Poll Average Details- CO US Senate - 2022-11-08 20:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Michael Bennet Joe O'Dea Brian Peotter Frank Atwood T. J. Cole Robert Messman Tom Harvey Joanne Rock John Carleton Rutledge
Civiqs10/18X 1.00000   54.0000 - 2.9404 bias 41.0000 - -1.4007 bias              
Global Strategy Group (D)10/10X 0.86667   49.0000 - 2.9065 bias 38.0000 - -2.0582 bias 7.0000 - 2.6764 bias            
Data for Progress10/6X 0.80000   50.0000 - 1.5464 bias 41.0000 - -0.9368 bias 3.0000 - 0.7656 bias            
Marist Institute10/6X 0.80000   48.0000 - 0.7635 bias 41.0000 - -0.4397 bias              
OnMessage Inc. (R)9/27X 0.65000  X 1/2 46.0000 - -1.9372 bias 45.0000 - 3.3406 bias              
Keating Research (D) and Magellan Strategies (R)9/25X 0.61667   46.0000 - 0.1517 bias 36.0000 - 1.2677 bias              
Trafalgar Group9/24X 0.60000   48.6000 - -1.6435 bias 42.6000 - 1.8988 bias 3.6000 - 0.8790 bias            
Emerson College9/19X 0.51667   46.0000 - 0.8084 bias 36.0000 - 0.6906 bias              
Public Policy Polling8/31X 0.20000   46.0000 - 1.1680 bias 35.0000 - -0.1800 bias 7.0000 - 1.4191 bias            
Tarrance Group (R)8/25X 0.10000   48.0000 - -0.5219 bias 47.0000 - 1.0477 bias              
TOTAL 47.849918 40.012310 3.358143 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000