Poll Average Details- Saxony-Anhalt Parliament - Popular Vote - 2021-06-06 11:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Christian Democratic Union Alternative for Germany The Left Social Democratic Party Alliance '90/The Greens Free Democratic Party Free Voters National Democratic Party of Germany Human Environment Animal Protection Party Ecological Democratic Party Pirate Party Germany Die PARTEI Animal Welfare Alliance Liberal-Conservative Reformers Party for Health Research Animal Welfare Here! Party of Humanists Grassroots Democratic Party WIR2020 Climate List Free Citizens of Central Germany Garden Party
INSA6/4X 1.00000   27.0000 - -2.2251 bias 26.0000 - 1.9457 bias 12.0000 - 1.0361 bias 10.0000 - 0.3622 bias 8.0000 - 0.3083 bias 7.0000 - 0.5650 bias 3.0000 - 0.5160 bias                              
FGW6/3X 0.98333   30.0000 - -0.2697 bias 23.0000 - -0.0072 bias 11.5000 - 0.5673 bias 10.0000 - 2.9633 bias 9.0000 - 0.3875 bias 6.5000 - -0.0470 bias 3.0000 - -0.3852 bias                              
Infratest Dimap5/26X 0.85000   28.0000 - -1.6675 bias 24.0000 - -0.6381 bias 10.0000 - 1.5998 bias 11.0000 - 3.6810 bias 9.0000 - 1.4558 bias 8.0000 - 0.4427 bias 3.0000 - -0.3632 bias                              
TOTAL 29.720358 23.866035 10.183962 8.039425 7.967022 6.810561 3.060529 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000