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POLLING FIRM DETAILS
Websitehttps://www.thetrafalgargroup.org
Polls Conducted200
Points440.1402
AffiliationIndependent
Last ModifiedBrentinCO August 28, 2020 02:07pm
DescriptionFrom Presidential and major statewide campaigns to market research, we have delivered quality polling results to candidates and businesses at all levels. We were named the best polling firm of 2016 presidential race, and this year, Real Clear Politics called us “the most accurate pollster of the cycle among those firms that polled multiple Senate and governor races.”

Race Polls Conducted
Race Results Polls
2024-11-05 19:00:00
US President - Popular Vote
  Joe Biden 0 0.00%
  Donald J. Trump 0 0.00%
  Shiva Ayyadurai 0 0.00%
  Tulsi Gabbard 0 0.00%
  Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. 0 0.00%
  Huhnkie Lee 0 0.00%
  Literally Anybody Else 0 0.00%
  Howard Stern 0 0.00%
  Robert "Robby" Wells 0 0.00%
  Cornel West 0 0.00%
  Libertarian Primary Winner 0 0.00%
  Green Primary Winner 0 0.00%
  Constitution Primary Winner 0 0.00%
  William McRaven 0 0.00%
  William Stodden 0 0.00%
  Michael Wood 0 0.00%
  Peter Sonski 0 0.00%
  Claudia De la Cruz 0 0.00%
  Jimmy Dore 0 0.00%
  Rachele Fruit 0 0.00%
  Joseph "Joe" Kishore 0 0.00%
  Sorinne Ardeleanu 0 0.00%
  Thomas L. Knapp 0 0.00%
03/29/2024-03/31/2024 (0.00% Undecided)
  Donald J. Trump 43.0000 43.00  
  Joe Biden 40.0000 40.00  
  Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. 11.0000 11.00  
  Cornel West 2.0000 2.00  
  Jill Stein 1.0000 1.00  
TOTAL +0.0000
2022-12-06 18:00:00
GA US Senate - Runoff
  Raphael Warnock 1,820,633 51.40%
  Herschel Walker 1,721,244 48.60%
12/03/2022-12/05/2022 (1.50% Undecided)
  Raphael Warnock 51.1000 51.87  +0.46 +4.5463
  Herschel Walker 47.4000 48.11  -0.49 +4.3208
TOTAL +8.8671
2022-11-08 22:00:00
OR Governor
  Tina Kotek 917,074 46.96%
  Christine Drazan 850,347 43.54%
  Elizabeth "Betsy" Johnson 168,431 8.62%
  Donice Noelle Smith 8,051 0.41%
  R. Leon Noble 6,867 0.35%
  Write-In 2,113 0.11%
10/18/2022-10/22/2022 (4.70% Undecided)
  Christine Drazan 41.7000 43.66  +0.12 +4.1879
  Tina Kotek 40.4000 42.30  -4.66 +1.4145
  Elizabeth "Betsy" Johnson 13.2000 13.82  +5.20 -1.8169
TOTAL +3.7855
2022-11-08 19:00:00
MI Governor
  Gretchen Whitmer 2,430,505 54.47%
  Tudor M. Dixon 1,960,635 43.94%
  Mary Buzuma 38,800 0.87%
  Donna Brandenburg 16,246 0.36%
  Kevin Hogan 10,766 0.24%
  Daryl M. Simpson 4,973 0.11%
  Evan Space 26 0.00%
  Bob Scott 8 0.00%
  Joyce Priscilla Gipson 4 0.00%
  Michael David Kelley 3 0.00%
  Ervin Joseph Lamie 3 0.00%
  Joseph M. Hunt 2 0.00%
  Elizabeth Ann Adkisson 1 0.00%
  Michael Ray Deck 0 0.00%
  Justin Paul Blackburn 0 0.00%
  Eugene Rosell Hunt Jr. 0 0.00%
10/18/2022-10/21/2022 (2.20% Undecided)
  Gretchen Whitmer 48.4000 49.46  -5.01 +1.7475
  Tudor M. Dixon 47.9000 48.95  +5.01 +0.9537
  Mary Buzuma 1.5000 1.53  +0.66 +0.6229
TOTAL +3.3242
2022-11-08 20:00:00
NM Governor
  Michelle L. Lujan Grisham 370,168 51.97%
  Mark Ronchetti 324,701 45.59%
  Karen Bedonie 17,387 2.44%
10/19/2022-10/21/2022 (4.00% Undecided)
  Mark Ronchetti 46.6000 48.46  +2.88 +2.5015
