Poll Average Details- FL US Senate - 2022-11-08 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Marco A. Rubio Val Demings Val DemingsHoward W. Knepper Dennis Misigoy Steven B. Grant Tuan TQ Nguyen Uloma Uma Ekpete Edward A. Gray Moses J. Quiles
University of North Florida10/24X 1.00000   54.0000 - -2.2656 bias 43.0000 - 2.1294 bias              
Siena Research Institute9/25X 0.51667   48.0000 - -0.0165 bias 41.0000 - 0.4840 bias              
Civiqs9/20X 0.43333   49.0000 - -1.4007 bias 47.0000 - 2.9404 bias              
Sachs Media9/10X 0.26667   49.0000 - -5.0782 bias 46.0000 - 5.9318 bias              
Echelon Insights9/7X 0.21667   50.0000 - -0.1429 bias 41.0000 - -0.5627 bias              
Insider Advantage9/6X 0.20000   46.0000 - 0.0480 bias 44.0000 - -0.0455 bias              
Susquehanna Polling & Research (SP&R)9/3X 0.15000   47.0000 - -1.1849 bias 44.0000 - 1.4286 bias              
Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research8/31X 0.10000   49.0000 - 1.2782 bias 47.0000 - -0.6142 bias              
Clarity Campaign Labs8/30X 0.08333  X 1/2 46.0000 - -1.3124 bias 45.0000 - 3.9429 bias              
TOTAL 51.747433 41.796037 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000