Poll Average Details- Armenia National Assembly - Popular Vote - 2021-06-20 09:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Civil Contract Armenia Alliance I Have Honor Alliance Prosperous Armenia Hanrapetutyun Party National Democratic Pole Armenian National Congress Shirinyan-Babajanyan Alliance of Democrats 5165 National Conservative Movement Hayots Hayreniq Our Home is Armenia Bright Armenia Sovereign Armenia Fair Armenia Party Democratic Party of Armenia Citizen's Decision European Party of Armenia Rise Party Awakening National Christian Party Freedom Party Pan-Armenian Movement MIHAK-United Homeland Liberal Party National Agenda Free Homeland Bloc
Gallup6/4X 1.00000   25.2000 - -24.9707 bias 28.7000 - 11.9676 bias 10.8000 - 7.1954 bias 5.4000 - 2.2549 bias 2.6000 - -0.0482 bias 0.7000 - -0.6682 bias 1.5000 - 0.1832 bias 2.8000 - 1.7189 bias 1.0000 - -0.0691 bias 0.8000 - -0.1093 bias 1.2000 - 0.4258 bias 5.2000 - 4.7622 bias 0.4000 - 0.1809 bias 0.6000 - 0.3825 bias                      
TOTAL 50.170700 16.732400 3.604600 3.145100 2.648200 1.368200 1.316800 1.081100 1.069100 0.909300 0.774200 0.437800 0.219100 0.217500 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000