  Michelle L. Lujan Grisham 45.5000 47.32  -4.65 +1.7970
  Karen Bedonie 3.9000 4.06  +1.61 +0.1065
TOTAL +4.4051
2022-11-08 18:00:00
GA District 02
  Sanford D. Bishop Jr. 132,675 54.97%
  Chris West 108,665 45.03%
10/14/2022-10/16/2022 (3.50% Undecided)
  Sanford D. Bishop Jr. 50.2000 51.96  -3.02 +3.1115
  Chris West 46.3000 47.92  +2.89 +2.4471
TOTAL +5.5586
2022-11-08 18:00:00
GA Governor
  Brian Kemp 2,111,572 53.41%
  Stacey Abrams 1,813,673 45.88%
  Shane Hazel 28,163 0.71%
  David C. Byrne 18 0.00%
  Milton J. Lofton 7 0.00%
10/08/2022-10/11/2022 (2.10% Undecided)
  Brian Kemp 52.5000 53.60  +0.19 +4.8782
  Stacey Abrams 43.6000 44.52  -1.36 +3.5338
  Shane Hazel 1.8000 1.84  +1.13 +0.3031
TOTAL +8.7152
2022-11-08 18:00:00
GA Attorney General
  Chris Carr 2,032,500 51.86%
  Jen Jordan 1,826,437 46.60%
  Martin Cowen 60,107 1.53%
10/08/2022-10/11/2022 (13.40% Undecided)
  Chris Carr 45.7000 51.82  -0.04 +4.8641
  Jen Jordan 36.5000 41.39  -5.21 +1.0199
  Martin Cowen 4.4000 4.99  +3.46 -1.1889
TOTAL +4.6951
2022-11-08 20:00:00
NY Attorney General
  Letitia "Tish" James 3,168,256 54.60%
  Michael Henry 2,631,301 45.35%
  Write-In 3,073 0.05%
09/30/2022-10/03/2022 (10.20% Undecided)
  Michael Henry 45.4000 50.03  +4.68 +1.2783
  Letitia "Tish" James 44.4000 48.93  -5.67 +1.3140
TOTAL +2.5923
2022-11-08 22:00:00
CA District 21
  Jim Costa 68,074 54.18%
  Michael A. "Mike" Maher 57,573 45.82%
09/30/2022-10/03/2022 (12.00% Undecided)
  Jim Costa 44.2000 49.50  -4.67 +1.9469
  Michael A. "Mike" Maher 43.8000 49.06  +3.23 +2.2801
TOTAL +4.2270
2022-11-08 22:00:00
WA US Senate
  Patty Murray 1,741,827 57.15%
  Tiffany Smiley 1,299,322 42.63%
  Write-In 6,751 0.22%
10/25/2022-10/28/2022 (2.40% Undecided)
  Patty Murray 49.4000 50.59  -6.56 +0.9109
  Tiffany Smiley 48.2000 49.36  +6.73 -0.2872
TOTAL +0.6237
09/21/2022-09/24/2022 (4.80% Undecided)
  Patty Murray 48.7000 51.04  -6.11
  Tiffany Smiley 46.5000 48.73  +6.10
2022-11-08 20:00:00
AZ Secretary of State
  Adrian Fontes 1,320,619 52.38%
  Mark Finchem 1,200,411 47.62%
09/14/2022-09/17/2022 (11.40% Undecided)
  Mark Finchem 47.5000 52.91  +5.30 +1.0385
  Adrian Fontes 41.1000 45.79  -6.60 +0.5297
TOTAL +1.5681
2022-11-08 20:00:00
AZ Attorney General
  Kris Mayes 1,254,809 50.00%
  Abraham "Abe" Hamadeh 1,254,529 49.99%
  Samantha Severson 416 0.02%
09/14/2022-09/17/2022 (9.00% Undecided)
  Abraham "Abe" Hamadeh 50.0000 54.50  +4.51 +1.7397
  Kris Mayes 41.0000 44.69  -5.31 +1.2116
TOTAL +2.9513
2022-11-08 18:00:00
VT US Senate
  Peter Welch 196,575 68.47%
  Gerald Malloy 80,468 28.03%
  Dawn Ellis 2,752 0.96%
  Natasha Diamondstone-Kohout 1,574 0.55%
  Kerry Raheb 1,532 0.53%
  Carl Mark Coester 1,273 0.44%
  Stephen Duke 1,209 0.42%
  Cris Ericson 1,105 0.38%
  Write-In 612 0.21%
09/03/2022-09/07/2022 (7.10% Undecided)
  Peter Welch 49.7000 53.23  -15.24 -4.0251
  Gerald Malloy 43.2000 46.27  +18.24 -9.0575
TOTAL -13.0826
2022-11-08 18:00:00
VT Governor
  Phil Scott 202,147 70.98%
  Brenda Siegel 68,248 23.96%
  Kevin Hoyt 6,022 2.11%
  Peter Duval 4,723 1.66%
  Bernard Peters 2,315 0.81%
  Write-In 1,346 0.47%
09/03/2022-09/07/2022 (16.90% Undecided)
  Phil Scott 67.8000 79.26  +8.28 +0.8035
