%) -872,744 (-38.71%) -874,368 (-38.78%) -874,721 (-38.80%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website
Entry Date -- -- -- -- -- -- --
MATCHUP POLLS (7 from 2 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg1.20%-- 1.00%-- 0.00%-- 1.00%-- 1.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
1 News-Verian 
10/07/23-10/10/23
1.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% 1.0 1.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Reid Research 
10/05/23-10/10/23
1.40% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% 1.1
1 News-Verian 
09/30/23-10/03/23
1.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Reid Research 
09/17/23-09/23/23
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 1.10% --
1 News-Verian 
09/16/23-09/19/23
1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% 0.8
1 News-Verian 
09/09/23-09/12/23
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.80% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Women's Rights Party Leighton Baker Party New Nation Party Democratic Alliance  
PartyWomen's Rights Leighton Baker Party New Nation Democratic Alliance  
Campaign Logo  
Uncertified Votes 1,836 (0.08%) 1,814 (0.08%) 1,288 (0.06%) 0 (0.00%)  
Margin-876,452 (-38.88%) -876,474 (-38.88%) -877,000 (-38.90%) -878,288 (-38.96%)  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $--  
Website  
Entry Date -- -- -- --  
MATCHUP POLLS (7 from 2 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--  
1 News-Verian 
10/07/23-10/10/23
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Reid Research 
10/05/23-10/10/23
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
1 News-Verian 
09/30/23-10/03/23
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Reid Research 
09/17/23-09/23/23
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
1 News-Verian 
09/16/23-09/19/23
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
1 News-Verian 
09/09/23-09/12/23
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
New Zealand Outdoors Party (NZOP)
Sep 16, 2023
Vision NZ (VNZ)
Sep 16, 2023
ONE Party (ONE)
Aug 16, 2023
HeartlandNZ (HNZ)
Jun 22, 2023
Social Credit (NZSC)
Feb 28, 2023

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