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  CA US Senate - Open Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > California > Senate Class I
OfficeSenate
HonorificSenator - Abbr: Sen.
Type Primary Election
Filing Deadline December 08, 2023 - 04:00pm Central
Polls Open March 05, 2024 - 09:00am Central
Polls Close March 05, 2024 - 10:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2025 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2031 - 12:00pm
# Winners2
ContributorRP
Last ModifiedRBH April 12, 2024 10:04pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won10/01/2023
NameLaphonza Butler Votes1 (100.00%)
Term10/03/2023 - 01/03/2025 Margin1 (+100.00%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceCA US Senate - Special Election 11/05/2024
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
01/10/2023 03/05/2024
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Katie Porter 3 ------
Adam Schiff 8 1 --1
Steve Garvey 2 ------
Leaning Call: Adam Schiff (73.68%)
Weighted Call: Adam Schiff (68.16%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

11/19/2022 02/27/2024

CANDIDATES (2 Winners)
Photo
Name Rep. Adam Schiff Steve Garvey Rep. Katie Porter Rep. Barbara Lee Eric Early James P. Bradley Christina Pascucci
PartyDemocratic Republican Democratic Democratic Republican Republican Democratic
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 2,304,829 (31.57%) 2,301,351 (31.52%) 1,118,429 (15.32%) 717,129 (9.82%) 242,055 (3.32%) 98,778 (1.35%) 61,998 (0.85%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -3,478 (-0.05%) -1,186,400 (-16.25%) -1,587,700 (-21.75%) -2,062,774 (-28.25%) -2,206,051 (-30.21%) -2,242,831 (-30.72%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand 6/30 $29,800,864.00 $0.00 6/30 $10,383,669.00 6/30 $1,400,816.75 6/30 $80,343.22 3/31 $73.28 $0.00
Website [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site]
Entry Date 01/26/2023 10/10/2023 01/10/2023 02/21/2023 04/11/2023 06/30/2023 10/18/2023
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (15 from 6 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg27.22%-- 23.61%-- 18.22%-- 8.22%-- 0.91%-- 0.91%-- 0.00%--
Emerson College 
02/24/24-02/27/24		 32.00% 7.0 22.00% 4.0 20.00% 7.0 11.00% 3.0 0.00% 3.0 0.00% 2.0 0.00% 2.0
University of California - Berkeley 
02/22/24-02/27/24		 25.00% 9.0 27.00% 17.0 19.00% 2.0 8.00% 1.0 2.00% 2.0 2.00% 5.0 0.00% 1.0
Emerson College 
02/16/24-02/18/24		 28.00% -- 22.00% -- 16.00% -- 9.00% -- 2.00% -- 2.00% -- 2.00% --
Emerson College 
01/11/24-01/14/24		 25.00% 10.0 18.00% -- 13.00% 1.0 8.00% 2.0 3.00% -- 2.00% 2.0 2.00% --
University of California - Berkeley 
01/04/24-01/08/24		 21.00% 1.0 17.00% 10.0 18.00% 1.0 12.00% 5.0 11.00% 6.0 0.00% 7.0 2.00% --
Morning Consult 
12/15/23-12/19/23		 28.00% -- 19.00% -- 17.00% -- 14.00% -- 7.00% -- 7.00% -- 4.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
  Bakersfield Californian, The
  Santa Cruz Sentinel
  Democrats for Israel
  La Opinion
D Pete Aguilar 🔗
  Los Angeles Times
I smm
D Robert Rivas 🔗
VMan Politicoomer
D Sydney Kamlager-Dove 🔗
D Campari_007
D Darrell Steinberg 🔗
D Kevin Mullin 🔗
D Mark A. Takano 🔗
D Doris O. Matsui 🔗
D Eric M. Swalwell 🔗
D Ted W. Lieu 🔗
D Mike Thompson 🔗
D Mike Levin 🔗
D Grace Napolitano 🔗
D Anna Eshoo 🔗
D Gerald M. "Jerry" McNerney 🔗
D Alan S. Lowenthal 🔗
D Howard L. Berman 🔗
D Susan A. Davis 🔗
D Sam Farr 🔗
D Mel Levine 🔗
D George Miller 🔗
D Juan C. Vargas 🔗
D Jimmy Gomez 🔗
D Jared W. Huffman 🔗
D Henry A. Waxman 🔗
D Nancy Pelosi 🔗
R Hikikomori Blitzkrieg!
R Maryland Republican93
I ThatAlabamaGuy
W Arthur
? 00
D Crimson90
  JStreet
D Patrick
D Robert Garcia 🔗
I WA Indy
D Buffy Wicks 🔗
LBR Old LW
D Campari_007
D Elizabeth Warren 🔗
D Krystal Ball 🔗
  Progressive Change Campaign Committee
D Jason
I Cornel West 🔗
D Gloria Steinem 🔗
D Michael A. Nutter 🔗
? James Lawson 🔗
D Maya Harris 🔗
D Ben Cohen 🔗
D Stacey Abrams 🔗
  Congressional Black Caucus
  Americans for Democratic Action
  Sacramento Bee
  Modesto Bee
  Merced Sun-Star
  Los Angeles Sentinel
  Fresno Bee
  Bay Area Reporter
  Progressive Democrats of America
  NARAL Pro-Choice America
  Our Revolution
  Harvey Milk LGBT Democratic Club
WFP Working Families Party
  Alice B. Toklas LGBT Democratic Club
MFL Juan Croniqueur
D Derek Marshall 🔗
D John Burton 🔗
D Michael D. Cohen 🔗
D Geoff Young 🔗
D Pramila Jayapal 🔗
  The Collective PAC
D Ilhan Omar 🔗
D Sydney Kamlager-Dove 🔗
D Rohit "Ro" Khanna 🔗
D Buffy Wicks 🔗
D Janice D. "Jan" Schakowsky 🔗
D Sheila Jackson Lee 🔗
D Nikema Williams 🔗
D Marilyn Strickland 🔗
D Carol Moseley Braun 🔗
D Karen R. Bass 🔗
I Bill Paparian 🔗
I E Pluribus Unum
D Keith M. Ellison 🔗
D Lucy McBath 🔗
D Dolores Huerta 🔗
D Cheri Beasley 🔗
D Cedric L. Richmond 🔗
D Lucille E. Roybal-Allard 🔗
D London Breed 🔗
D Willie L. Brown, Jr. 🔗
D Libby Schaaf 🔗
N Kate Harrison 🔗
N Mark Humbert 🔗
D Rebecca Kaplan 🔗
N Jael P. Myrick 🔗
D Janani Ramachandran 🔗
N Treva Reid 🔗
N Rigel Robinson 🔗
N Terry Taplin 🔗
R Andrea H. Seastrand 🔗
R Michael J. "Mike" Morrell 🔗
R Michael D. "Mike" Antonovich 🔗
AIP American Independent Party
N CaliforniaModerate
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Sharleta Bassett Sarah Sun Liew Laura Garza Jonathan Reiss Sepi Gilani Gail K. Lightfoot Denice Gary-Pandol
PartyRepublican Republican No Party Affiliation Republican Democratic Libertarian Republican
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 54,884 (0.75%) 38,718 (0.53%) 34,529 (0.47%) 34,400 (0.47%) 34,316 (0.47%) 33,295 (0.46%) 25,649 (0.35%)
Margin-2,249,945 (-30.82%) -2,266,111 (-31.04%) -2,270,300 (-31.09%) -2,270,429 (-31.10%) -2,270,513 (-31.10%) -2,271,534 (-31.11%) -2,279,180 (-31.22%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $0.00 $0.00 $-- 6/30 $859.84 $0.00 $-- 6/30 $2,229.12
Website [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Website] [Campaign Site]
Entry Date 12/08/2023 00/00/2023 00/00/2023 05/17/2023 00/00/2023 12/08/2023 06/27/2021
MATCHUP POLLS (15 from 6 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
Emerson College 
02/24/24-02/27/24		 0.00% -- 0.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
University of California - Berkeley 
02/22/24-02/27/24		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Emerson College 
02/16/24-02/18/24		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Emerson College 
01/11/24-01/14/24		 0.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% 1.0
University of California - Berkeley 
01/04/24-01/08/24		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Morning Consult 
12/15/23-12/19/23		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 1.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
? Ben Garrison 🔗
R Sidney Powell 🔗
R Roger Stone 🔗
R Michael T. Flynn 🔗
R Mark D. Siljander 🔗
SWP
VIEW 17 MORE CANDIDATES

