Poll Average Details- AK At-Large - Special Primary - 2022-06-11 23:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Sarah Palin Al Gross Nick Begich III Joshua C. Revak Christopher Constant Santa Claus Tara M. Sweeney Mary Sattler Peltola John B. Coghill, Jr. Andrew J. Halcro Mike Milligan Emil Notti Tim Beck John W. Howe Robert Ornelas J. R. Myers William D. "Bill" Hibler III David John Thistle Stephen T. "Todd" Wright Gregg Brelsford Chris Bye Jay R. Armstrong Otto H. Florschutz III Brian T. Beal Ted S. Heintz Robert "Bob" Lyons Dennis W. "Denny" Aguayo Arlene Carle Lady Donna Dutchess Laurel A. Foster Thomas R. "Tom" Gibbons Karyn Griffin Jeff B. Lowenfels Mikel E. Melander Sherry M. Mettler Silvio E. Pellegrini Bradley D. Welter Don Knight David M. Hughes Ernest F. Thomas Jason G. Williams Jo Woodward Robert Brown John T. Callahan Anne M. McCabe Maxwell Sumner Richard "Clayton" Trotter Adam Wool
Alaska Survey Research5/9X 1.00000   19.0000 - 0.8960 bias 13.0000 - 1.7421 bias 16.0000 - 0.8960 bias 4.0000 - 0.8960 bias 5.0000 - 3.0638 bias 6.0000 - 2.9688 bias 4.0000 - 0.8960 bias 5.0000 - 3.0638 bias 2.0000 - 0.8960 bias 2.0000 - 1.7421 bias                                                                           2.0000 - 3.0638 bias
Remington Research4/9X 0.50000   31.0000 - -0.4438 bias 26.0000 - bias 21.0000 - -0.4438 bias 3.0000 - -0.4438 bias 7.0000 - 0.8599 bias   2.0000 - -0.4438 bias                                                                                  
Change Research3/29X 0.31667   30.0000 - -1.2913 bias 33.0000 - bias   9.0000 - -1.2913 bias                                                                                        
TOTAL 24.074208 19.105266 17.217267 4.450355 3.337500 3.031200 2.883933 1.936200 1.104000 0.257900 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 -1.063800