Poll Average Details- NV US Senate - 2022-11-08 21:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	Adam Laxalt	Catherine Cortez Masto	Barry Lindemann	Neil Scott	Barry Rubinson	None of These Candidates
Trafalgar Group	11/7	X 1.00000		50.3000 - 1.8988 bias	45.4000 - -1.6435 bias		1.4000 - 0.8790 bias
Emerson College	10/29	X 0.85000		50.0000 - 0.6906 bias	45.0000 - 0.8084 bias
OH Predictive Insights	10/27	X 0.81667		41.0000 - 1.3069 bias	43.0000 - -0.8237 bias
Echelon Insights	10/26	X 0.80000		45.0000 - -0.1429 bias	45.0000 - -0.5627 bias	1.0000 - 0.2959 bias	1.0000 - 0.7714 bias
Siena Research Institute	10/26	X 0.80000		47.0000 - -0.0165 bias	47.0000 - 0.4840 bias
University of Nevada - Reno	10/19	X 0.68333		39.0000 - -2.5370 bias	52.0000 - 6.0595 bias
Suffolk University	10/7	X 0.48333		44.0000 - -2.1317 bias	46.0000 - 1.6356 bias
SSRS	10/2	X 0.40000		48.0000 - -0.8430 bias	46.0000 - 1.4667 bias				2.0000 - 2.5290 bias
Insider Advantage	9/20	X 0.20000		45.9000 - 0.0480 bias	43.0000 - -0.0455 bias
Data for Progress	9/19	X 0.18333		47.0000 - -0.9368 bias	46.0000 - 1.5464 bias		4.0000 - 0.7656 bias
TOTAL				45.785688	45.276095	0.704100	0.653876	0.000000	-0.529000