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Lexi Reese (D)
Jun 29, 2023 - Nov 28, 2023 		Laphonza Butler (D)
Oct 19, 2023 		Eleni Kounalakis (D)
Apr 24, 2023 		Larry A. Elder (R)
Apr 22, 2023 		Rohit "Ro" Khanna (D)
Mar 26, 2023 		London Breed (D)
Feb 21, 2023 		Libby Schaaf (D)
Feb 21, 2023 		Holly J. Mitchell (D)
Feb 16, 2023
Dianne Feinstein (D)
Feb 14, 2023 		Rob Bonta (D)
Feb 08, 2023 		Eric M. Swalwell (D)
Feb 02, 2023 		Akinyemi Agbede (D)
 00, 2023 		Paul Kevin Anderson (G)
 00, 2023 		Dana Bobbitt (I)
 00, 2023 		Josh Bocanegra (D)
 00, 2023 		Jehu Thomas De Gerold Hand (R)
 00, 2023
Jacob Farmos (D)
 00, 2023 		Jeremy Fennell (D)
 00, 2023 		Frank Ferreira (I)
 00, 2023 		Dian Foxington (D)
 00, 2023 		Carson Henry Franklin Jr. (D)
 00, 2023 		Zafar Inam (D)
 00, 2023 		Denard Ingram (D)
 00, 2023 		Fepbrina Keivaulqe Autiameineire (I)
 00, 2023
Zakaira Mohamed Kortam (R)
 00, 2023 		Roxanne Lawler (R)
 00, 2023 -  00, 2023 		Barack Obama Mandela (R)
 00, 2023 		Katie O'Neal Roedersheimer (I)
 00, 2023 		John Joseph Pappenheim (R)
 00, 2023 		Generic Republican (R)
 00, 2023

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
01/10/2024 Katie Porter TVAd Biography eng Shake Up The Senate  00:00:31 RP 

BOOKS
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INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Nov 02, 2023 02:00pm News California Senate hopeful Rep. Adam Schiff claimed primary residences in Maryland and California  Article BrentinCO 
Oct 10, 2023 01:00pm News Why Katie Porter sounds like a Republican on Iran and Hamas  Article WA Indy 
Sep 10, 2023 01:00pm News Newsom would pick a caretaker — not Barbara Lee — for Senate seat  Article WA Indy 

DISCUSSION