  Brenda Siegel 15.3000 17.89  -6.08 -1.2545
TOTAL -0.4511
2022-11-08 20:00:00
NY Governor
  Kathy Hochul 3,140,415 53.12%
  Lee M. Zeldin 2,762,581 46.73%
  Write-In 9,290 0.16%
  Larry Sharpe 0 0.00%
  Howie Hawkins 0 0.00%
  Willie Cotton 0 0.00%
09/30/2022-10/03/2022 (9.70% Undecided)
  Kathy Hochul 44.5000 48.82  -4.30 +2.1169
  Lee M. Zeldin 42.6000 46.73  +0.01 +4.5004
  Larry Sharpe 3.2000 3.51  +3.51 -1.3403
TOTAL +5.2770
08/31/2022-09/01/2022 (6.70% Undecided)
  Kathy Hochul 47.8000 51.00  -2.11
  Lee M. Zeldin 43.4000 46.31  -0.42
  Larry Sharpe 2.1000 2.24  +2.24
2022-11-08 20:00:00
AZ US Senate
  Mark Kelly 1,322,027 51.39%
  Blake Masters 1,196,308 46.51%
  Marc Victor 53,762 2.09%
  Lester Maul 95 0.00%
  Christopher Bullock 27 0.00%
  Ty McLean 21 0.00%
  Roxanne Rodriguez 20 0.00%
  Sherrise Bordes 17 0.00%
  William Taylor 8 0.00%
  Todd Smeltzer 6 0.00%
  Edward Davida 3 0.00%
11/05/2022-11/07/2022 (3.80% Undecided)
  Blake Masters 48.2000 50.03  +3.52 +2.1386
  Mark Kelly 46.7000 48.47  -2.92 +2.9078
  Marc Victor 1.3000 1.35  -0.74 +0.6630
TOTAL +5.7094
09/14/2022-09/17/2022 (5.30% Undecided)
  Mark Kelly 46.6000 49.07  -2.33
  Blake Masters 45.4000 47.81  +1.30
  Marc Victor 2.7000 2.84  +0.75
08/24/2022-08/27/2022 (3.70% Undecided)
  Mark Kelly 47.6000 49.36  -2.03
  Blake Masters 44.3000 45.94  -0.57
  Marc Victor 4.4000 4.56  +2.47
2022-11-08 21:00:00
AZ Governor
  Katie Hobbs 1,287,891 50.32%
  Kari Lake 1,270,774 49.65%
  Liana West 254 0.01%
  Mikaela Lutes-Burton 213 0.01%
  William Pounds IV 139 0.01%
  Steph Denny 74 0.00%
  Alice Novoa 55 0.00%
  RayShawn Merrill 44 0.00%
  Anthony Camboni 41 0.00%
11/05/2022-11/07/2022 (2.60% Undecided)
  Kari Lake 50.5000 51.81  +2.16 +3.2815
  Katie Hobbs 46.9000 48.12  -2.20 +3.3079
TOTAL +6.5894
09/14/2022-09/17/2022 (4.40% Undecided)
  Kari Lake 50.0000 52.20  +2.55
  Katie Hobbs 45.6000 47.61  -2.71
08/24/2022-08/27/2022 (5.10% Undecided)
  Kari Lake 46.5000 48.87  -0.78
  Katie Hobbs 45.8000 48.14  -2.18
  Barry J. Hess, II 2.6000 2.73  +2.73
2022-11-08 20:00:00
WI US Senate
  Ron Johnson 1,337,185 50.41%
  Mandela Barnes 1,310,467 49.41%
  Write-In 4,758 0.18%
  Adam Nicholas Paul 67 0.00%
09/15/2022-09/19/2022 (4.80% Undecided)
  Ron Johnson 48.7000 51.04  +0.62 +4.3643
  Mandela Barnes 46.5000 48.73  -0.67 +4.2565
TOTAL +8.6208
08/22/2022-08/25/2022 (3.50% Undecided)
  Mandela Barnes 49.4000 51.13  +1.72
  Ron Johnson 47.1000 48.75  -1.66
2022-11-08 20:00:00
WI Governor
  Tony Evers 1,358,774 51.15%
  Tim Michels 1,268,535 47.75%
  Joan Beglinger 27,198 1.02%
  Write-In 1,879 0.07%
  Seth Haskins 104 0.00%
09/15/2022-09/19/2022 (5.30% Undecided)
  Tim Michels 47.7000 50.23  +2.48 +2.9309
  Tony Evers 47.0000 49.49  -1.66 +3.7307
TOTAL +6.6616
08/22/2022-08/25/2022 (4.50% Undecided)
  Tony Evers 48.0000 50.16  -0.99
  Tim Michels 47.5000 49.64  +1.89
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Approval Polls Conducted
Candidate Poll (Approve/Disapprove/Don't Know)
Ralph S. Northam
10/11/2021-10/13/2021 41.8000 49.9000 8.3000
Joe Biden
11/26/2021-11/29/2021 36.3000 59.1000 4.6000
10/11/2021-10/13/2021 39.9000 58.4000 1.7000
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