[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.

A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.

[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.

[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.

[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll | Mid Date | Time Weight | Internal | Christian Democratic Union | Alternative for Germany | The Left | Social Democratic Party | Alliance '90/The Greens | Free Democratic Party | Free Voters | National Democratic Party of Germany | Animal Welfare Party | Ecological Democratic Party | Pirate Party Germany | Die PARTEI | Animal Welfare Alliance | Liberal Conservative Reformers | Party for Health Research | Animal Welfare Here! | Party of Humanists | DieBasis | WIR2020 | Climate List | Free Citizens of Central Germany | Garden Party |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

INSA | 6/4 | X 1.00000 | 27.0000 - -4.7101 bias | 26.0000 - -0.4306 bias | 12.0000 - 3.3368 bias | 10.0000 - 0.4674 bias | 8.0000 - 2.5550 bias | 7.0000 - 0.6101 bias | 3.0000 - -0.0869 bias | ||||||||||||||||

FGW | 6/3 | X 0.98333 | 30.0000 - -0.4832 bias | 23.0000 - -1.6200 bias | 11.5000 - 1.0895 bias | 10.0000 - 4.2809 bias | 9.0000 - 0.2722 bias | 6.5000 - -0.2374 bias | 3.0000 - -1.5970 bias | ||||||||||||||||

Infratest Dimap | 5/26 | X 0.85000 | 28.0000 - -1.4316 bias | 24.0000 - -2.1298 bias | 10.0000 - 2.0169 bias | 11.0000 - 3.4458 bias | 9.0000 - 1.5420 bias | 8.0000 - 0.3497 bias | 3.0000 - -0.8206 bias | ||||||||||||||||

TOTAL | 30.600744 | 25.711975 | 9.065586 | 7.615571 | 7.188225 | 6.888623 | 3.831104 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 |